Daily Analysis 20230118

January 18th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 100 points higher, S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch best week since November

Stocks rose Friday as investors digested bank earnings and bet inflation would ease in 2023.

Dow…….33911 -391.8 -1.14%
Nasdaq.11095 +15.96 +0.14%
S&P 500..3991 -8.1 -0.20%

FTSE…….7851 -9.04 -0.12%
Dax……..15187 +53.03 +0.35%
CAC……..7077 +33.9 +0.48%

Nikkei…..26139 +316.4 +1.23%
HSI………21578 -169.1 -0.78%
Shanghai..3224 -3.4 -0.10%

IDX…..6767.34 +79.28 +1.19%
LQ45….929.85 +16.54 +1.81%

IDX Energy..2141.20 +10.50 +0.49%
IDX BscMat 1268.92 +4.31 +0.34%
IDX Indstrl…1141.99 +5.41 +0.48%
IDXNONCYC..720.97 +3.04 +0.42%
IDX Hlthcare1537.30 -2.95 -0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…817.19 +3.33 +0.41%
IDX Techno.5372.37+102.40 +1.94%
IDX Transp..1643.39 -0.55 -0.03%
IDX Infrast…..844.46 +5.48 +0.65%
IDX Finance 1379.65 +15.65 +1.15%
IDX Banking1105.43 +22.21 +2.05%
IDX Property….693 -1.70 -0.25%

Indo10Yr.6.8444 +0.0063 +0.09%
ICBI…348.5304 -0.1682 -0.05%
US10Yr..3.5350 +0.0240 +0.68%
VIX…..19.36 -0.13 -0.67%

USDIndx102.3890 +0.031 +0.03%
Como Indx.277.22 +1.31 +0.47%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..173.46 unch +0%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15165.00 +120.00 +0.80%
Jisdor..15154.00 +135.00 +0.90%

Euro……1.0790 -0.0032 -0.29%

TLKM…..25.81 +0.90 +3.61%‼️
(3911)
EIDO…..22.64 +0.32 +1.43%
EEM……41.07 -0.23 -0.56%

Oil…….80.18 +1.33 +1.69%
Gold ..1909.90 -8.40 -0.44%
Timah…28756 -290 -1.01%
(Closed 16/01)
Nickel.26596.50 -806.0 -2.94%
(Closed 17/01)
Silver…….24.07 -0.37 -1.51%
Copper..422.30 +8.40 +2.03%

Nturl Gas..3.637 +0.012 +0.33%

Ammonia.4190.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(12/01)

Coal price..369.25 -0.75 -0.20%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..330.00 +6.00 +1.85%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price..304.00 +3.00 +1.00%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..285.00. +0.65 +0.23%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..170.00 +2.00 +1.19%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..171.00 +11.75 +7.38%‼️
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.50 +2.50 +1.49%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.30 +12.80 +8.13%‼️
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Apr)…..3798 -55 -1.43%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..685.25 +10.25 +1.52%
SoybeanOil..63.84 +0.78 +1.24%
Wheat……..751.75 +8.00 +1.08%

Wood pulp…6290.00 -30 -0.47%
(Closed 17/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US DJI merah lumayan dalem, nasdaqnya ijo tipis, europe varied, tipis tipis juga geraknya, Asia IDX sama Nikkei ijo tebel, hangseng sama shanghai merah. Market galau gini ga kompakan, prepare hari ini koreksi ya… Kemaren bikin opening gap pula, bikin pe er aja nih

Oil Gas ijo, Coal Newcastle tipis, Rotterdam ijo trend membaik sih. Metal2 merah kecuali copper, kemaren ANTM MDKA INCO pada naik tinggi awas koreksi hari ini. CPO merah, masih belum saatnya jalan aja ini saham CPO

IHSG – akhirnya NFB… MFI up, Stoch Buy, MACD buy, bandar mah jelas akum, divergence confirmed by MA10 dan macd buy signal kemaren, mantul di LR baru cross midline, lanjut wave 3? Optimisnya gitu, tapi kemaren gap up dan US merah, regional lain juga galau, besar kemungkinan koreksi dulu

Financials bangun, Basic Matererial dan Consumer Non-Cyclicals mulai lemes, Technology juga

Stochastic Buy Signal: BMRI LPKR MMLP MBSS BMTR

MACD Buy Signal: UNTR AGII AKRA LPKR

BMRI – stoch buy MACD buy MFI up, finally NFB, BD flat, wave 4 done ready for wave 5, LR mantul, masih ada 2 unlcosed gap di atas, BOW target sell minimal di gap closing

LPKR – belum… SKIP

MMLP- terlihat seperti saham penuh kolesterol yang siap siap hajatan… FF BD acc terus, MFI up pelan pelan, stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, lagi hovering di fibo 23 dan sekaligus modus Vol Profile nya. Menarik sih ini buat penyuka gorengan, saya skip…

Freq Spike ga terlalu menarik

Bandar Average aman…

MBSS – masuk value investing screener, posisi phase sideways di modus Vol Profile nya, BDacc tipis2 kadang dist tipis, FF dist tipis, relatively masih belum main lagi. Stoch Buy MACD up tapi sideways, MFI sw, wave 4 done siap wave 5, bisa spec buy sih, kalo breakdown titik wave 4 buang, breakout 1270 an nambah

Dari price aman…

BMTR – belum, sih ini… tunggu BD FF gerak dulu, lebih aman lagi tunggu higher low

UNTR – macd buy tapi sideways, BD FF masih dist, belum dulu deh

AGII – ini ok spec buy, stoch up macd buy, MFI up, BD acc, FF last 2 day dist but still inside, koreksi mungkin belum selesai, tapi kalo flat style udah sah mantul, LR ok, bisa spec buy setengah, BOW

AKRA – stoch up macd buy MFI sw, BD acc last day dist, FF bolak balik, last day acc, wave 4 breakdown, tembus top wave 1, mungkin restart EW baru atau masih lanjut wave 3, oil lagi naik bisa spec buy sih, jangan full dulu