Daily Analysis 20230307

March 07th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes higher Monday to notch four-day win streak

The Dow rose slightly Monday, as Wall Street fought to hold onto last week’s gains and investors braced for a busy week of economic news.

Dow…..33431 +40.5 +0.12%
Nasdaq11676 -13.3 -0.11%
S&P 500.4048 +2.8 +0.07%

FTSE…….7930 -17.3 -0.22%
Dax……..15654 +75.2 +0.48%
CAC……..7373 +25.1 +0.34%

Nikkei…..28238 +310.3 +1.11%
HSI……. .20603 +35.7 +0.17%
Shanghai.3322 -6.4 -0.19%

IDX…..6807.00 -6.64 -0.10%
LQ45….938.72 -0.25 -0.03%
IDX30…488.87 +0.16 +0.03%

IDXEnergy…2089.03 -18.92 -0.90%
IDX BscMat 1207.59 -11.39 -0.93%
IDX Indstrl..1191.53 -5.68 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..736.85 +5.22 +0.71%
IDX Hlthcare1545.44 -9.89 -0.64%
IDXCYCLIC…845.79 -0.63 -0.08%
IDX Techno.5467.75 +11.97 +0.22%
IDX Transp..1850.86 +6.77 +0.37%
IDX Infrast….842.86 -6.06 -0.71%
IDX Finance1405.72 +0.77 +0.06%
IDX Banking1127.75 -12.61 -1.11%
IDX Property….685 -1.60 -0.23%

Indo10Yr.6.9326 -0.0035 -0.05%
ICBI….349.3529 +0.1378 +0.04%
US2Yr 4.8861‼️+0.0250 +0.52%
US5Yr 4.2546‼️+0.0020 +0.04%
US10Yr3.9640‼️+0.0010 +0.02%
US30Yr.3.8990‼️+0.0120 +0.30%
VIX……. 18.61 +0.12 +0.65%

USDIndx104.2740 -0.2470 -0.24%
Como Indx.273.59 -1.47 -0.53%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.24 -0.76 -0.47%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15295.00 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor.15301.00 -5.00 -0.03%‼️

Euro……1.0682 +0.0044 +0.44%

TLKM….25.68 -0.34 -1.31%
(3929)
EIDO……22.42 -0.19 -0.84%
EEM……39.40 -0.14 -0.35%

Oil……80.46 +0.76 +0.98%
Gold…1854.60 unch +0%
Timah 25334 – -%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel..24512.50 -162.50 -0.66%
(Closed 03/06)
Silver…….21.14 -0.10 -0.49%
Copper..408.85 +2.15 +0.53%

Nturl Gas.2.605 -0.404 -13.43%‼️

Ammonia 4406.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/02)

Coal price.181.75 -7.15 -3.79%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.188.75 -6.65 -3.40%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.190.85 -8.45 -4.24%‼️
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.195.75 -5.25 -2.61%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.123.00 -8.75 -6.64%‼️
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.00 -10.25 -8.12%‼️
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 117.00 -9.80 -7.73%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 116.70 -10.65 -8.36%‼️
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4278 -79 -1.81%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..637.00 -2.75 -0.43%
SoybeanOil..60.45 -0.74 -1.21%
Wheat……695.25 -13.50 -1.90%

Wood pulp…5800.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/06)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo tipis, Nasdaq merah tiips, europe varied, asia kemaren kebanyakan tipis2 kecuali nikkei yang ijo tebel. Masih sideways dulu keliatannya

Oil ijo tipis, gas drop, coal lanjut merah, kita check NCF chart later… Metal2 tipis tipis semua, belum kemana mana

Dari hitungan elliot wave lanjut ABC correction, level harga coal sekarang sudah memenuhi level beres retracement, bisa diharapkan mantul, MACD masih up tapi stochastic ngebalik lagi, masih di area oversold sih, Masih berharap ada satu swing lagi ke atas di maret

IHSG – masih NFS, BD lokal ga jagain juga jadi ngebalik lagi deh stochastic nya,MACD down MFI sw W% sw, lagi di fibo 50 dari kenaikan terakhir, udah terbentuk reg bull div di CCI,semoga false break triangle, terus jadi keatas. Tapi short term masih down or sw dulu

Industrials, Energy, Property. Tapi kemaren Energy nya drop semua malah, heuheu

Stoch Buy Signal: BBRI GOTO UNVR ADHI ADMR GGRM ISAT MTMH PNLF INCI LMSH

Index abis drop banyak saham jadi oversold, mantul dikit jadi buy signal, kalo udah banyak buy signal gini mending pilih hanya LQ45

MACD Buy Signal: MTMH SMDR INCI LMSH LTLS

Alligator Buy Signal: BABP BSSR

BBRI – beda sama BBCA yang kemaren drop, BBRI doji dan jadi stpch nya buy, MACD down flattening, 833 up, MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc, run wave 5 kayanya beres retrace ke antara fibo 38-50, oksih buat lanjut. Yang ok beli bank konven bisa spec buy, confirm nya kalobreakout 4900

GOTO – stoch buy macd up tapi bolak balik, BD acc, FF dist, MFI sw w% still uptrend, ga kebaca, skip deh

UNVR – stoch buy, MACD down flattening, MFI sw W%masih downtrend, BD FF mulai ngebalik acc, udha ketemu regbull div belum confirmed, tunggu MACD or konfirmasi divergence dulu

ADHI – belum… masih buangan

ADMR – belum, tungu bikin higher low dulu yang abis terjun gini

ISAT – stoch buy, MACD up, BD FF acc, MFI up w% uptrend, kayanya mau selesaikan wave 3, breakout IHNS, buy ideal pas retest neckline

Dari average broker udah ketinggian, milih yang lain aja deh, banyak yang masih dibawah koq

Yang buy signal lain saham2 relatif kecil, kondisi index sekarang off dulu deh