Daily Analysis 20230303

March 03rd 2023

Good morning,

Dow…..33034 +341.7 +1.05%
Nasdaq11463 +84.5 +0.73%
S&P 500.3981 +29.96 +0.76%

FTSE…….7944 +29.1 +0.37%
Dax……..15328 +22.6 +0.15%
CAC……..7284 +49.97 +0.69%

Nikkei…..27499 -17.7 -0.06%
HSI……..20429 -190.3 -0.92%
Shanghai.3311 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…..6857.42 +12.48 +0.18%
LQ45….947.15 +1.33 +0.14 %
IDX30…493.17 +0.87 +0.18%

IDXEnergy…2114.76 +21.21 +1.01%
IDX BscMat 1221.67 -17.63 -1.42%
IDX Indstrl..1206.77 +12.35 +1.03%
IDXNONCYC..740.00 +3.00 +0.41%
IDX Hlthcare1560.95 +4.43 +0.28%
IDXCYCLIC…847.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Techno.5412.25 -4.87 – 0.09%
IDX Transp..1869.62 -33.57 -1.76%
IDX Infrast….844.79 +3.03 +0.36%
IDX Finance1415.12 +5.57 +0.39%
IDX Banking1140.36 +6.21 +0.55%
IDX Property….694 -4.80 -0.69%

Indo10Yr.6.9105 +0.0364 +0.53%‼️
ICBI….349.1696 -0.7977 -0.23%‼️
US5Yr 4.3143‼️ +0.0490 +1.16%
US10Yr4.0620‼️ +0.0660 +1.64%
US30Yr.4.0010‼️+0.0480 +1.21%
VIX……. 19.59 -0.99 -4.81%

USDIndx104.9840 +0.6210 +0.60%‼️
Como Indx.271.30 -1.51 -0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN….161.59 -2.95 -1.79%

IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15280.00 +45.50 +0.17%‼️
Jisdor.15273.00 +23.00 +0.15%‼️

Euro……1.0599 -0.0069 -0.64%

TLKM….25.71 -0.17 -0.66%
(3927)
EIDO……22.82 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM…….39.19 +0.14 +0.36%

Oil…….78.16 +0.47 +0.61%
Gold.. 1840.50 -4.90 -0.27%
Timah 25334 +371 +1.49%
(Closed 03/01)
Nickel…24232 -899.00 -3.58%‼️
(Closed 03/02)
Silver…….20.90 -0.19 -0.92%
Copper..407.60 -8.40 -2.02%

Nturl Gas.2.790 -0.021 -0.75%

Ammonia 4390.00 -16.66 -0.38%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price.193.00 -0.50 -0.26%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price.198.00 +1.25 +0.64%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.201.65 +1.40 +0.70%
(May/Newcastle)
Coal price.205.35 +1.20 +0.59%
(Jun/Newcastle)

Coal price.143.25 -0.60 -0.42%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price 140.00 -3.55 -2.47%
(Apr/ Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.00 -4.40 -3.03%
(May/Rotterdam)
Coal price 141.70 -4.90 -3.34%
(Jun/Rotterdam)

CPO(May)…4293 +105 +2.51%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……..633.75 -2.00 -0.31%
SoybeanOil..61.90 +1.07 +1.76%
Wheat……712.75 +2.75 +0.39%

Wood pulp…5840.00 -10 -0.17%
(Closed 03/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo lumayan tebel, europe ijo, asia kebanyakan merah, IHSG ijo kemaren tapi ada 26 saham ARB, rada anomali

Oil ijo gas coal merah, metal2 merah kecuali timah, nikel malah drop. Belum saatnya belanja saham tambang mineral logam, dikit lagi…

CPO naik tinggi, mungkin ini saatnya mulai rally. Kita check detail di emitennya nanti

IHSG – kemaren sudah FNB, stoch buy, macd masih down but flattening, MFI sw, W% sw, masih jadwal wave 3, keliatan bentuk triangle pattern, semoga breakout ke atas

Industrials Energy Property. Bank2 sudah mulai buy signal tapi sektor Financials nya belum firm

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO BBCA BBNI BUKA TINS AALI BRMS

MACD Buy Signal: INCO PGAS MAPI

Alligator Buy Signal: DOID IGAR

Supertrend Buy Signal: ITMG IGAR

ARTO skip

BBCA – buat indikasi aja, bukan mau dibeli, hehehe… stoch buy, macd still down, BD FF net sell, MFI down, w% downtrend, masih jadwal wave 3 tapi lagi jatahnya sideways dulu, belum…

BUKA – stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, W% downtrend, BD dist, FF acc tipis, dari IPO drop, belum retrace, pelan2 bottom nya tambah tinggi, sektor bukan leading, belum sih

TINS – stoch buy macdbuy, MFI up, W% uptrend, BD acc, masih NFS tipis, ew reverse done, ketemu regbull div terus mantul, kejedot fibo 23, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy harusnya

Ternyata spike nya ok, spike tinggi pas harga sideways

Harga aman. Ada gap juga di atas, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu firm acc BD dan FF

AALI – stoch buy bolak balik, macd up MFI sw, w% sw, BD FF acc tipis, abis drop mulai gerak naikpelan2 belum ada gerakan signifikan yang diikuti higher low, WNS deh

BRMS – Technical ok, tapi saham bakrie nggak deh

INCO – stoch up macd buy, 833 sell, MFI up, BD FF acc, w% sw, masih konsol di sekitar fibo 61 terjunan abc correction, belum lanjut wave 3. Kalo mau entry tunggu 833 buy lagi while MACD masih firm. Nikel drop jadi agak khawatir dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, BD FF acc, w%up, belum breakout resistance, hold, kalo breakout neckline nambah

MAPI – saham hajatan, baru kemaren sell signal MACD sekarang ngebalik lagi, masalahnya udah naik tinggi, udah wave 5 dan udah ketemu bearish divergence, ga ok buat new entry, kalo yang udah pegang berani hold sambil pasang trailing stop

DOID – coal emang pada gerak, stoch up, macd up, alligator buy, MFI sw, W% uptrend, mau breakout patternd double bottom, yang belum punya coal boleh beli ini… Saya pegang HRUM

ITMG – kalo masuk sekarang nanggung, belum pasti breakout resistance, kalo entry dari kemaren pas buy signal MACD ok hold, entry baru mending nunggu konfirmasi breakout resistance 38.675

IGAR skip