Daily Analysis 20221228

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

December 28th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes lower, Nasdaq sheds 1% as bond yields pop

The S&P 500 fell Tuesday, at the start of the holiday-shortened week, as bond yields climbed and investors weighed the economic outlook for 2023.

Dow…….33242  +37.6      +0.31%
Nasdaq.10353  -144.6      -1.38%
S&P 500..3829  -15.6        -0.40%

FTSE…….7473  closed    +0%
Dax……..13995 +54.2      +0.39%
CAC……..6551  +45.8      +0.70%

Nikkei…..26448  +42.0   +0.16%
HSI………19593   closed +0%
Shanghai…3096 +30.01 +0.98%
ST Times..3267  +9.02.  +0.28%

IDX…….6923.03 +87.22  +1.28%
LQ45……940.38 +5.24     +0.56%

IDX Energy..2362.38   +62.82+2.73%
IDX BscMat 1233.92  +4.66   +0.38%
IDX Indstrl…1182.33   -0.08    -0.01%
IDXNONCYC..729.05  +5.59   +0.77%
IDX Hlthcare.1548.38 +2.02   +0.13%
IDXCYCLIC…..853.69  +5.97   +0.70%
IDX Techno..5181.97  +109.73+2.16%
IDX Transp…1674.84  +4.73   +0.28%
IDX Infrast……859.76  +3.26   +0.38%
IDX Finance 1418.79   +1.27   +0.09%
IDX Banking 1150.40   -5.16    -0.45%
IDX Property….707.     +10.80 +1.55%

Indo10Yr.6.9994  -0.0071  -0.10%
ICBI….344.5835  +0.2052  +0.06%
US10Yr..3.8600   +0.1090  +2.91%
VIX……21.65        +0.78       +3.74%

USDIndx.104.1830 -0.1310  -0.13%
Como Indx.278.47 +0.36     +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.15 +0.44   +0.27%
.
IndoCDS..105.25         –              -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +30.00 +0.19%
Jisdor..15659.00 +23.00 +0.15%

Euro……1.0639  +0.0022  +0.21%

TLKM…….23.90    -0.13      -0.54%
(3742)
EIDO………22.54   +0.12      +0.54%
EEM……….38.36   +0.56      +1.48%

Oil………..79.83   +0.27     +0.34%
Gold …1821.70 +17.50  +0.97%
Timah…..23934  closed   +0%
(Closed 27/12)
Nickel.29684.00 closed   +0%
(Closed 27/12)
Silver…….24.24  +0.32     +1.32%
Copper…384.90 +4.00     +1.05%

Nturl Gas..5.079  +0.054  +1.07%

Ammonia..4590.00  +16.67 +0.36%
China
(Domestic Price)(26/12)

Coal price….400.50  -0.60    -0.15%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.50  -0.60    -0.16%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.55 +3.50   +1.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…223.35  -5.35 -2.34%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…182.35  -6.35 -3.37%‼️
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…181.85  -6.40 -3.40%‼️
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80         –              -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..4104 +273  +7.13‼️%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….674.00 +7.75    +1.16%
SoybeanOil..66.24   +1.59    +2.46%
Wheat………777.00  +1.00.   +0.13%

Wood pulp…6446.00  unch  +0%
(Closed 27/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

DJI ijo, Nasdaq merah, Europe ijo, Asia ijo, Komoditas ijo semua kecuali coal, CPO jump, semoga jadi santa claus rally yang tertunda…

IHSG – kecuali FNS, all good… breakout ascending triangle, MACD buy, stoch up, BD acc, lanjut lah long rally wave 3

Technology, Infrastructure, Energy, tapi sepertinya versi minyak dulu sekarang, coal slowing down, banyak sell signal bermunculan kemaren

Stoch Buy Signal: BFIN TPIA UNVR AKRA ASSA DOID LPPF SIDO PTRO

MACD buy signal: AMRT BBTN BUKA BTPS DOID LPKR

TPIA – stoch buy sw overbought, MACD still up, MFI flat, BD masih up, FF dist tipis, 3 tweezer top belum tembus, kaya bikin ascending triangle, ada hid bear, minyak naik [etrokimia harusnya turun, WNS dulu deh, kalo breakout baru

AKRA – stoch buy, MACD up, BD FF acc, MFI up, freq spike tgl 26, wave 4 done, otw wave 5, oil price naik BOW

 

ASSA – belum selesai distribusi, skip

DOID – beda sama coal yang lain, DOID terjunnya jauh banget, rada mengkhawatirkan… Tunggu higher low aja

LPPF – LR menarik, BD FF acc tipis menarik, retracement pattern belum done, stoch buy tapi MACD masih down, sektor belum jalan, tunggu MACD dulu deh

SIDO – stoch buy tapi sw, macd belum, ret pattern harusnya 38 23 61 tapi lagi konsol di 23-38, WNS

PTRO – udah wave 5, udah ketemu reg bear, FF dsit terus pas harga naik, profit taking, sepertinya lanjut ABC correction agak dalem

 

AMRT – ini bener kayanya mau ke 1800 an, GOTO udah lepas, FF BD dist, kayanya digambar MACD buy biar jebal retail, technical trap, jebakan betmen…

BBTN – menarik, ada issue right issue, sepertinya abis beres RI ini ok buat entry, tunggu 833 deh yang ga masalah beli bank konven

BUKA – technically ok sih, sektor juga lagi jalan, tapi personally saya skip…

BTPS – stoch up macd buy, tapi belum beres distribusinya, sementara skip dulu, sektornya juga belum jalan

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