Daily Analysis 20230208

February 8th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow finishes more than 250 points higher, Nasdaq climbs 1.9% after Fed Chair Powell says inflation is declining

Stocks advanced Tuesday following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments indicating inflation has started easing.

Dow…….34157 +265.7 +0.78%
Nasdaq.12114 +226.3 +1.90%
S&P 500..4164 +52.9 +1.29%

FTSE…….7865 +28.0 +0.36%
Dax……..15321 -25.03 -0.16%
CAC……..7132 -4.8 -0.07%

Nikkei…..27685 -8.2 -0.03%
HSI………21299 +76.5 +0.36%
Shanghai..3248 +9.4 +0.29%

IDX…..6935.30 +61.51 +0.89%
LQ45….956.61 +8.15 +0.86%

IDXEnergy2138.66 +62.83+3.03%‼️
IDX BscMat 1258.99 +1.54 +0.12%
IDX Indstrl…1169.59 +13.66 +1.18%
IDXNONCYC..757.38 +6.47 +0.86%
IDX Hlthcare1574.78 +5.76 +0.37%
IDXCYCLIC…849.40 +6.08 +0.72%
IDX Techno5780.91 +46.31 +0.81%
IDX Transp1788.11 -2.35 -0.13%
IDX Infrast….859.13 -5.06 -0.59%
IDX Finance1432.60 +6.42 +0.45%
IDX Banking1161.83 +10.11 +0.88%
IDX Property….712 -1.60 -0.22%

Indo10Yr.6.7550 +0.0326 +0.48%
ICBI..350.1817 -0.4900 -0.14%
US10Yr.3.6740 +0.0400 +1.10%
VIX…..18.66 -0.77 -3.96%

USDIndx103.6280+0.7130+0.69%‼️
Como Indx.266.21 +0.02 +0.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…167.91 +0.45 +0.27%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15148.00 +93.00 +0.62%‼️
Jisdor.15139.00 +84.00 +0.56%‼️

Euro……1.0724 -0.0069 -0.63%

TLKM….25.34 -0.08 -0.31%
(3836)
EIDO……23.48 +0.32 +1.38%
EEM……40.44 +0.16 +0.40%

Oil……77.48 +3.37 +4.55%‼️
Gold 1884.10 +4.60 +0.24%
Timah 26880 -1499 -5.28%‼️
(Closed 02/06)‼️
Nickel.27478.00 +346.00 +1.27%
(Closed 02/07)
Silver…….22.19 -0.05 -0.21%
Copper..406.95 +3.45 +0.86%

Nturl Gas.2.593 +0.097 +3.89%‼️

Ammonia4040.00 -166.67-3.96%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(02/06)

Coal price.257.00 +5.00 +1.98%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price262.75 +19.75 +8.13%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price 247.00 +7.65 +3.20%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price 246.10 +8.00 +3.36%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.138.70 -0.55 -0.39%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price 132.00 -8.25 -5.88%‼️
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.137.00 -4.75 -3.35%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price136.00 -7.25 -5.06%‼️
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3925 +77 +2.00%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..674.00 -5.50 -0.74%
SoybeanOil..61.02 +1.52 +2.55%
Wheat…….750.25 unch +0%

Wood pulp…6250.00 -20 -0.32%
(Closed 02/07)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional rata2 hijau kecuali jepang jerman perancis yang ijo tipis. IDX naik tinggi, semoga lanjut

Energy related commodities naik tinggi, metal2 varied, yang merah timah sama silver, mulai cermati kemungkinan rebound ANTM MDKA. CPO ijo, semoga AALI LSIP jalan

IHSG – stoch rev up, macd still up, MFI down, 3 straight day NFB, firm accum, BD acc, wave 3, seperti yang mau breakout resstance area, beware kalo malah bikin shoulder dulu…

 

Leading: Consumer Non-Cyclicals. Curve slowing down: Financials, Transportation. On the move: Consumer Cycliclas, Property, Healthcare, Infrastructure

Stoch Buy Signal: ARTO EXCL PGAS TPIA UNVR MLPL MTEL ANJT LMSH

MACD Buy Signal: ITMG PTBA UNVR DOID

ARTO skip

EXCL – stoch buy macd rev up, MFI down, BD acc, FF last day NFS, ret pattern around 23 harusnya ke 61, lagi bikin higher low, candle 2 hari lalu vol besar, infra cacing bilang jalan, bisa spec buy, amannya tunggu MACD dan PSAR

EXCL spike nya menarik

Dari harga aman…

PGAS – stoch buy, MACD up, BD dist, FF acc, MFI down, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy, amannya tunggu breakout resistance with volume. WL

 

TPIA – update dari kemarin, FF NFS, BD dist tipis but inside, firm spec buy setengah, setengah lagi tunggu breakout

UNVR – stoch macd buy, MFI flat, BD FF acc, alligator buy, supertrend up, hampir breakout, ok buat spec buy dan nambah pas firm breakout, tapi saya skip yang PBV nya udah 30 kali sih…

MLPL – belum saatnya, biarin bikin higher low yang firm dulu. BD FF masih dist pula

 

MTEL – belum waktunya

ANJT – saham value investing, last candle breakout resistance with volume, MFI up, stoch buy lagi, macd up, BD bolak balik, FF juga, di level modus vol profile, kayanya mau hajatan ini

Spike ANJT menarik, kejadian pas sideways, tinggi, dan still unclosed

Price belum terlalu jauh, ok buat spec buy

LMSH – skip, ga liquid ini…

ITMG – membingungkan, harga coal naik, tapi masih jauh dibanding harga januari, technical bilang rebound, winter udah mau abis kemungkinan jeleknya udahan harganya juga, BD FF ngebalik jadi akum, liat grafik coal deh

Newcastle Coal Future – abis wave 5 lanjut ABC correction seems almost done, dari price action belum firm mantul, tunggu MACD deh

PTBA – bikin double bottom, stoch almost buy, macd buy, MFI sideways, last day FF BD acc, reg bull div confirmed by MACD and MA 10, kemaren vol gede tapi ga tembus resistance, tunggu breakout neckline double bottom

DOID – mirip PTBA, tapi BD dist, tunggu breakout juga