Daily Analysis 20230105

January 05th, 2023

Good morning,

Stocks close higher, snap 2-day losing streak as Wall Street shakes off Fed minutes

Stocks closed higher Wednesday after a choppy session as investors looked past Federal Reserve meeting minutes that showed the central bank will remain aggressive in its policy to tame high inflation.

Dow…….33270 +133.4 +0.40%
Nasdaq.10459 +71.8 +0.69%
S&P 500..3853 +28.8 +0.75%

FTSE…….7585 +31.1 +0.41%
*Dax…….14491 +309.1 +2.18%*
*CAC……..6776 +152.5 +2.30%*

Nikkei…..25717 -377.6 -1.45%
*HSI…….20793 +647.8 +3.22%*
Shanghai…3124 +7.0. +0.22%
ST Times..3242 -3.3 -0.10%

IDX…….6813.24 -75.52 -1.10%
LQ45……928.53 -11.92 -1.27%

*IDX Energy..2211.60 -73.20 -3.20%*
IDX BscMat 1232.72 -6.35 -0.51%
IDX Indstrl…1156.55 -25.08 -2.12%
IDXNONCYC..721.89 -1.82 -0.25%
IDX Hlthcare1533.83 -27.79 -1.78%
IDXCYCLIC….844.57 -6.80 -0.80%
IDX Techno.5225.79 +12.60+0.24%
IDX Transp..1649.17 -25.77 -1.54%
IDX Infrast……877.93 -8.97 -1.01%
IDX Finance 1405.94 -8.91 -0.63%
IDX Banking 1137.31 -11.51 -1.00%
IDX Property….700 -7.30 -1.04%

Indo10Yr.7.0398 -0.0025 -0.04%
ICBI….344.6642 +0.0910 +0.03%
*US10Yr..3.7090 -0.0840 -2.21%*
*VIX…..22.01 -0.89 -3.89%*

*USDIndx.104.2690 -0.4140 -0.40%*
*Como Indx.264.17 -6.01 -2.22%*
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..162.29 -3.17 -1.92%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15582.50 -18.50 -0.12%*
*Jisdor..15615.00 +25.00 +0.16%*

*Euro……1.0604 +0.057 +0.54%*

TLKM…..24.35 -0.05 -0.20%
*(3804)*
EIDO…….22.33 -0.09 -0.40%
*EEM……39.37 +1.15 +3.01%*

*Oil…….72.85 -4.09 -5.32%‼️*
*Gold …1859.00 +12.90 +0.70%*
*Timah….25473 +665 +2.68%*
*(Closed 03/01)*
*Nickel.29248.00 -2087.50 -6.66%‼️*
*(Closed 04/01)*
Silver…….23.96 -0.27 -1.12%
Copper…374.05 -2.60 -0.69%

*Nturl Gas..4.149 +0.140 +3.49%*

*Ammonia..4606.67 -66.66 -1.43%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(03/01)

Coal price….394.55 +1.45 +0.37%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.70 +3.05 +0.85%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.30 +3.35 +0.99%
(Mar/Newcastle)
*Coal price…178.75 -8.50 -4.54%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)
*Coal price..179.25 -8.80 -4.68%‼️*
(Feb/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price..179.70 -7.40 -3.96%‼️*
(Mar/Rotterdam)

CPO(Mar)…..4171 -84 -1.97%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

*Corn……….653.75 -16.75 -2.50%*
SoybeanOil…62.86 -0.35 -0.55%
*Wheat……..745.50 -30.00 -3.87%*

Wood pulp…6430.00. -6 -0.09%
(Closed 04/01)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US ijo, europe ijo tebel, semoga IHSG hari ini rebound kenceng juga. Hangseng kemaren padahal naik tinggi

Metal2 ga kompak, Gold Timah naik, Nikel drop, silver copper turun. Masih ok buat ANTM sama MDKA. Oil lanjut drop, gas rebound, coal NCF naik, Rotterdam turun, agak mengkhawatirkan ini energy…

CPO turun lagi, watchout saham CPO, tertib teknikal, karena price reboundnya belum firm

IHSG – balik NFS lagi, walhasil drop, stoch masih down, MACD up tapi jadi goyang, MFI flat, BD dist (pantes drop, ga ditahan bandar lokal), belum berhasil firm breakout ascending triangle, masih bolak balik, kita liat perkembangannya gimana di infobank

Infobank15 – stoch udah buy, macd belum, outflow foreign belum beres, BD juga ikutan dist, belum bisa ngangkat index nih…

Masih Technology sama Infrastructure (versi telco sama JSMR, BUMN konstruksi masih kacau) Sektor lain mulai mantul, tapi belum…

Stoch Buy Signal: INDF MEDC DSNG SRTG

MACD Buy Signal: ANTM TAPG

INDF – Keliatannya mau wave 5, mantul di midline LR, PSAR udah buy, stoch buy, macd rev up,MFI masih down, FF dist masih inside sih, BD acc terus, ada freq spike tgl 26 dec, spec buy ok

Ga terlalu istimewa spike nya, kalo mau masuk 1/3 or 1/2 botol dulu aja deh

dari sisi average price bandar juga, udah diatas avg, jangan masuk full

MEDC – dari elliot wave udah rada harus khawatir, mungkin udah beres siklusnya dan mau drop, ada gap dibawah, stoch buy, macd belu, bandar bolak balik last day dist, FF inside tapi bolak balik juga, MFI sw, WNS dulu deh, apalagi oil price drop

DSNG – walau cpo price koreksi, AALI LSIP turun, dsng tetep naik, BD FF acc, stoch buy MACD lamost buy, MFI up, ada gap dibawah, tapi kayanya ditinggal sih, belum keluar dari fase sideways, tunggu MACD aja deh

SRTG – stoch buy, MACD rev uo,BD dist lastday acc, FF dist panjang last day acc, MFI still down, dari ret pattern harusnya mau jalan ke fibo 61, tunggu MACD deh, kayanya mau hajatan ni SRTG

ANTM – stoch almost buy, macd buy, 833 buy, FF ngebalik big acc, BD juga, MFI up, ret pattern mantul dari 23otw 61, sekarang sedikit diatas transaksi terbanyak tahunan volume profile, BUY!!!

Dari average price bandar tahunan aman

Ada freq spike walau ga istimewa, tapi terjadi di phase sideways, so ok sih

Gold Price naik, bagus buat tambang2 emas

TAPG – stoch baru sell kemaren, MACD buy, BD abis dist last day acc, FF juga, MFI up, ret pattern pas untuk lanjut ke fibo 61, ini sih tinggal apa cpo price bener lanjut rebound atau tidak… Relatively mending LSIP dari rasio keuangan, tapi ini juga ok