Daily Analysis 20230201

February 1st, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes more than 350 points higher, S&P 500 caps best January in four years

Stocks rose on Tuesday as strong earnings and encouraging inflation data pushed the S&P 500 to its best January since 2019.

Dow…….34086 +368.9 +1.09%
Nasdaq.11585 +190.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4077 +58.8 +1.46%

FTSE…….7772 -13.2 -0.17%
Dax……..15128 +2.2 +0.01%
CAC……..7082 +0.4 +0.01%

Nikkei…..27327 -106.3 -0.39%
HSI……..21842 -227.4 -1.03%
Shanghai..3256 -13.7 -0.42%

IDX…..6839.34 -33.14 -0.48%
LQ45….936.49 -8.54 -0.96%

IDX Energy..2171.30 +17.01 +0.79%
IDX BscMat 1258.92 +1.34 +0.11%
IDX Indstrl…1170.56 -1.18 -0.10%
IDXNONCYC..738.66 +1.30 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare1545.92 -16.71 -1.07%
IDXCYCLIC…821.23 -6.63 -0.80%
IDX Techno5481.75 +19.46+0.36%
IDX Transp1755.83 -13.97 -0.79%
IDX Infrast…..851.89 +2.33 +0.27%
IDX Finance 1412.99 -3.59 -0.26%
IDX Banking1131.30 -9.46 -0.83%
IDX Property….707 +1.90 +0.27%

*Indo10Yr.6.7589 -0.0378 -0.56%👍*
*ICBI..349.9480 +0.4075 +0.12%👍*
US10Yr..3.5290 -0.0220 -0.62%
VIX……19.40 -0.54 -2.71%

*USDIndx102.0940 -0.1410 -0.14%*
Como Indx.278.09 +3.66 +1.33%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..178.03 +1.83 +1.04%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……14990.00 +20.50 +0.14%*
*Jisdor..14992.00 +13.00 +0.09%*

*Euro……1.0861 +0.0010 +0.09%*

TLKM….26.02 -0.48 -1.81%
*(3900)*
EIDO……23.23 -0.08 -0.34%
EEM……41.36 -0.09 -0.22%

*Oil……..78.88 +0.97 +1.25%*
*Gold ..1945.30 +6.10 +0.31%*
*Timah.29809 -1029 -3.34%‼️*
*(Closed 30/01)*
*Nickel.30329 +589.00 +1.98%*
*(Closed 31/01)*
Silver…….23.84 +0.10 +0.10%
Copper..422.60 +2.40 +0.57%

Nturl Gas.2.722 +0.034 +1.26%

Ammonia.4250.00 +26.67 +0.63%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(30/01)

*Coal price.251.75 -13.60-5.13%‼️*
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price244.15 -12.85 -5.00%‼️*
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price240.35 -12.65 -5.00%‼️*
(Apr/Newcastle)
*Coal price.240.25 -8.80 -3.53%‼️*
(Mei/Newcastle)

Coal price.136.65 -2.35 -1.69%
(Feb/Rotterdam)
Coal price.136.65 -2.35 -1.69%
(Mar/ Rotterdam)
Coal price.138.45 -2.45 -1.74%
(Apr/Rotterdam)
*Coal price138.95 -3.35 -2.35%*
(May/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Apr)….3813 -117 -2.98%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..679.75 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..62.33 +1.01 +1.65%
Wheat…….761.25. +8.75 +1.16%

*Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 31/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe ijo tipis2, kecuali inggris yang merah, asia closing merah semua, semoga rebound hari ini

Oil rebound, metal2 ijo kecuali timah, kita cermat ANTM dan MDKA apakah sudah waktunya re-buy. Gas rebound semoga PGAS jalan. Coal drop lagi, udahan bener kah ini? Atau masih ada kesempatan swing sekali lagi sebelum winter selesai? Kita tunggu buy signalnya aja pokoknya

IHSG – stoch sell, MACD masih up, MFI sw, BD flat, FF masih NFB, koreksinya apakah akan sekalian tutup gap? deket fibo 61, kejauhan juga sih… Kita tunggu bank bank besar gerak lagi lah kalo gitu baru agresif belanja

Infobank15 – hampir sama posisinya dengan IHSG, tapi ini NFS, makanya turun ya. MFI naik, ada gap di bawah juga, padahal bank bank performance nya bagus, ini mark-down dulu buat akum kali ya

Financials, Transportation, Industrials. Consumer Non-Cyclicals mulai gerak

Stochastic Buy Signal: SMGR DSNG

MACD Buy Signal: BFIN PMMP

 

SMGR – stoch buy macd up, MFI up, BD FF last day acc, ada freq spike pas harga di bottom, udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy ini, check spike and BD avg dulu

Spike nya cakep sih

Kalo average 200 candle udah diatas average bandar…

Average 90 candle masih aman. Bisa spec buy, nambah pas breakout resistance

DSNG – signal bolakbalik terus, MACD up, MFI sw, BD FF acc terus, ini mau hajatan sih kayanya… nunggu CPO price naik firm baru lari

Saya udah entry di LSIP dan masih hold sih… Yang mau masuk DSNG boleh juga, standar tapi ya, stoploss harus dipasang

BFIN – MACD buy stoch down rev, MFIup, BD FF acc tipis, mantul dari midline, belum jelas sih… Big banks belum jalan lagi BFIN biar nunggu stochasticnya buy lagi aja

PMMP – BD akum terus, FF ikut acc 2minggu terakhir, MFI flat, MACD buy stoch up, sektor mulai jalan, udah bikin higher low, mantul di midline LR, bisa spec buy…