Daily Analysis 20230202

February 2nd, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher on Wednesday, Nasdaq adds 2% as investors look past Fed’s rate hike

Stocks gained on Wednesday in an intraday turnaround as investors shook off a quarter-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve and instead focused on comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that acknowledged falling inflation.

Dow…….34093 +6.9 +0.02%
*Nasdaq.11816 +231.8 +2.00%*
S&P 500..4119 +42.6 +1.06%

FTSE…….7761 -10.7 -0.14%
Dax……..15181 +52.5 +0.35%
CAC……..7077 -5.3 -0.07%

Nikkei…..27347 +19.8 +0.07%
HSI……..22072 +229.9+1.05%
Shanghai..3285 +29.3 +0.90%

IDX…..6862.26 +22.92 +0.34%
LQ45….941.14 +4.65 +0.50%

IDX Energy..2162.13 -9.17 -0.42%
IDX BscMat 1269.78 +10.86 +0.86%
IDX Indstrl…1175.40 +4.34 +0.41%
IDXNONCYC..747.27 +8.61 +1.17%
IDX Hlthcare1550.54 +4.61 +0.30%
IDXCYCLIC…831.64 +10.40 +1.27%
IDX Techno5490.08 +8.32. +0.15%
IDX Transp1788.41 +32.57 +1.86%
IDX Infrast…..860.19 +8.31 +0.98%
IDX Finance 1410.75 -2.24 -0.16%
IDX Banking1128.44 -2.86 -0.25%
IDX Property….707 +1.90 +0.27%

*Indo10Yr.6.7522 -0.0067 -0.10%👍*
*ICBI..350.2014 +0.2535 +0.07%👍*
*US10Yr.3.3970 -0.1320 -3.74%👍*
*VIX…17.87 -1.53 -7.89%👍*

*USDIndx101.1490 -0.9450 -0.93%*
*Como Indx.271.80 -6.29 -2.26%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..174.70 -3.34 -1.87%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……14975.00 -15.50 -0.10%*
*Jisdor..14992.00 -1.00 -0.01%*

*Euro……1.0991 +0.0125 +1.15%*

TLKM….26.14 +0.12 +0.46%
*(3919)*
EIDO……23.60 +0.37 +1.59%
EEM……41.87 +0.51 +1.23%

*Oil……..76.41 -2.46 -3.12%‼️*
Gold ..1942.80 -2.50 -0.13%
*Timah.29490 -319 -1.07%*
*(Closed 31/01)*
*Nickel.29031.50-1297.50-4.28%‼️*
*(Closed 01/02)*
Silver…….23.61 -0.23 -0.95%
*Copper..411.10 -11.50 -2.72%*

*Nturl Gas.2.500 -0.222 -8.16%‼️*

Ammonia.4250.00 -16.67 +0.63%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(31/01)

Coal price.247.00 -4.75 -1.89%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price240.75 -3.40 -1.41%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price237.75 -2.60 -1.08%
(Apr/Newcastle)
Coal price.237.80 -2.45 -1.02%
(Mei/Newcastle)

*Coal price.142.10 +5.45 +3.99%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)
*Coal price.142.75 +6.10 +4.46%‼️*
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price.144.35 +5.90 +4.26%‼️*
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price145.60 +6.65 +4.79%‼️*
(May/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)….3813 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..679.75 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..62.33 +1.01 +1.65%
Wheat…….761.25. +8.75 +1.16%

Wood pulp…6290.00 +10 +0.16%
(Closed 01/02)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US DJI ijo tipis, nasdaq yang naik tingi, europe varied, asia closing ijo, curiga masih belum lanjut naik hari ini

Oil lanjut drop, metal2 turun, gas drop, coal NCF turun, ROtterdam naik, tapi biasanya ngacunya lebih ke Newcastle sih, so masih jelek buat saham coal. CPO closed, belum ada tanda2 rally lagi, tapi chartnya malah ada sell signal or sideways di saham2 CPO

IHSG – stoch sell macd up MFI SW, BD flat FNB, kalo ngitung fibonacci koreksi baru touch fibo 23, belum ke 38, masih besar kemungkinan turun lagi sampe minimal fibo 38, masih rawan…

Mulai banyak yang gerak… highlight di transportation, Industrials, infrastructure, Consumer non-cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: INTP HEAL JSMR SMRA

MACD buy signal: INCO TBIG JSMR MAPI

INTP – kemaren SMGR udah buy signal, ini INTP nyusul… overall masih sideway phase, Stoch buy macd still down, mfi doen, FF ngebalin acc 2 hari, bd masih dist, tunggu MACD dulu deh sama BD nya akum

HEAL – stoch buy, macd still down, mfi flat, BD FF ngebalik acc, banyak hid bull div, kejedot midline LR, tar dulu, tunggu MACD dulu

JSMR – stoch buy macd buy mfi up, bd ff acc, mantul dari fibo 23 breakout resistance with big volume, BOW tengah candle kemaren…

SMRA – stoch buy bolak balikmacd up, bd ff dist, below fibo 23, level vol profile, belum dulu…

INCO – gap, stoch revup, macdbuy, BD acc, FF dist, MFI sw, wave 3, ketemu reg bear, di level vol profile, WNS dulu, kemaren nikel drop sentiment probably negative dulu

TBIG – stoch sell macd buy mfi down bd acc ff dist, reg bull div confirmed by 2 bull candle and MA 10, LR slope down, posisi hovering di tengah, WNS dulu

MAPI – stoch revup, macdbuy, MFI sw, BD FF last day acc, abis wave 3 koreksi udah ke fibo 38, ok buat mantul wave 5, mantul dari lower channel LR, candle kemaren false break, closing dibawah resistance, kalo closing diatas 1420 bisa BOB