Daily Analysis 20230111

January 11th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher as investors await inflation report, Nasdaq notches 3-day win streak

Stocks advanced Tuesday as investors continued building on the new year’s early rally while waiting for economic data and corporate earnings coming later in the week.

Dow…….33704 +186.5 +0.56%
Nasdaq.10743 +106.98+1.01%
S&P 500..3919 +27.2 +0.70%

FTSE…….7695 -30.5. -0.39%
Dax……..14775 -18.2 -0.12%
CAC……..6869 -38.2 -0.55%

Nikkei…..26176 +201.7 +078%
HSI………21331 -56.9 -0.27%
Shanghai…3170 -6.6 -0.21%
ST Times..3263 -42.8 -1.29%

IDX…..6622.50 -65.77 -0.98%
LQ45….901.09 -14.77 -1.61%

IDX Energy..2106.55 +32.81 +1.58%
IDX BscMat 1226.54 -8.82 -0.71%
IDX Indstrl…1132.61 +1.21 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.27 -7.14 -0.98%
IDX Hlthcare1551.74 -19.27 -1.23%
IDXCYCLIC…807.61 -6.91 -0.85%
IDX Techno.5102.56 +2.72 +0.05%
IDX Transp..1631.88 -0.17 -0.01%
IDX Infrast…..843.52 -1.35 -0.16%
IDX Finance 1351.60 -24.01 -1.75%
*IDX Banking1075.98 -35.35 -3.18%‼️*
IDX Property….690 -0.40 -0.06%

*Indo10Yr.6.9583 -0.0398 -0.57%👍*
*ICBI…346.7760 +0.8563 +0.86%👍*
*US10Yr..3.6210 +0.1040 +2.96%*
*VIX…..20.58 -1.39 -6.33%*

*USDIndx103.2670 +0.0670 +0.06%*
Como Indx.268.09 -0.55 -0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..168.24 +0.64 +0.38%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15575.00 +8.00 +0.05%*
*Jisdor..15589.00 +15.00 +0.10%*

*Euro……1.0735 +0.0004 +0.04%*

TLKM…..24.42 +0.26 +1.08%
*(3807)*
EIDO…..21.72 -0.18 -0.82%
EEM……40.66 +0.29 +0.72%

Oil…….75.12 +0.49 +0.66%
Gold ..1876.50 -1.30 -0.07%
*Timah…25861 +591 +2.34%*
*(Closed 09/01)*
Nickel.27328.00 -56.0 -0.20%
*(Closed 10/01)*
Silver…….23.67 -0.21 -0.86%
Copper..407.75 +5.10 +1.27%

*Nturl Gas..3.565 -0.337 -8.64%*

*Ammonia..4456.67 -150 -3.26%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(09/01)

Coal price….390.45 -3.40 -0.86%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….361.00 -3.05 -0.84%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.65 -3.50 -1.04%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…172.10 -0.50 -0.29%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..171.65 +0.75 +0.44%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..170.95 +0.60 +0.35%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

*CPO(Mar)…..3972 -165 -4.01%‼️*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….655.00 +2.25 +0.34%
SoybeanOil..62.57 -0.78 -1.23%
Wheat……..731.00 -10.50 -1.42%

*Wood pulp…6360.00. -40 -0.63%*
(Closed 10/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe merah,asia hampir semua merah kecuali nikkei, semoga sentimen positif US bawa IHSG ijo hari ini

Oil up, gas drop, coal down, energy belum lagi sih ini, Gold turun tipis, timah up, nickel merah tipis silverdown, copper up, sideways dulu tambang2an kayanya

IHSG – low kemarin 6570, bahaya banget, support kuat di 6559 base wave 1 elliot wave, tembus ini elliot wave nya theoretically failed. Kalo ngitung fibonacci extension malah di titik low sebelumnya deket 6500, semoga ga kejadian

IHSG – masih FNS lagi, stoch masih down, MACD masih down, MFI down, semoga cepet berubah, kondisi gini hati2 mending banyak pegang cash

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property (???), Infrastructure, Basic Materials, disusul Transportation

Stochastic Buy Signal: INDY INTP ITMG PGAS UNTR CTRA TAPG

MACD Buy Signal: PRDA PWON

INDY – stoch buy, MACD down flattening, MFI down, Last day NFB, BD 3 days acc, ada reg bull div, LR mantul di lower channel, perlu di check coal price movement, kalo dari technical ini doang seolah2 udah ok buat spec buy

Coal Price – Mungkin tidak seperti yang digambarkan di elliot wave, extreme banget kalo diperkirakan sekarang sudah selesai wave 5 dan sedang ABC correction, selesainya bisa di harga 200, setengah harga sekarang, tapi minimal bisa diambil kesimpulan belum sekarang waktunya beli saham coal, stoch sell, macd masih down

INTP – stoch buy macd up but sw, MFI up, FF masih dist, BD bolak balik, tapi terakhir dist, masih below fibo 23, breakkout darvas box tapi retest support tembus, ga mantul, jangan dulu deh

ITMG – stoch buy, macd down, MFI down, FF BD last day acc, baru tutup gap, EW belum confirmed apa batal atau cuma geser wave 2. Masih belum ok

PGAS – stoch buy macd down, MFI down, BD last day acc, FF masih dist, EW failed, kita pantau mau kemana dia, tembus LR dan lama dibawah, kalo stay lebih lama malah ga mantul, slope rubah nanti

UNTR – menarik banget, stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI sw, BF FF masih dist, itungan EW reverse udah sampe, siap start retracement pattern, belum sekarang sih ini, tapi wajib masuk wathclist

CTRA – stoch buy, macd down, MFI sw, BD FF masih dist, abc correction kayanya belum beres, LR belum sampe bates Lower udah mantul, tunggu MACD deh

TAPG – stoch buy macd flat, MFI sw, FF dist, BD 2 hari acc, reg bull div banyak, confirmed by 2 bull candle,tunggu MACD deh, CPO price masih sideways

PRDA – stoch down macd buy, MFI down, BD FF dist, retracement pattern belum jelas, LR slope up lagi di midline, bisa kemana aja, tar dulu deh

PWON – menarik, BD akum terus, FF seminggu ikutan akum, stoch sell, MACD buy, ret pattern belum firm, ga sempet sampe fibo 38, generally masih sideways sih, breakout fibo 23 baru ikut buy amannya. Masuk wathclist ok, karena akumnya panjang. Mungkin abis financials jalan bisa nyusul lari ini property