Daily Analysis 20230210

February 10 th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks closed lower Thursday, giving up early advances as concerns over the Federal Reserve’s future moves on monetary policy offset excitement around the latest batch of corporate earnings.

Dow…….33700  -249.1   -0.73%
Nasdaq.11790   -120.9  -1.02%
S&P 500..4082   -36.4    -0.88%

FTSE…….7911  +25.98  +0.33%
Dax……..15523 +111.4  +0.72%
CAC……..7188  +68.5    +0.96%

Nikkei…..27584  -22.11  -0.08%
HSI………21624  +340.8 +1.60%
Shanghai..3270 +38.3    +1.18%

IDX…..6897.37  -42.76  -0.62%
LQ45….952.23  -6.72    -070%

IDXEnergy…2102.20  -29.24  -1.37%
IDX BscMat 1258.77  -6.27    -0.50%
IDX Indstrl…1155.94  -10.45  -0.90%
IDXNONCYC..763.18 +0.24   +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare1574.13  -5.89   -0.37%
IDXCYCLIC…838.71   -8.85    -1.04%
IDX Techno5509.16 -229.59-4.00%‼️
IDX Transp1806.66  +0.11.   +0.01%
IDX Infrast….850.23  -7.01     -0.82%
IDX Finance1435.96 +2.34    +0.16%
IDX Banking1171.02 +5.39    +0.46,%
IDX Property….706    -2.40     -0.34%

Indo10Yr.6.7376 -0.0224-0.33%👍
ICBI..351.0870 +0.4705 +0.13%👍
US10Yr.3.6830 +0.0300 +0.82%
VIX…..20.71     +1.08     +5.50%

USDIndx103.2070-0.265 -0.26%
Como Indx.270.48  -0.46  -0.17%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…169.55  +2.80   +1.70%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15096.50 +1.00   +0.01%
Jisdor.15122.00 -2.00    -0.01%

Euro……1.0739 +0.0027 +0.25%

TLKM….24.78  -0.68    -2.67%
(3747)
EIDO……23.44  -0.06   -0.26%
EEM……40.58  +0.19  +0.47%

Oil……..78.06  -0.41      -0.52%
Gold 1878.50 -12.20 -0.65%
Timah 27619  +548   +2.02%
(Closed 02/08)
Nickel.29052.00 +1631.50 +5.95%‼️
(Closed 02/09)
Silver…….22.14   -0.28      -1.24%
Copper..409.70  +6.15     +1.52%

Nturl Gas.2.460   +0.041  +1.69%

Ammonia4106.67 +66.67 +1.65%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/08)

Coal price.225.50 -13.85  -5.79%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price191.50  -37.50  -16.38%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 189.00 -35.15  -15.68%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 197.00 -28.90  -12.79%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.128.00  -1.65  -1.27%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 119.50 -6.15 -4.89%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price120.50 -6.40  -5.04%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price122.05 -5.95  -4.65%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3974  -24  -0.60%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..670.75   -7.75    -1.14%
SoybeanOil..59.17   -1.54    -2.54%
Wheat…….757.25    -7.50    -0.98%

Wood pulp…6190.00  -60  -0.96%
(Closed 02/09)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe ijo, asia varied, idx merah, nikkei merah tipis, hongkong shanghai ijo. Masih belum rally, tapi financials udah mulai gerak, harusnya ga lama lagi index jalan

Oil coal merah lagi, gas ijo, gold silver merah metal lain ijo, bentar lagi ini ANTM MDKA kayanya. CPO merah lagi, still belum jelas kapan gerak saham CPO

IHSG – stoch belum jadi buy, macd nya malah rev down, positif nya bahwa masih terus NFB. Semoga ngebalik minggu depan jadi rally

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Consumer Cyclicals, Healthcare, Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBNI BRPT UNTR

MACD Buy Signal: ESSA EKAD

BBNI – kecuali MFI yang flat, almost perfect chart nya… stoch buy MACD up,BD FF acc, beberapa kali ada freq spike, kita check later, wave 5 (walau wave 4 nya menyalahi aturan standar elliot wave), cross up midline LR, bisa spec buy harusnya

Kurang menarik, spike nya bukan pas sideways

Realtively belum terlalu jauh dari average bandar, tapi ya hati2 berarti ga bisa masuk sembarangan, spec buy stoploss ketat

BRPT – stoch buy, BD FF acc, MFI flat, MACD almost buy, alligator supertrend up, breakout fibo 38 otw 61 tapi lagi pullback, sekalian kejedot upper channel LR, wait MACD deh

Dari average bandar aman, MACD cross buy

UNTR – stoch buy macd buy, BD FF dist, MFI down, belum bikin higher low, close balik dibawah MA10, kejedot LR, belum dulu deh

ESSA – stoch down, macd buy tapi baru aja kemaren sell, BD FF seminggu dist, kemaren acc, MFI flat, abis kejedot fibo 38 balik arah 23 belum sampe terus kaya mau mantul, dari LR mantul di midline, supertrend sih udah up, belum sih, tunggu stochasticnya buy, kalo terus lanjut akum apalagi semoga brealout berani masuk

 

Harga aman

Spike menarik, pas sideways keluar spike, dibawa turun dulu, baru diangkat, tunggu firm BD FF acc sambil tunggu stochastic, WNS

EKAD – waduh, saham gini ga bisa pake technical, transaksi kecil, harga bolak balik, anyway liat BD FF dist, skip deh