Daily Analysis 20230119

January 19th, 2023

Good morning,

S&P 500 posts worst day in more than a month, Dow closes 600 points lower
The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled more than 600 points on Wednesday as investors took profits on some of the strong January gains and as a disappointing December retail sales reading raised concerns about a recession. Shares of banks led the losses.

Dow…….33297 -613.9 -1.81%
Nasdaq.10957 -138.1 -1.24%
S&P 500..3929* -62.1 -1.56%

FTSE…….7831 -20.3 -0.26%
Dax……..15182 -5.3 -0.03%
CAC……..7084 +6.2. +0.09%

Nikkei…..26791 +652.4 +2.50%
HSI………21678 +100.4 +0.47%
Shanghai..3224 +0.2 +0.01%

IDX…..6765.79 -1.55 -0.02%
LQ45….929.76 -0.09 -0.01%

IDX Energy..2151.10 +9.90 +0.46%
IDX BscMat 1254.79 -14.12 -1.11%
IDX Indstrl…1148.28 +6.30 +0.55%
IDXNONCYC..724.25 +3.29 +0.46%
IDX Hlthcare1545.64 +8.35 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…814.39 -2.80 -0.34%
IDX Techno.5355.72 -16.64 -0.31%
IDX Transp..1651.07 +7.68 +0.47%
IDX Infrast…..846.97 +2.51 +0.30%
IDX Finance 1375.91 -3.74 -0.27%
IDX Banking1101.50 -3.93 -0.36%
IDX Property….695 +2.10 +0.31%

Indo10Yr.6.8270 -0.0179 -0.25%👍
ICBI…348.7290 +0.1986 +0.06%👍
US10Yr..3.3750 -0.1600 -4.53%‼️
VIX…..20.34 +0.98 +5.06%

USDIndx102.4100 +0.021 +0.02%
Como Indx.276.13 -1.09 -0.39%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..176.01 +2.55 +1.47%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15087.50 -77.50 -0.51%👍
Jisdor..15137.00 -17.00 -0.11%

Euro……1.0788 -0.0003 -0.03%

TLKM…..25.59 -0.22 -0.85%
(3874)
EIDO…..22.63 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……40.79 -0.28 -0.68%

Oil……..79.46 -0.70 -0.87%
Gold ..1907.90 -2.90 -0.15%
Timah…28416 -50 -0.18%
(Closed 17/01)
Nickel.28126.00 +1529.50 +5.75%‼️
(Closed 18/01)
Silver…….23.65 -0.42 -1.75%
Copper..423.45 +1.15 +0.27%

Nturl Gas..3.280 -0.3570 -9.81%

Ammonia.4190.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/01)

Coal price..368.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..326.50 -3.50 -1.06%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price..301.00 -3.00 -0.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..287.55. +2.55 +0.89%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..175.00 +5.00 +2.94%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..171.00 +3.00 +1.75%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.90 +3.40 +1.99%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..173.85 +3.55 +2.08%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3868 +70 +1.84%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..681.25 -4.00 -0.58%
SoybeanOil..64.12 +0.28 +0.44%
Wheat……..742.50 -9.25 -1.23%

Wood pulp…6290.00 unch +0%
(Closed 18/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Wah US merah dalem, lebih parah dari kemaren. Europe dan Asia tipis tipis, nikkei aja yang ijo tebel. Bisa kebawa merah lagi hari ini, apa mau closing gap dulu kali ya

Metal2 kebanyakan merah, copper ijo tipis nikel naik tinggi. Oil turun, gas drop, coal Newcastle turun tipis, Rotterdam naik tebel, rada aneh ini ga kompak. CPO ijo tebel, semoga LSIP firm jalan

IHSG – NFS lagi, tutup gap dulu kalo gini kayanya, masih tetep firm sih mau wave 3, semoga koreksinya ga dalem terus mantul… MFI masih up, Stoch buy macd buy, bd acc

Tinggal sisa Healthcare di quadrant 4 – leading yang sudutnya masih ok, keliatannya Basic Materials kompakan koreksi dulu ini, Transportation, Property, Industrials, kita liat detail saham2 nya apa bener itu yang mau jadi ganjel index

Stochastic Buy Signal: BBCA KLBF AALI WSKT PTRO

MACD Buy Signal: BBTN INDY BSDE BTPS CTRA DOID MMLP

BBCA – stoch buy but sw, macd almost buy, MFI down, BD FF dist, reg bull div MACD hist, confirmed by 2 bull candle and MA 10, belum sih, tunggu MACD dulu

KLBF – stoch buy, macd almost buy, MFI down, FF acc BD acc last day dist, LR slope bagus, tapi elliot wave nya mencurigakan, kaya yang udahan dan mau ABC correction, WNS

AALI – stoch buy MACD up, MFI sw, BD FF masih bolak balik acc dist, walau cumadikit tapi ini udah bikin higher low, bisa spec buy sih, ketat tapi kalo breakdiwn bikin lower low buang

WSKT – sabar dulu deh, mau spec buy juga index lagi kemungkinan besar koreksi, tunggu MACD aja

PTRO – stoch buy, macd revup, BD last day acc, FF udah 3 hari acc tipis, MFI up, abis rally koreksi belum terlalu dalem, sampe fibo 23 doang, kemaren gap up, tunggu tutup gap danmacd buy deh

BBTN – stoch up macd buy,MFI sw, BD FF start acc, reg bull div confirmed by MA 10 and MACD buy signal, LR mantul, BOW spec buy

INDY – ini coal coal an udah bisa spec buy lagi sih, tapi kemungkinan besar ga akan rally setinggi tahun kemaren. Stoch up, MACD buy, MFI up BD FF masih bolak balik, belum mau lari

BSDE – stoch up 833 sell, MACD buy sw, MFI downflat, FF acc, BD dist, baru bikin lower low sih, belum aman untuk entry, kecuali sekarang turun dulu besok naik lagi jadi bikin higher low

BTPS – stoch up macd bu, MFI up, BD FF last day acc, reg bul div confirmed by 2 bull candle, MA10 and MACD buy signal, LR mantul dari lower channel, ok Spec Buy, BOW

CTRA – stoch up macd buy, MFI flat, last day FF dan bd accum , reg bull div confirmed by macd buy signal, LR belum sampe ujung lower channel udah mantul, bisa spec buy sih

Dari harga aman…

DOID – stoch uo macd buy, MFI lat, BD FF last day acc, udah drop jauh banget, bisa spec buy tapi swing nya nanti kalo udah bikin higher low

MMLP – stoch buy macd buy, MFI sw, FF acc terus udah sebulan, BD acc, mau breakout fibo 23, berangkat dari modus vol profile, ok buat spec buy, firm breakout bisa nambah, tapi saya personally property milih BSDE atau CTRA aja