Daily Analysis 20230106

January 06th, 2023

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points lower after strong jobs data signals more rate hikes

Stocks fell Thursday after jobs data showed the labor market is still strong despite the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes to tame inflation.

Dow…….32930 -339.7 -1.02%
Nasdaq.10305 -153.5 -1.47%
S&P 500..3808 -44.9 -1.16%

FTSE…….7633 +48.3 +0.64%
Dax……..14436 -54.5 -0.38%
CAC……..6762 -14.9 -0.22%

Nikkei…..25821 +103.9 +0.40%
HSI………21052 +259.1 +1.25%
Shanghai…3155 +31.7 +1.01%
ST Times..3292 +50.2 +1.55%

IDX…..6653.84 -159.40 -2.34%
LQ45….909.66 -18.87 -2.03%

IDX Energy..2090.52 -121.09 -5.48%‼️
IDX BscMat 1200.45 -32.27 -2.62%
IDX Indstrl…1130.31 -26.24 -2.27%
IDXNONCYC..719.24 -2.65 -0.37%
IDX Hlthcare1540.76 +6.93 +0.45%
IDXCYCLIC…824.69 -19.88 -2.35%
IDX Techno.5077.88 -147.90 -2.83%
IDX Transp..1606.19 -42.99 -2.61%
IDX Infrast…..855.58 -22.35 -2.55%
IDX Finance 1378.53 -27.41 -1.95%
IDX Banking 1114.40 -22.91 -2.01%
IDX Property….685 -14.90 -2.14%

Indo10Yr.7.0324 -0.0074 -0.11%
ICBI…344.9935 +0.3292 +0.10 %
US10Yr..3.7200 +0.0110 +0.30%
VIX…..22.46 +0.45 +2.04%

USDIndx105.1290 +0.860 +0.82%‼️
Como Indx.263.69 -0.48 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.34 -1.95 -1.20%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15616.50 +34.00 +0.22%
Jisdor..15610.00 -5.00 -0.03%

Euro……1.05020 -0.0085 -0.80%

TLKM…..24.03 -0.32 -1.31%
(3751)
EIDO…..21.60 -0.73 -3.27%‼️
EEM……39.25 -0.12 -0.30%

Oil…….73.67 +0.83 +1.14%
Gold …1840.60 -18.40 -0.99%
Timah….25095 -378 -1.48%
(Closed 04/01)
Nickel.27909.50 -1338.50 -4.58%‼️
(Closed 05/01)
Silver…….23.42 -0.54 -2.25%
Copper…382.10 +8.05 +2.15%

Nturl Gas..3.774 -0.375 -9.04%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….397.50 +2.95 +0.75%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 +8.30 +2.28%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….347.50 +7.20 +2.12%
(Mar/Newcastle)
Coal price…177.75 -1.00 -0.56%
(Jan/Rotterdam)
Coal price..177.90 -1.35 -0.75%
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..178.35 -1.35 -0.75%
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4091 -80 -1.92%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn……….652.75 -1.00 -0.15%
SoybeanOil..62.42 -0.43 -0.68%
Wheat……..746.75 +1.25 +0.17%

Wood pulp…6420.00. -10 -0.16%
(Closed 05/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah lagi, europe varied, asia ijo kecuali indonesia yang nyungsep

Oil reound dikit, gas lanjut drop, coal naik, metal turun semua kecuali copper, CPO turun, masih belum bisa ngegas… Tapi masih optimis index lanjut sih

IHSG – Foreign sell off, dan BD lokal ga nahan, terjun bebas deh… Sampe MACD nya ngebalik jadi sell lagi. Yang kena cutloss jangan buru2 masuk lagi, sabar dulu aja. Saham saham yang signal nya belum ngebalik gpp hold, yang jadi signal sell exit dulu aja, tertib teknikal, nanti ada gilirannya belanja lagi. Bikin lower low,belum firm jadi bottom wave 2, tapi liat dari levelnya pas di area support prevoius low, semoga jadi piercing line candle. AScending triangle gagal breakout ke atas, WNS dulu secara umum

Masih infrastructure, technology, yang nyusul Basic Materials, Consumer Non-Cyclicals sama Property

Stoch Buy Signal: INKP AGII HEAL. Satu sinarmas, satu Saratoga, satu Astra, hmm… ada hajatan kah?

MACD buy signal: GGRM, skip ah

INKP – harusnya TKIM INKP jalan ini, kalo ga indexnya dibanting kemaren… stoch buy macd down, MFI sw, BD walau market slide kemaren tapi malah ngebalik dari dist jadi akum,FF udah akum duluan. Pas level fibo 23, cocok untuk lanjut ke 61, VP yang kalo bantingan lanjut jadi seolah2 amannya ambil di 7600-an. Kita tunggu regbulldivnya confirmed deh, tunggu satu bull candle lagi atau MA 10 atau di MACD buy signal

AGII – gas price dunia nya lagi ga jelas, ga bisa dijadin patokan buat saham2 perusahaan yang bisnisnya gas, stoch buy macd dow mfi flatBD FF last day akum, tapis ecara umummasih bolak balik sih,wait MACD

HEAL – saham hajatan ini kayanya… tapi hari ini tadi dibikin loncat sampe mendekati haga target wave 3, langsung ketemu reg bear div, stoch buy 833 sell, macd still down, MFI naik pelan pelan, ga ada freq spike, ga berani sih masuk sekarang mah