Daily Analysis 20221215

December 15th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 snaps 2-day winning streak after Fed raises rates and signals more hikes next year

Stocks slid Wednesday as investors absorbed the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate hike decision in its efforts to crush inflation.

Dow…….33966 -142.3 -0.42%
Nasdaq.11171 -85.9 -0.76%
S&P 500..3995 -24.3 -0.61%

FTSE…….7496 -6.96 -0.09%
Dax……..14460 -37.7 -0.26%
CAC……..6731 -14.2 -0.21%

Nikkei….28156 +201.4. +0.72%
HSI……..19674 +77.3 +0.39%
Shanghai..3177 +0.2 +0.01%
ST Times..3279 +7.3 +0.22%

IDX…….6801.75 -8.57 -0.13%
LQ45……951.16 -1.63. -0.17%

IDX Energy..2174.52 +20.45 +0.96%
IDX BscMat 1251.25 +0.04 +0.40%
IDX Indstrl…1180.40 +5.42 +0.46%
IDXNONCYC..727.53 -1.31 -0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1557.30 +19.22+1.25%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.64 -3.35 -0.39%
*IDX Techno..5180.22 -110.75 -2.09%*
IDX Transp…1710.90 -5.60 -0.33%
IDX Infrast……850.80 +1.99 +0.23%
IDX Finance 1449.76 -6.72 -0.46%
IDX Banking 1171.79 -6.10 -0.52%
IDX Property….710 +3.00 +0.42%

*Indo10Yr.7.0177 -0.0059 -0.08%👍*
*ICBI….343.5693 +0.4287 +0.12%👍*
*US10Yr..3.5030 +0.0020 +0.06%*
*VIX……21.14 -1.41 -6.25%👍*

*USDIndx.104.0020 -1.034 -0.98%👍*
Como Indx.276.63 +1.60 +0.58%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..167.51 -0.45 -0.27%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15592.50 -64.00 -0.41%*
*Jisdor..15619.00 -42.00 -0.27%*

*Euro……1.0683 +0.0051 +0.47%👍*

TLKM……..23.68 -0.06 -0.25%
*(3699)*
EIDO……….22.82 -0.14 -0.61%
EEM……….38.61 +0.02 +0.05%

*Oil………..77.28 +1.89 +2.51%‼️*
Gold …..1818.70 -6.80 -0.37%
*Timah…..24644 +695 +2.90%*
*(Closed 13/12)*
Nickel…28489.50 +197.50 +0.70%
*(Closed 14/12)*
Silver………24.14 +0.15 +0.61%
Copper….387.80 +3.60 +0.94%

*Nturl Gas..6.356 -0.609 -8.74%‼️*

Ammonia..4856.67 -23.34 -0.48%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(13/12)

Coal price….404.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Dec/Newcastle)
Coal price….379.10 +1.45 +0.38%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….363.20 -0.05 -0.01%
(Feb/Newcastle)
*Coal price…240.60 -6.40 -2.59%*
(Des/Rotterdam)
*Coal price…225.05 -9.50 -4.05%‼️*
(Jan/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…225.25 -9.85 -4.18%‼️*
(Feb/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)…..3950 +63 +1.62%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….650.50 -3.00 -0.46%
SoybeanOil.62.84 -0.53 -0.84%
Wheat………749.25 -1.50 -0.20%

Wood pulp…6510.00 unch +0%
(Closed 14/12)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Market Asia masih ok kemaren, Europe dan US merah, antisipasi kebijakan fed naikin interest rate. Semoga kita tetep lanjut, kalopun koreksi tipis aja

Metal2 naik semua kecuali gold, Oil naik, gas drop, coal turun tipis. CPO naik lagi, coba kita liat chart nya

CPO – masih sideways…

IHSG – stoch buy, macd down rev, masih FNB, bandar last day dist, MFI up, masih wave 3, LR mantul, semoga panjang

Yang leading melemah semua, yang rising Transportation sama Basic Materials, sama Financials hopefully

Stochastic Buy Signal nya banyak banget, kita ambil beberapa aja ya… BBTN PTBA TINS AALI AKRA ASSA SCMA SIDO

MACD Buy Signal: JPFA BSDE GGRM

BBTN – stochbuy MACD belum, BD FF masih dist, MFI sw, baru bikin lower low, belum aman.. Tunggu MACD, hopefully BD sama FF juga udah mulai acc by then

PTBA – Stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up, BD FF masih bolak balik, retracement pattern harusnya bawa tutup gap dan finish di 4110, baru kita liat lagi mau kemana

TINS – stoch buy, tapi bolak balik, MACD dkit lagi, BD FF masih dist tipis, kalo ditarik EW reverse, udah sampe level target, harusnya mantul, tunggu MACD aja dulu

AALI – cuma stoch buy aja yang bagus, sisanya masih jelek… Bandar last day acc dikit, belum sih, kita review lagi pas MACD nya buy

AKRA – Stoch buy, MACD up, MFI up, 2 hari harga turun tapi BD dan FF malah akum, Elliot Wave keliatannya mau run wave 5, trend following ok buat buy sih ini, walau personally saya prefer ELSA di minyak karena harganya abis turun lagi

ASSA – saham abis terjun bebas gini mending tunggu udah terbentuk higher low… Skip

SCMA – jaman world cup media banyak ditonton malah turun, last day BD akum, FF masih dist, tunggu MACD dulu deh

SIDO – stoch buy macd down MFI sw, BD FF akum pelan pelan, ada freq spike di fase sideways di 9 dec, ret pattern jalan 0-38-23, sekarang harusnya mau ke 61. Berani spec buy sebagian dulu…

JPFA – stoch up, MACD buy, BD FF masih dist walau mengecil, MFI sw, EW reverse udah sampe level target, LR mantul di lower channel, sektornya udah mulai melemah, tunggu ada higher low deh