Daily Analysis 20221222

December 22th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 500 points, lifted by upbeat earnings, strong consumer confidence data

Stocks jumped Wednesday, rising for a second day, after upbeat earnings reports from two bellwethers raised hopes that corporate earnings may be better than feared even with a potential recession.

Dow…….33376 +526.7 +1.60%
Nasdaq.10709 +162.3 +1.54%
S&P 500..3878 +56.8 +1.49%

FTSE…….7497 +126.7 +1.72%
Dax……..14098 +213.2 +1.54%
CAC……..6580 +129.8 +2.01%

Nikkei….26388 -180.3 -0.68%
HSI……..19161 +65.7 +0.34%
Shanghai..3068 -5.4 -0.17%
ST Times..3256 +2.2 +0.07%

IDX…….6820.66 +52.35 +0.77%
LQ45……941.66 +2.75 +0.29%

IDX Energy..2251.70 +66.25 +3.03%
IDX BscMat 1232.59 +2.48 +0.20%
IDX Indstrl…1170.87 +1.19 +0.10%
IDXNONCYC..725.61 +1.43 +0.20%
IDX Hlthcare.1546.53 -3.15 -0.20%
IDXCYCLIC…..845.75 -1.76 -0.21%
IDX Techno..5066.54 +18.49 +0.37%
IDX Transp…1676.10 -8.46 -0.50%
IDX Infrast……848.18 +0.50 +0.06%
IDX Finance 1418.99 -4.57 -0.33%
IDX Banking 1154.17 -1.32 -0.11%
IDX Property….683 -6.80 -0.98%

Indo10Yr.7.0071 +0.0012 +0.02%
ICBI….344.0212 -0.1520 -0.04%
US10Yr..3.6840 unch. +0%
VIX……20.07 -1.41 -6.56%👍

USDIndx.104.2490 +0.299 +0.29%
Como Indx.276.21 +3.84 +1.45%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..165.27 +1.59 +0.97%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15587.50 -15.00 -0.10%
Jisdor..15601.00 -7.00 -0.04%

Euro……1.0606 -0.0015 -0.14%

TLKM…….23.86 +0.31 +1.32%
(3722)
EIDO………22.72 +0.12 +0.53%
EEM……….38.19 +0.34 +0.90%

Oil………….78.29 +2.20 +2.89%
Gold …..1825.40 unch. +0%
Timah…..23913 +606.00 +2.60%‼️
(Closed 20/12)
Nickel.29736.50+1803.50+6.46%‼️
(Closed 21/12)
Silver…….24.19 -0.08 -0.32%
Copper…381.00 +1.10 +0.29%

Nturl Gas..5.480 +0.120 +2.24%

Ammonia..4573.33 -6.67 -0.15%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/12)

Coal price….401.40 +1.35 +0.34%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….373.75 -2.80 -0.74%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….356.85 -5.15 -1.61%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…228.00 -2.45 -1.06%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price….194.70 -0.90. -0.46%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….194.00 -1.60 -0.82%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3960 +90 +2.33%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….652.00 +4.75 +0.73%
SoybeanOil.64.81 +1.40 +2.21%
Wheat………750.50 +2.00 +0.27%

Wood pulp…6446.00 -30 -0.46%
(Closed 21/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut ijo, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali jepang… Ayo ah santa claus rally… masa libur sih tahun ini santa nya

Metal2 lanjut naik kecuali silver, Oil Gas Coal naik, CPO naik, vix turun, cocok lah buat ngangkat index

IHSG – stoch up, macd almost buy, MFI up, FF masih dist tapi tambah dikit NFS nya, BD akum terus, masih firm wave 3, LR mantul walau slope masih kebawah, semoga turning point nya kemaren pas closing gap terus mantul

Basic Materials (walau agak ngeden), Infrastructure… Financials malah belum lagi. Energy kemaren udah turunnya, semoga udah mau jalan lagi

Infobank15 – belum, kemaren stoch udah buy tapi slowing down lagi, MACD masih down, FF masih NFS terus tapi tipis, BD overall akum tapi lagi flat, MFI flat, EW sih wave 3 harusnya, IHNS abis breakout neckline gagal, break down, sekarang lagi mantul di extension neckline, semoga mantul

Stochastic Buy Signal: MNCN TBIG MAPI WSKT

MACD buy signal: ASII

Yang menarik, sektor infrastructure cacing RSI, Stochastic sama MACD nya kompak buy semua

MNCN – stoch buy sw, macd masih down, BD FF dist, MFI down, masuk kriteria saham invest sih ini dari ratio2 nya, tapi belum saatnya beli… Coba liat lagi deh pas MACD nya buy, idealnya tetep aman beli di mantul nya pas udah bikin higher low

TBIG – stoch buy, macd up buy start to rev down, BD akum seminggu terakhir, FF dist terus, MFI down, freq analyzer bar naik terus 2 minggu terakhir, bukan spike sih, tapi menunjukkan transaksinya banyakan duit gede dibanding retail, sempet ada vol spike 30 nov tapi terus tetep sideways, dari divergence sih udah confirmed by 2 bull candle sama MA10, yang mau bottom fishing ok karena infra lagi jalan, kalo cari aman kita tunggu breakout setengah, entry setengah lagi abis bentuk higher low

MAPI – saham hajatan… tapi dari elliot wave nya harusnya wave 4 dulu ini, jangan dulu lah… walau FF BD nya kemaren buang udah akum lagi sekarang

WSKT – perusahaan masih sakit, dilarang keras invest disini, trade only, no buy averages… Issue IKN mungkin akan ngangkat harga, kaya SWF, tapi ga bikin perusahaannya jadi sehat. Stoch buy, macd almost buy, BD FF akum tipis, MFI up, level target EW reverse belum, tapi udah deket, LR udah siap mantul, bikin tweezer bottom, masih WNS

ASII – stoch up rev down, macd buy, BD FF dist, MFI flat, ada divergence, jadi confirmed by MACD, MA 10 nya belum soale… Karena ini ASII, blue chip asli, masih ok lah spec buy, tapi stoploss ketat. Firm reversal kalo tembus fibo 23