Daily Analysis 20221230

December 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher in year-end rally. Nasdaq adds more than 2%

Stocks jumped on Thursday as investors headed into the final trading days of 2022.

Dow…….33221 +345.1 +1.05%
Nasdaq.10478 +264.8 +2.59%
S&P 500..3849 +66.1 +1.75%

FTSE…….7513 +15.5 +0.21%
Dax……..14072 +146.1 +1.05%
CAC……..6573 +62.98 +0.97%

Nikkei…..26094 -246.8 -0.94%
HSI………19741 -157.8 -0.79%
Shanghai…3074 -13.7 -0.44%
ST Times..3249 -17.7 -0.54%

IDX…….6860.08 +9.56 +0.14%
LQ45……939.87 +6.18 +0.66%

IDX Energy..2283.53 -30.53 -1.32%
IDX BscMat 1224.00 -0.80 -0.07%
IDX Indstrl…1175.85 +6.37 +0.54%
IDXNONCYC..722.99 +2.54 +0.35%
IDX Hlthcare.1554.34+19.14 +1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..847.94 -2.44 -0.29%
IDX Techno..5208.38 +90.86+1.78%
IDX Transp…1659.63 -7.02 -0.42%
IDX Infrast……857.14 -1.98 -0.14%
IDX Finance 1412.47 -6.32 -0.45%
IDX Banking 1146.98 +0.87 +0.08%
IDX Property….708 -1.20 -0.17%

Indo10Yr.7.0018 +0.0013 +0.02%
ICBI….344.7342 +0.0782 +0.02%
US10Yr..3.8350 -0.0520 -1.34%
VIX……21.44 -0.70 -3.16%

USDIndx.103.9790 -0.5570 -0.53%
Como Indx.276.01 -1.34 -0.48%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..166.40 -0.31 -0.18%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15657.50 -61.50 -0.39%
Jisdor..15731.00 +28.00 +0.18%‼️

Euro……1.0664 +0.0065 +0.61%

TLKM…..23.68 +0.26 +1.11%
(3725)
EIDO…….22.42 +0.40 +1.82%
EEM……..38.43 +0.63 +1.67%

Oil………78.40 -0.28 -0.36%
Gold …1826.00 +13.30 +0.73%
Timah….24734 +800.00 +3.34%‼️
(Closed 28/12)
Nickel.30151.00 -151.50 -0.50%
(Closed 29/12)
Silver…….24.25 +0.54 +2.28%
Copper…382.40 -0.65 -0.17%

Nturl Gas..4.724 -0.599 -12.68%‼️

Ammonia..4606.67 +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/12)

Coal price….404.15 +2.05 +0.51%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.05 +4.45 +1.18%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.10 +0.15 +0.04%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…227.85 +0.50 +0.22%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price..189.05 +2.70 +1.45%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price..187.60 +2.65 +1.43%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4090 unch +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.75 -3.00 -0.44%
SoybeanOil…66.26 +1.26 +1.99%
Wheat………774.50 -11.00 -1.40%

Wood pulp…6446.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hari terakhir untuk window dressing… US ijo eropa ijo, asia kemaren merah sekarang harusnya ijo juga

Metal2 ijo kecuali nikel sama silver, Oil turun dikit, gas drop gede banget, coal naik lagi, CPO flat

IHSG – masih NFS terus, stoch jadi sell, MACD masih up, MFI up –> duit masuk walau foreign exit. Tapi berat rally IHSG kalo foreign keluar, pasti nunggu NFB baru bisa jalan lagi. Jangan terlalu aggressive dulu

Infrastructure, Energy (walau lagi melemah)

Sama technology

Stoch Buy Signal: MDKA TINS GGRM PRDA BMTR

MACD Buy Signal: BSDE PTPP MBSS

MDKA – tunggu MACD buy, semoga lari seperti sebelumnya sampe diatas 20%… Target tutup gap di 4900 an. WNS

TINS – MACD masih up, Stoch buy, abis bikin berkali kali lower low, failed divergence, amannya tunggu firm reversal, udah bikin higher low baru entry, BD FF juga masih dist, tapi keliatan udah bottoming, yang iseng mau spec buy boleh sih, stoploss ketat, apalagi sektornya lagi ga jalan, ANTM malah sell signal

GGRM skip

PRDA – asli gorengan, kemaren harga ditarik tinggi tapi BD FF jualan, SKIP

BMTR – sama kaya TINS, spec buy ok tapi amannya tunggu BD FF akum, tunggu bikin higher low

BSDE – hanya menarik karena Sektornya juga MACD buy signal… Tapi suku bunga naik kredit bank kepukul, property kepukul, skip dulu

PTPP – kemaren udah kena cutloss di ADHI, karena ternyata bandarnya masih mau main main dibawah, jadi jangan spec buy lagi dulu, tunggu higher low aja

MBSS – belum sih, malah BD nya kemaren lusa acc terus kemaren malah dist…