Daily Analysis 20230316

March 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 250 points lower Wednesday as bank crisis spreads to Europe

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell Wednesday as concern over a banking crisis spreading to Europe pressured the broader market.

Dow……31875 -280.8 -0.87%
Nasdaq11434 +5.9 +0.05%
S&P 500.3892 -27.4 -0.70%

FTSE..7344 -292.7 -3.83%
Dax…14735 -497.6 -3.27%
CAC…6886 -255.9 -3.58%

Nikkei…..27229 +7.4 +0.03%
HSI………19540 +291.9 +1.52%
Shanghai.3263 +18.0 +0.55%

IDX…..6628.14 -13.68 -0.21%
LQ45….914.19 -3.19 -0.35%
IDX30…477.18 -0.81 -0.17%

IDXEnergy..2003.90 -13.68 -0.21%
IDX BscMat 1135.89 -11.01 -0.96%
IDX Indstrl…1146.53 -1.36 -0.12%
IDXNONCYC..717.81 -1.72 -0.24%
IDX Hlthcare1525.85 -5.18 -0.34%
IDXCYCLIC…..802.11 -2.85 -0.35%
IDX Techno….5143.43 -47.58 -0.92%
IDX Transp….1734.02 +17.45 +1.02%
IDX Infrast…..806.00 -7.72. -0.95%
IDX Finance.1351.39 -2.12 -0.16%
IDX Banking.1099.05 +0.70 +0.06%
IDX Property….675 +2.20 +0.33%

Indo10Yr.6.8659 -0.0048 -0.07%
ICBI….351.1755 -0.3141 -0.09%
US2Yr3.8916 -0.3546 -8.35%‼️
US5Yr 3.5629 -0.2849 -7.40%‼️
US10Yr3.4620 -0.2230 -6.05%‼️
US30Yr.3.6490-0.1550 -5.06%‼️
VIX…… 26.14 +2.41 +10.16%‼️

USDIndx104.6460 +1.0490 +1.01%
Como Indx.254.03 -7.04 -2.70%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…152.63 -4.09 -2.61%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15381.50 -3.50 -0.02%
Jisdor.15365.00 -15.00 -0.10%

Euro……1.0579 -0.0153 -1.42%

TLKM….26.04 -0.34 -1.29%
(4001)
EIDO……21.60 -0.36 -1.64%
EEM……37.27 -0.65 -1.71%

Oil….68.43 -3.35 -4.67%‼️
Gold1924.90 +16.00 +0.84%
Timah .22950.00 -260 -1.12%
(Closed 03/14)
Nickel..22977.00 -85.50 -0.37%
(Closed 03/15)
Silver…..21.95 +0.14 +0.64%
Copper.388.75 -12.10 -3.02%‼️

Nturl Gas.2.4920 -0.0850 -3.30%‼️

Ammonia 4256.67 -66.66 -1.54%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/14)

Coal price.175.00 -5.00 -2.78%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.180.00 -7.00 -3.74%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.185.00 -7.95 -4.12%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.00 -9.45 -4.74%‼️
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.00 -3.00 -2.13%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.30 -6.05 -4.40%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 130.20 -5.20 -3.84%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 129.60 -5.30 -3.93%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(Jun)…3965 +31 +0.79%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..626.50 +5.75 +0.93%
SoybeanOil.56.34+0.16 +0.28%
Wheat…..702.75 +6.50 +0.93%

Wood pulp…5610.00 -40 -0.71%
(Closed 03/15)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI merah lagi, europe drop, asia kebanyakan ijo ikutan US kemarinnya… Masih belum kondusif untuk rally wave 3

Oil Gas Coal merah, gold silver ijo, metal lain merah, masih belum terlalu asik buat ANTM MDKA, tapi kita tungu buy signal aja

IHSG – foreign nya exit lagi, kebanting udah tutup gap kemaren awal market terlihat mau rebound kenceng tapi ga jadi, prepare cash aja pokoke, tunggu momentum rebound, target koreksi udah tercapai, semoga ga lebih jauh lagi

Healthcare sama Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: ANTM CPIN AMFG

MACD sama alligator ga ada buy signal baru

ANTM – stoch buy, macd down, BD FF dist, MFI sw, w% downtrend, dari big dive setelah elliot wave ga berhasil sampe fibo 61 drop sampe tembus kebawah fibo 23, harus sangat hati2, sudah ketemu hidden bullish divergence tanda continuation sih, tapi belum saatnya. Support kuat ada di 1760, jadi belum waktunya bottom fishing juga. Tunggu MACD

CPIN – stoch buy, macd down rev, BD FF sudah acc, MFI sw, w% masih downtrend, sudah mulai terlihat kemungkinan reversal, dan pas juga mau ramadhan – lebaran biasanya ayam ayaman naik, tapi belum firm, WNS

AMFG – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist tipis, FF acc tipis, skip…