Daily Analysis 20230116

January 16th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 100 points higher, S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch best week since November

Stocks rose Friday as investors digested bank earnings and bet inflation would ease in 2023.

Dow…….34303   +112.6   +0.33%
Nasdaq.11079   +78.1      +0.71%
S&P 500..3999   +15.9      +0.40%

FTSE…….7844   +50.03   +0.64%
Dax……..15087  +28.2     +0.19%
CAC……..7024   +47.8     +0.69%

Nikkei…..26120  -330.3   -1.25%
HSI………21739  +224.6  +1.04%
Shanghai..3195 +31.9     +1.01%
ST Times..3294 +25.97  +0.79%

IDX…..6641.83 +11.90     +0.18%
LQ45….905.49  -0.19        -0.02%

IDX Energy..2125.22  +35.41 +1.69%
IDX BscMat 1245.29 +8.09    +0.65%
IDX Indstrl…1130.25  -4.80     -0.42%
IDXNONCYC..722.09 +0.32   +0.04%
IDX Hlthcare1537.05 +6.70   +0.44%
IDXCYCLIC…809.67   -3.48     -0.43%
IDX Techno.5255.92  +94.47 +1.83%
IDX Transp..1633.10  +7.33   +0.45%
IDX Infrast…..838.58   -4.84    -0.57%
IDX Finance 1356.02  -3.78    -0.28%
IDX Banking1072.92   -5.16    -0.48%
IDX Property….693    +0.40    +0.05%

Indo10Yr.6.8257 -0.02300  -0.34%👍
ICBI…348.9012  +0.0620  +1.80%👍
US10Yr..3.5110  -0.1050   -2.95%
VIX…..18.35        -0.48       -2.55%👍

USDIndx102.2040 -0.050 -0.05%
Como Indx.275.91  +2.14  +0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..173.45  +1.90  +1.11%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15148.50 -190.00 -1.24%👍
Jisdor..15177.00 -189.00 -1.23%👍

Euro……1.0828 -0.0022 -0.20%

TLKM…..24.91    -0.17    -0.68%
(3781)
EIDO…..22.32     +0.02   +0.09%
EEM……41.30    +0.27   +0.66%

Oil…….79.86   +1.47    +1.88%
Gold ..1921.70  +22.90    +1.21%‼️
Timah…28756  +1347.00+4.91%‼️
(Closed 13/01)
Nickel.27016.50 -773.0     -2.78%
(Closed 13/01)
Silver…….24.37  +0.37    +1.53%
Copper..421.60  +1.95    +0.46%

Nturl Gas..3.481  -0.200  -5.43%‼️

Ammonia.4190.00 -100.00 -2.33%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(12/01)

Coal price..370.25   -7.25   -1.92%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price..334.00  -8.90   -2.60%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price.309.00   -7.90   -2.49%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price..291.00. -3.50   -1.19%
(Apr/Newcastle)

Coal price..172.70  -3.70  -2.14%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..169.35  -4.45 -2.56%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.05  -3.05   -1.76%
(Mar/Rotterdam)
Coal price..169.30  -3.00   -1.74%
(Apr/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..3842  -49  -1.26%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..675.00  +4.00  +0.60%
SoybeanOil..63.06   -0.19   -0.30%
Wheat……..743.75  +1.00  +0.13%

Wood pulp…6330.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 15/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing jum’at ijo, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali nikkei, hayo lanjut ke atas…

Kebanyakan commodity closing ijo kecuali natural gas, coal, CPO sama nickel, ok lah

IHSG – stochastic mulai rev up, macd flattening, BD acc terus, FF masih Net Sell terus, MFI up, regbullcivconfirmed by 2 bull candle, semoga betul reversal dan kenceng, mantulnya pas di support kuat, kita liat infobank15

Infobank15 – masih belum, macd down mfi down stoch rev up, BD flat FF dist, wave 2 break down, jadi harus redraw, masih belum dukung index naik

Basic Materials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Stochastic Buy Signal: BUKA GOTO PTBA TBIG TLKM ADHI DOID ELSA LSIP MTDL PWON SIDO TAPG

Banyak banget, kalo abis drop terus index mulai mantul suka gitu, hati2 suka drop lagi pas indexnya sideways atau koreksi lagi

MACD Buy Signal: ARTO UNVR PMMP MBSS

BUKA – stoch buy macdup but sw, MFI up, FF BD dist, masih phase sideways sih, belum breakout, WNS dulu deh, harga naik bandar buang mah ga asik

GOTO – dari awal MACD buy signal udah pengen beli GOTO, tapi karena supirnya suka ugal ugalan jadi ga berani… FF masih dist, BD mulai akum, MFI up, stoch buy tapi SW, ga meyakinkan, last candle breakout resistance with volume sih, yang berani monggo, saya minggir…

PTBA – belum sih, stoch aja buy tapi sw, MFI flat, macd down, BD FF dist, skip dulu

TBIG – belum, macd masih down, FF dist terus, BD acc seminggu terus jum’at guyur. LR mantul kebawah, reg bull div confirmed by MA10 and 2 green candles, tapi last candle breakdown MA10 lagi. Skip dulu

TLKM – stoch buy macd up rev down mfi down FF dist panjang, BD sempet akum tipis tipis last day dist, belum sih

ADHI – skip… tunggu bikin higher low

DOID – stoch buy macd almost buy, BD bolak balik, FF 2 days FNB, MFI up, menarik sih, last run befire winter ends… Tunggu MACD deh

ELSA – menarik banget, stoch buy macd almost buy, MF up, BD FF masih relatively flat. Wait MACD deh kalo mau spec buy

LSIP – stoch buy macd sw, MFI down, FF udah mulai akum lebih dari seminggu, BD masih dist, jelas below consensus price, Elliot wave reverse juga udah kena level targetnya, tapi CPO price masih jelek jadi belum sih… Tunggu higher low idealnya, atau minimal tunggu BD dan FF kompak acc semua

MTDL – ini udah bikin higher low, mulai mantul, stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, FF acc, BD sepet akum tapi last 3 days dist, tunggu MACD deh

PWON – berkali-kali buy signal, belum jalan juga. udah beberapa kali bikin higher low, masih sideways lagi juga, tunggu breakout aja deh…

SIDO – abis drop retracement pattern nya udah ke fibo 38 terus koreksi ke 23, tapi tembus, lagi mantul dari higher low, stoch buy, MACD belum, MFI sw, BD FF baru balik acc jum’at kemaren. Pas MACD cross kita assess lagi, kalo sambil breakout fibo 23 semoga firm ngejar fibo 61

TAPG – BD FF rather flat, stoch macd juga bolak balik, CPO proce masih jelek, wns dulu deh

ARTO skip

UNVR – stoch up macd buy, mfi sw,BD FF acc, ada 2 gap belum ketutup, LR sideways dan di area modus vol profile. Saya personally skip karena overpriced…

PMMP skip

MBSS – masih sideways, stoch buy macd buy, MFI up. FF out, BD akum tipis, belum jelas sih, tunggu breakout resistance with volume aja