Daily Analysis 20230328

March 28th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 200 points higher, S&P 500 notches third straight advance as bank shares jump

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose Monday, building on last week’s gains, as investors attempted to move on from the crisis that broke out in the regional bank sector earlier this month following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank.

Dow……32432 +194.6 +0.60%
Nasdaq11769 -55.1 -0.47%
S&P 500.3978 +6.5 +0.16%

FTSE…..7471 +66.3 +0.90%
Dax…..15128 +170.5 +1.14%
CAC……7078 +63.2 +0.90%

Nikkei…..27477 +91.6 +0.33%
HSI………19568 -347.98 -1.75%
Shanghai.3251 -14.3 -0.44%

IDX…..6708.93 -53.32 -0.79%
LQ45….929.10 -11.94 -1.27%
IDX30…484.15 -6.79 -1.38%

IDXEnergy…2014.31 +19.26 +0.97%
IDX BscMat 1153.04 -1.69 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl…1156.51 +4.84 +0.42%
IDXNONCYC..728.81 +0.50 +0.07%
IDX Hlthcare1535.37 -4.97 -0.32%
IDXCYCLIC…..804.58 +2.74 +0.34%
IDX Techno..5041.25 +15.15 +0.30%
IDX Transp..1787.91 +14.37 +0.81%
IDX Infrast…..804.78 -1.39 -0.17%
IDX Finance.1375.66 -14.41 -1.04%
IDX Banking.1133.20 -24.72 -2.13%
IDX Property….681 +4.3 +0.64%

Indo10Yr.6.8692 -0.0480 -0.70%👍
ICBI…..352.9088 +0.7066+0.20%👍
US2Yr4.0078 +0.2411 +6.40%‼️
US5Yr 3.5997 +0.1992 +5.64%‼️
US10Yr3.5390 +0.1670 +4.95%‼️
US30Yr.3.7690+0.1250 +3.44%‼️
VIX…… 20.60 -1.14 -5.24%

USDIndx102.8570 -0.2590 -0.25%
Como Indx.262.33 +3.84 +1.48 %
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…158.94 +1.1 +0.70%

IndoCDS..112.800 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/24)

IDR…..15163.00👍 +10.00 +0.07%
Jisdor.15174.00👍 -15.00 -0.10%

Euro……1.0798 +0.0038 +0.35%

TLKM….26.97 -0.07 -0.26%
(4092)
EIDO……22.96 +0.07 +0.31%
EEM……38.46 -0.21 -0.54%

Oil……72.80 +3.54 +5.11%‼️
Gold.1976.20 -25.50 -1.27%
Timah .24830.00 – -%
(Closed 03/24)
Nickel..23783.00 +131.00 +0.55%
(Closed 03/27)
Silver…..23.22 -0.12 -0.51%
Copper..409.70 +2.20 +0.54%

Nturl Gas.2.229 +0.048 +2.20%

Ammonia 4016.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/23)

Coal price.176.25 +0.90 +0.51%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.00 +2.65 +1.38%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.00 +1.65 +0.85%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price..195.00 +3.05 +1.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.75 +1.60 +1.18%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price.132.75 +7.70 +6.16%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.45 +6.70 +5.46%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 127.70 +6.80 +5.62%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3577 +46 +1.30%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..648.25 +5.25 +0.82%
SoybeanOil.54.55 +1.28 +2.40%
Wheat…..698.00 +9.50 +1.38%

Wood pulp…5320.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/27)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo Nasdaq merah,saham2 bank yang naik, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, udah cukup lah koreksinya ya, hari ini idealnya tutup gap dulu terus closing ijo

Oil jump Gas Coal Ijo, gold silver merah, metal lain ijo, CPO ijo juga. Waktunya energy rebound? Maybe… Tapi tetep basic materials di tambang mineral yang paling menarik

IHSG – stoch up macd almost buy, MFI w% sw, masih FNB walau mengecil, dari bottom sudah retrace ke fibo 50, waktunya koreksi ke 38 atau 23 terus lanjut. Pas deh tutup gap sebentar terus rally

Belum ada yang firmleading lagi, healthcare melemah, telihat mau jalan Property, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Basic Materials

Stoch Buy Signal banyak, nanti di sort dengan sektor dan FNB/BandarAcc: ACES BUKA INTP ITMG PGAS SIDO TPIA AALI RAJA RMKE TKIM WIKA MNCN IGAR

MACD Buy signal: ARTO BBTN BRPT EXCL ABMM CTRA DOID MLPL RAJA WIFI. Strong note on CTRA – FNB and big accum

Alligator Buy Signal: BBRI DSNG

ACES – stoch buy, macd hampir, MFI sw, w% up, BD masih dist, mulai FNB udah seminggu lebih, ada hid bull, udah diatas ma10, wait MACD

BUKA – stoch buy, macd hampir, BD dist, FF acc, MFI still down, w% up, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle, wait MACD

AALI – stoch buy, macd almost buy, BD FF acc, MFI up, w% sw, reg bull OBV confirmed by 2 bull candle and ma10, ketemu hid bear, harusnya koreksi minor dulu, wait MACD baru masuk

TKIM – stoch buy, macd hampir, FF acc, BD masih dist kenceng, MFI up, w%up, reg bull div confirmed by ma 10, wait BD sambil tunggu MACD

MNCN – stoch buy macd revup, BD FF masih dist, MFI masih dibawah masih sw, belumbikin higher low, skip

CTRA – almost perfect, stoch up, macd buy, BD FF acc, MFI buy, w% uptrend, hidbull regbull up ma10, mau menuju pattern CNH, BUY

Ada spike walau ga terlalu tinggi, tapi nambah keyakinan entry

price masih ok

WIFI – stoch up MACD buy, FF acc BD dist, MFI sw, w% sw, sudah bikin higher low, bisa buy… breakout 150 nambah

WIFI spike ok banget tinggal nunggu larinya

 

Harga ok banget

BBRI – alligator buy, main longterm ok entry, yang trading tunggu dulu, BD FF lagi dist, masih ditahan tahan ini, makanya indicator type oscillator bolak balik

DSNG – ini CPO belum naik udah jalan, BD FF masuk terus, stoch up macd up,apakah akan hajatan? kalo liat reg bear nya ngeri sih…

Spike udah done… beware dibanting ah