Daily Analysis 20230313

March 13th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 300 points lower, posts worst week since June as Silicon Valley Bank collapse sparks selloff

Stocks tumbled Friday as tech-focused lender Silicon Valley Bank shut down following losses in its bond portfolio, prompting the biggest bank failure since the global financial crisis and sending shockwaves through the banking sector.

Dow……31910 -345.2 -1.07%
Nasdaq11139 -199.5 -1.76%
S&P 500.3862 -56.8 -1.45%

FTSE…….7748 -131.6 -1.67%
Dax……..15428 -205.2 -1.31%
CAC……..7221 -95.2 -1.30%

Nikkei…..28144 -479.2 -1.67%
HSI……..19320 -605.8 -3.04%‼️
Shanghai.3230 -46.02 -1.40%

IDX…..6765.30 -34.49 -0.51%
LQ45….937.14 -5.75 -0.61%
IDX30…487.68 -3.61 -0.73%

IDXEnergy…2050.29 -10.55 -0.51%
IDX BscMat 1177.07 -1.75 -0.15%
IDX Indstrl..1170.18 -6.01 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..727.65 -1.25 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare1544.07 -3.04 -0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…829.95 -4.46 -0.53%
IDX Techno.5358.07 -72.43 -1.33%
IDX Transp.1814.30 -26.98 -1.47%
IDX Infrast….831.78 -4.62 -0.55%
IDX Finance1393.63 -9.78 -0.70%
IDX Banking1132.84 -9.79 -0.86%
IDX Property….681 -2.50 -0.37%

Indo10Yr.6.9713 -0.0182 -0.26%
ICBI….349.0598 +0.4047 +0.12%
US2Yr4.5925 -0.0045 -0.10%
US5Yr 3.9700.-0.0170 -0.43%
US10Yr3.7040 -0.0090-0.26%
US30Yr.3.7120 -0.012 -0.32%
VIX…… 24.80 +2.19 +9.69%‼️

USDIndx104.5760 -0.6790 -0.65%‼️
Como Indx.264.99 +0.34 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…156.28 -1.38 -0.88%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15450.00‼️ +17.50 +0.11%
Jisdor.15468.00‼️ +30.00 +0.19%

Euro……1.0643 +0.00630 +0.60%

TLKM….25.99 +0.32 +1.25%
(4020)
EIDO……22.11 -0.09 -0.41%
EEM……37.84 -0.20 -0.53%

Oil….76.68 +0.96 +1.27%
Gold1867.20‼️ +32.60 +1.88%
Timah .22912.00 – 439 -1.65%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel..22688.00 -577.0 -2.48%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…..20.51 +0.34 +1.69%
Copper.400.05 -0.85 -0.21%

Nturl Gas.2.436 -0.0560 -2.25%

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/08)

Coal price.185.24 +5.25 +2.92%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.193.00 +9.00 +4.89%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.197.34 +9.25 +4.92%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.50 +5.00 +2.55%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.135.00 +8.25 +6.51%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.00 +8.75 +7.10%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.75 +6.26%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 131.50 +7.05 +5.66%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4098 -106 -2.52%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..617.25 +5.75 +0.94%
SoybeanOil.56.61 -0.45 -0.79%
Wheat…..679.25 +13.50 +2.03%

Wood pulp…5690.00 unch +0.18%
(Closed 03/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional closing merah semua, HangSeng paling dalem drop nya. Masih rada suram, tapi ga lama lagi harusnya, bank sudah mulai gerak

OIl up, gas down, coal jump, gold silver ijo, metal2 lain merah, cpo drop lagi. Siap siap ANTM MDKA

IHSG – stochastic and macd still down, 833 buy, BD flalt, NFB udah 2 hari, MFIup, w% sw, udah koreksi ke sekitar fibo 50-61, udah cukup buat mantul, walau jeleknya triangle breakdown…

Financials udah gerak, Property, Technology. Yang kemaren leading Industrials sama Energy melemah

Stoch Buy Signal: BBTN SCMA TPIA

MACD buy signal: BBRI TPIA

Alligator Buy Signal: MTEL

BBTN – belum, masih dibuang…

SCMA – belum juga,masih dibuang, tapi udah ketemu reg bull div, kita tunggu confirmed

TPIA – ini ditahan tahan, tapi dari 2 hari lalu udah mulai akum, jum’at naik ketinggian sekarang dibawa koreksi, reg bull div confirmed by 2bull candle ma 10 and macd buy signal, ada gap di atas, stoch buy macd buy, BOW

 

MTEL – stoch up macd up 833 sell, MFIdown, BD FF ngebalik dist, w% uptrend done, kejedot fibo 38 balik ke 23, hold, nambah begitu mantul di fibo 23 dan 833 buy lagi. Harusnya jalan CNH nya ini