Daily Analysis 20230314

March 14th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow falls for a fifth day despite emergency backstop of Silicon Valley Bank

The Dow Jones Industrial Average
dropped on Monday as a plan to backstop all the depositors in failed Silicon Valley Bank, along with other extraordinary measures, failed to boost bank shares.

The losses were contained as some investors bet the financial shock could cause the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes.

Dow……31819 -90.5 -0.28%
Nasdaq11189 +49.95 +0.45%
S&P 500.3856 -5.8 -0.15%

FTSE…….7549 -199.7 -2.58%
Dax……..14959 -468.5 -3.04%
CAC……..7012 -209.2 -2.90%

Nikkei…..27833 -311.01 -1.11%
HSI………19696 +376.1 +1.95%
Shanghai.3269 +38.6 +1.20%

IDX…..6786.96 +21.65 +0.32%
LQ45….939.84 +2.70 +0.29%
IDX30…490.07 +2.39 +0.49%

IDXEnergy…2074.25 +23.96 +1.17%
IDX BscMat 1160.55 -16.52 -1.40%
IDX Indstrl..1174.59 +4.41 +0.38%
IDXNONCYC..726.72 -0.93 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare1536.76 -7.30 -0.47%
IDXCYCLIC…828.46 -1.49 -0.18%
IDX Techno.5355.44 -2.63 -0.05%
IDX Transp.1786.86 -27.43 -1.51%
IDX Infrast….829.91 -1.87 -0.23%
IDX Finance1383.43 -10.20 -0.73%
IDX Banking1129.53 -3.31 -0.29%
IDX Property….680 -0.17 -0.20%

Indo10Yr.6.9204 -0.0509 -0.73%‼️
ICBI….350.2165 +1.0221 +0.29%‼️
US2Yr4.0158 -0.5767 -12.56%‼️
US5Yr 3.6818-0.3520 -8.89%‼️
US10Yr3.5450-0.1590-4.29%‼️
US30Yr.3.6940 -0.018 -0.48%
VIX…… 26.52 +1.72 +6.94%‼️

USDIndx103.5950-0.981 -0.94%👍
Como Indx.264.67 -0.32 -0.12%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…157.49 +1.20 +0.77%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15376.50 -73.50 -0.48%
Jisdor.15374.00 -94.00 -0.61%

Euro……1.0727 +0.00840 +0.79%

TLKM….26.09 +0.10 +0.38%
(4011)
EIDO……22.14 +0.10 +0.38%
EEM……37.90 +0.06 +0.16%

Oil….74.69 -1.99 -2.60%‼️
Gold1916.60+48.40 +2.59%‼️
Timah .22912.00 – -%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..23166.00 +478.0 +2.11%
(Closed 03/13)
Silver…21.88 +1.38 +6.73%‼️
Copper.404.20 +4.15 +1.04%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.182.90 -2.35 -1.27%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.191.50 -1.50 -0.78%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.50 +0.15 +0.08%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.00 -0.50 -0.25%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.65 +3.65 +2.70%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 138.70 +6.70 +5.08%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.85 +6.35 +4.83%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 137.55 +6.05 +4.60%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4045 -53 -1.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..613.50 -3.75 -0.61%
SoybeanOil.55.86 -0.75 -1.32%
Wheat…..684.50 +5.25 +0.77%

Wood pulp…5670.00 -20 -0.35%
(Closed 03/13)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional lanjut pada merah, Nasdaq ijo tapi. Asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei.

Oil Gas Coal merah, metal2 naik semua, pada tinggi malah, siap2 entry di ANTM MDKA, CPO masih merah lagi

IHSG – kirain mau terus NFB, ternyata kemarin walau ijo tapi NFS tipis banget. Stoch rev up,MACD down,MFI up, W% sw, BD flat, masih sideways dulu sih

Financials belum jadi, Energy rada gerak, tapi hari ini kemungkinan besar turun lagi, technology yang RSI nya masih nanjak

Stochastic Buy Signal: AMRT KLBF TLKM TKIM WSKT

MACD Buy Signal Sector Energy, tapi ga meyakinkan, komoditasnya pada turun

AMRT – stoch buy, macd down rev, bd acc, FF mulai acc, MFI sw, w% sw, abis wave5 ketemu reg bear div belum ABC correction, rawan koreksi sih, apalagi PBV 12 PER 45, saya mah skip

KLBF – sama juga, abis wave 5 belum ABC correction, mantul di LR, BD acc FF dist, skip ah..

TLKM – stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up,w%uptrend, BD FF Acc, gap closing di 4140, target CNH di 4470, BOW

TLKM spike berantakan, tapi ada sih, di sideways

TLKM broker average dibawah harga sekarang, jangan full masuknya

TKIM – stoch buy macd down, MFIup FF acc tipis, BD dist, lagi around LR midline, belum sih tunggu MACD deh

WSKT – abis ARB berjilid akhirnya mantul, tapi belum confimed reversal… stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, wns