Daily Analysis 20230207

February 7th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close lower Monday as higher rates rattle investors

U.S. stocks fell Monday, led downward by the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, as investors grew increasingly cautious of rising bond yields.

Dow…….33891 -34.9 -0.10%
Nasdaq.11887 -119.5 -1.00%
S&P 500..4111 -25.4 -0.61%

FTSE…….7837 -65.1 -0.82%
Dax……..15346 -130.5 -0.84%
CAC……..7137 -96.8 -1.34%

Nikkei…..27694 +184.2 +0.67%
HSI……..21222 -438.3 -2.02%
Shanghai..3239 -24.7 -0.76%

IDX…..6873.79 -37.94 -0.55%
LQ45….948.45 -4.35 -0.46%

IDXEnergy…2075.83 -18.01 -0.86%
IDX BscMat 1257.45 -8.91 -0.70%
IDX Indstrl…1155.93 -7.47 -0.64%
IDXNONCYC..750.91 -5.57 -0.74%
IDX Hlthcare1569.02 -7.80 -0.49%
IDXCYCLIC…843.33 +2.34 +0.28%
IDX Techno5734.61 -94.50 -1.62%
IDX Transp1790.46 +7.41 +0.42%
IDX Infrast….864.19 +0.5 2 +0.06%
IDX Finance1426.18 -7.39 -0.52%
IDX Banking1151.72 -1.60 -0.14%
IDX Property….713 -7.30 -1.02%

Indo10Yr.6.7224 +0.0134 +0.20%
ICBI..350.6717 -0.6118 -0.17%
US10Yr.3.6340+0.1020 +2.89%‼️
VIX…..19.43 +1.10 +6.00%‼️

USDIndx103.6280 +0.7130 +0.69%‼️
Como Indx.266.21 +0.02 +0.01%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…167.46 -3.44 -2.01%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR…..15055.00 +161.50 +1.08%‼️
Jisdor.15055.00 +157.00 +1.05%‼️

Euro……1.0724 -0.0069 -0.63%

TLKM….25.42 -0.18 -0.70%
(3827)
EIDO……23.16 -0.27 -1.15%
EEM……40.28 -0.60 -1.47%

Oil……..74.11 +0.72 +0.98%
Gold 1879.50 +2.90 +0.15%
Timah.28379 – -%
(Closed 03/02)
Nickel.27132.00 -1425.00 -4.99%‼️
(Closed 06/02)
Silver…….22.24 -0.17 -0.75%
Copper..403.50 -2.15 -0.53%

Nturl Gas.2.496 +0.11 +4.61%‼️

Ammonia.4206.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/02)

Coal price.252.00 +16.00 +6.78%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price243.00 +20.50 +9.21%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price239.35 +18.70 +8.47%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.238.10 +17.95 +8.15%‼️
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.139.25 +0.75 +0.54%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.140.25 +2.25 +1.63%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.141.75 +2.45 +1.76%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
Coal price143.25 +2.25 +1.60%
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3848 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..679.00 +1.50 +0.22%
SoybeanOil..59.50 +0.12 +0.20%
Wheat…….750.25 -6.50 -0.86%

Wood pulp…6270.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Merah semua kecuali nikkei, semoga hari ini rebound duluan market asia

Commodity terkait Energy rebound, gas yang paling tinggi, coal naik tinggi tapi ya masih jau dibanding harga january, semoga bisa ngangkat harga saham emiten coal sampe pada tutup gap, kemungkinan besar cuma dead cat bounce tapi kalo kejadian juga

IHSG – masih jadwal wave 3, stoch masih down, 833 by, macd up, MFI down BD sama FF masih so so, masih sideways dulu ini kayanya

Transportation, Financials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology. Yang mau nyusul: Consumer Cyclicals, Property Healthcare, Infrastructures

Stochastic Buy Signal: CPIN EMTK INKP LPPF MAPI

MACD Buy Signal: TPIA

CPIN – stoch buy macd down,bd acc ff dist, below fibo 38, kayanya mau ke fibo 23 dulu sih, tunggu MACD

EMTK – udah drop jauh banget, mulai mantul, macd up, stoch buy lagi abis kemaren sell, belum bikin higher low, ff masih dist terus, BD rada bolak balik, tunggu bikin higher low dulu

INKP – stoch buy, macdbuy, MFI sw, BD acc, FF last day balik NFS, aroun fibo 23 abis turun dari 38, harusnya mantul kalo ikut retracement pattern, BUY

LPPF – abis sell stoch buy lagi, MACD upMFI sw, FF dist, bd bolak balik terakhir acc, supertrend up alligator almost buy, abis dari fibo 50 ke 23 sekarang udha tembus 38, harusnya ke 61 ini, cross up midline LR, bisa spec buy, hati2 karena FF masih dist, pantau ketat

MAPI – stoch bolak balik, macd up, MFI lagi sw, FF mulai acc, bd bolak balik kemaren dist, mungkin wave 4 dah beres mau wave 5, cross up midline, amannya tunggu breakout darvas box, lagi ketemu reg bear soalnya

TPIA – stoch buy macd buy, MFI sw, lastday bd ff jadi acc, reg bull confirmed by ma 10, ada disekitar modus vol profile, ada gap di atas, kaya kejedot midline LR. Spec buy half pantau ketat