Daily Analysis 20221220

December 20th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day as recession angst dashes hope of year-end rally

Stocks fell Monday as recession fears mounted and investors worried time is running out for a year-end rally.

Dow…….32758 -162.9 -0.49%
Nasdaq.10546 -159.4 -1.49%
S&P 500..3818 -34.7 -0.90%

FTSE…….7361 +29.2 +0.40%
Dax……..13943 +49.8 +0.36%
CAC……..6473 +20.7 +0.32%

Nikkei….27527 -524.6 -1.87%
HSI……..19451 +82.1 +0.42%
Shanghai..3168 -0.8 -0.02%
ST Times..3241 closed +0%

IDX…….6779.80 -32.49 -0.48%
LQ45……946.85 -4.33 -0.46%

IDX Energy..2151.29 -8.18 -0.38%
IDX BscMat 1246.73 -20.78 -1.64%
IDX Indstrl…1176.82 -0.96 -0.08%
IDXNONCYC..723.63 -4.08 -0.56%
IDX Hlthcare.1556.85 -0.57 -0.04%
IDXCYCLIC…..843.31 +1.79 +0.20%
IDX Techno..5116.13 -106.46 -2.04%
IDX Transp…1691.33 -11.66 -0.68%
IDX Infrast……849.83 +4.41 +0.52%
IDX Finance 1436.92 -14.42 -0.99%
IDX Banking 1163.90 -16.14 -1.37%
IDX Property….698 -2.90 -0.41%

Indo10Yr.7.0059 +0.0113 +0.16%
ICBI….344.1806 +0.1605 +0.05%👍
US10Yr..3.5810 +0.0990 +2.84%
VIX……22.42 -0.20 -0.88%

USDIndx.104.6670 -0.0340 -0.03%
Como Indx.270.56 -0.82 -0.30%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..160.91 -1.57 -0.97%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15596.50 -1.50 -0.01%
Jisdor..15621.00 +4.00 +0.03%

Euro……1.0607 +0.0021 +0.19%

TLKM…….23.58 +0.41 +1.77%
(3683)
EIDO……….22.75 -0.02 -0.09%
EEM……….37.86 +0.03 +0.08%

Oil………….75.19 +0.90 +1.21%
Gold …..1797.70 -2.50 -0.14%
Timah…..23535 – -%
(Closed 16/12)
Nickel.27179.50 -1287.00 -4.52%‼️
(Closed 18/12)
Silver………23.20 -0.13 -0.55%
Copper…378.30 +2.15 +0.57%

Nturl Gas..5.843 -0.768 -11.62%‼️

Ammonia..4756.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(15/12)

Coal price….401.65 -1.65 -0.41%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.75 -1.25 -0.34%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.30 -2.70 -0.76%
(Feb/Newcastle)
Coal price…230.50 -3.70 -1.58%
(Dec/Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.75 -3.90. -1.90%
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…201.65 -4.05 -1.97%
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Mar)…..3932 +15 +0.38%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….647.25 -5.75 -0.88%
SoybeanOil.64.41 +0.95 +1.52%
Wheat………748.50 -5.00 -0.66%

Wood pulp…6500.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 19/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut merah, europe ijo, asia cuma HSI yang ijo, semua merah, masih kemungkinan besar tetep dalam tekanan, kalo ga lanjut merah paling sideways or naik tipis2

Oil rebound, gas drop jauh, coal turun, waktunya rebuy coal di pullback. Metal2 turun semua, ANTM buy signal bisa jadi waktu yang pas buat buy. CPO naik dikit, kita tunggu nongolnya buy signal saham2 sawit

Basic Materials sama Financials

Stoch Buy Signal: ANTM PGAS MNCN WIKA ACES CTRA ISAT PRDA BMTR

ANTM – Stoch buy, MACD buy, 2 days BD FF acc, MFI up, ret pattern says OTW to fibo 61 @2550, vol breakout, BOW @1980

PGAS – BD FF akum terus pelan pelan, stoch buy, macd still down, mfi down, freq spike tanggal 15, harusnya masih wave 3, tunggu MACD deh, tapi wajib masuk watchlist ini PGAS

MNCN – berkali2 failed divergence, sekarang mau bikin lagi, tunggu bentuk higher low aja, cari aman

WIKA – ngeri masih memang ini BUMN konstruksi, tunggu macd

 

ACES – masih massive distribution BD FF, skip

ISAT – FF masih dist, BD udah mulai akum sambil ngangkat harga, stoch buy macd buy, MFI up, failed EW belum kebaca lagi pattern nya, LR mantul, diangkat harganya pake vol kecil, harga ga valid… WNS

CTRA – BD dist, FF seminggu akum, MACS baru sell, skip

PRDA – abis terjun udah bikin higherlow, BD FF masih dist, macd still down, MFI down, skip

BMTR – stoch buy, macd sw, ada tanda2 mau bangun, tapi BD FF amsih dist, skip

MACD buy signal: ANTM ITMG KLBF TINS TLKM

ITMG – stoch buy MACD buy, MFI down, FF acc BD dist tipis, harusnya wave 3, ada gap diatas, overall bisa BOW, tapi mungkin masih sideways dulu

KLBF – oscillators sideways, udah naik lumayan tinggi dari september, udah panjang distribusi markup, inikayanya mau dibanting deh… Stay away dulu, kecuali nanti ada vol breakout ke atas

TINS – harusnya sih bareng sama ANTM, tapi ini masih distribusi terus BD FF, WNS dulu

TLKM – abis massive distribution, ada MACD buy signal, stoch up, BD FF mulai ngebalik akum, menarik untuk spec buy… nanti confirmed bikin higher low nambah