Daily Analysis 20230124

January 24th, 2023

Good morning,

Nasdaq jumps 2%, Dow closes 250 points higher as investors weigh Fed rate path

Stocks rose Monday as investors contemplated a potential slowdown in interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and braced for a busy week of earnings.

Dow…….33630 +254.1 +0.76%
Nasdaq.11364 +223.98 +2.01%
S&P 500..4020 +47.2 +1.19%

FTSE…….7785 +14.1 +0.18%
Dax……..15103 +69.4. +0.46%
CAC……..7032 +36.03 +0.52%

Nikkei…..26906 +352.5 +1.33%
HSI………22045 closed +0%
Shanghai..3265 closed +0%

IDX…..6874.93 closed +0%
LQ45….941.01 closed +0%

IDX Energy..2233.19 closed +0%
IDX BscMat 1265.55 closed +0%
IDX Indstrl…1184.86 closed +0%
IDXNONCYC..728.36 closed +0%
IDX Hlthcare1556.29 closed +0%
IDXCYCLIC…820.92 closed +0%
IDX Techno.5370.22 closed +0%
IDX Transp..1647.00 closed +0%
IDX Infrast…..851.34 closed +0%
IDX Finance 1393.62 closed +0%
IDX Banking1120.49 closed +0%
IDX Property….703 closed +0%

Indo10Yr.6.7949 closed +0%
ICBI…349.2220 closed +0%
US10Yr..3.5250 +0.0410 +1.18%
VIX…..19.81 -0.04 -0.20%

USDIndx102.0370 +0.0250 +0.02%
Como Indx.280.25 +1.79 +0.64%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.07 -0.31 -0.18%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15075.00 closed +0%
Jisdor..15121.00 closed +0%

Euro……1.0871 +0.0016 +0.14%

TLKM…26.19 +0.16 +0.61%
(3960)
EIDO……23.26 +0.13 +0.56%
EEM……42.03 +0.30 +0.72%

Oil……..81.62 -0.02 -0.02%
Gold ..1949.00 +4.10 +0.21%
Timah….29536 closed +0%
(Closed 20/01)
Nickel.28398.50 -186.50 -0.65%
(Closed 23/01)
Silver…….23.55 -0.38 -1.61%
Copper..425.75 +0.60 +0.14%

Nturl Gas.3.231+0.193 +6.36%‼️

Ammonia.4223.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(18/01)

Coal price..360.00 +9.05 +2.58%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..290.00 -13.45 -4.43%‼️
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price..281.00 -8.50 -2.94%‼️
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..273.75. -7.85 -2.79%‼️
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..172.00 -2.45 -1.40%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..176.50 -2.65 -1.48%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..175.00 -3.85. -2.15%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..176.40 -2.25 -1.26%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3904 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..666.75 -9.50 -1.40%
SoybeanOil..62.07 +0.10 +0.16%
Wheat…….721.75 -19.75 -2.66%

Wood pulp…6280.00 unch +0%
(Closed 23/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Index regional ijo semua, yang kemaren libur juga pas jum’at closing ijo. Bekel buat IHSG lanjut rally wave 3, tapi wajarnya akan koreksi sehat dulu, udah 7 candle hijau berturut-turut, semoga kalopun merah ga dalem

Metal2 kebanyakan merah kecuali gold, basic materials harusnya pullback dulu, peluang re-entry nanti pas rebound nya. Oil sempet ijo closing merah, Gas ijo, coal abis turun naik lagi masih di level 360 USD/MT, belum saatnya rebound dari chart nya, CPO jum’at closing ijo, sekilas sepertinya tambang2 turun dulu, oil gas dan CPO yang giliran jalan

IHSG – technically ok banget, stoch up, macd up, mfi up, BD acc, FF udah 2 hari NFB, supertrend buy, firm wave 3. Stoch 833 yang udah overbought dan LR udah deket ujung upper channel, minor correction is eminent, major nya still up

Energy, Financials, Industrials, Property

Stochastic Buy Signal: ACES DSNG PWON

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO BBRI PGAS PTBA ADHI

ACES – stoch buy, MACD rev up, MFI SW, BD FF start acc, udah bikin higher low, ada hidden bullish divergence di MACD histogram, tembus MA 10. Bisa spec buy, amannya tunggu MACD cross

DSNG – stoch bolak balik, MACD rev down, BD FF overall acc terus, MFI down, udah sampe fibo 61 tapi momentumnya bukan mau lanjut, keliatan mau koreksi, LR bisa kemana aja, WNS deh…

PWON – Belum ini sih, masih bolak balik doang

ADRO – technically ok, stoch up macd buy, MFI sw, ada 2 gap diatas, malah FF pas 3100-an akum. Masalahnya harga coalnya belum gerak lagi. Tapi kadang2 technical mendahului berita sih, so tertib technical, BUY. Stoploss ketat

BBRI – stoch up macd buy MFI up, BD FF acc, EW kalo textbook failed, tapi seringkali emang ga sempurna sih, kalo dianggap lanjut, sekarang wave 5. Udah 5 candle berturut2 ijo, stoch 833 overbought, kayanya minor pullback ke 4490-4590 an, support level dan volume profile modus. Bisa spec buy, tapi siap2 buy average kalo pullback, jangan full load dulu

PGAS – stoch up macd buy, 833 belum masuk overbought, MFI up, BD abis dist mulai akum, FF inside, LR mantul, modus vol profile diatas, BUY

PTBA – technically ok, kaya ADRO juga, kendalanya di coal price… Bisa spec buy stoploss ketat