Daily Analysis 20221125

November 25th, 2022

Good morning,

US markets on holiday due to Thanksgiving Day

Dow…….34194 closed +0%
Nasdaq.11285 closed +0%
S&P 500..4027 closed +0%

FTSE…….7467 +1.4 +0.02%
Dax……..14540 +111.97+0.78%
CAC……..6707 +28.2 +0.42%

Nikkei….28383 +267.4 +0.95%
HSI……..17661 +137.1 +0.78%
Shanghai..3088 -7.60 -0.25%
ST Times..3253 -3.1 -0.10%

IDX…….7080.52 +26.39 +0.37%
LQ45….1004.32 +5.82 +0.58%

IDX Energy..2072.36 -14.65 -0.70%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.71 +2.65 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1233.10 +3.33 +0.27%
IDXNONCYC..733.21 +2.65 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1486.02 +12.26 +0.83%
IDXCYCLIC…..890.31 +1.67 +0.19%
IDX Techno..6492.24 -78.99 -1.20%
IDX Transp…1809.80 +0.22 +0.01%
IDX Infrast……912.15 +3.12 +0.34%
IDX Finance 1500.64 +3.05 +0.20%,
IDX Banking.1197.99 +5.59 +0.47%
*IDX Property….711 +13.8 +1.98%*

*Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0462 -0.64%👍*
*ICBI……..340.2055 +1.1616 +0.34%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7060 closed +0%*
*VIX……20.42 +0.07 +0.34%*

*USDIndx..105.8520 -0.2850 -0.27%👍*
Como Indx..276.87 closed +0%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……156.96 closed +0%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15665.00 -21.00 -0.14%*
*Jisdor..15647.00 -53.00 -0.34%*

*Euro……..1.0410 +0.0015 +0.14%👍*

TLKM……..25.26 closed +0%
*(3952)*
EIDO………23.24 closed +0%
EEM……….37.95 closed +0%

Oil………….77.96 +0.02 +0.03%
Gold ……1769.80 +9.40 +0.53%
Timah…..22028 -166.00 -0.75 %
*(Closed 23/11)*
Nickel…26108.00 +92.00 +0.35%
*(Closed 24/11)*
Silver………21.71 +0.18 +0.83%
Copper…..363.45 +1.60 +0.44%

Nturl Gas…..7.229 -0.103 -1.40%

Ammonia..4590.00 unch +0%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(23/11)

Coal price….347.35 +0.90 +0.26%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….356.55 +0.55 +0.15%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….349.90 unch +0%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….213.80 +0.10 -0.05%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….238.05 -9.10 -3.68%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….239.00 -11.00 +4.40%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

*CPO(Feb)……4046 -58 -1.41%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….666.25 closed +0%
SoybeanOil…72.20 closed +0%
Wheat………813.00 closed +0%

Wood pulp…6580.00 unch +0%
(Closed 24/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US tutup, Europe ijo, asia ada yang ijo rada tebel ada yang merah tipis. Semoga lanjut ijo hari ini…

IHSG – Semoga breakout triangle dan midline LR ke atas, teknikal udha ok koq, udah beberapa hari FNB juga

Oil rebound tipis, metal rata2 ijo kecuali timah, tapi tipis tipis, market US tutup jadi ga aggressive keliatannya Gas turun dikit, Coal Newsactle naik tipis, rotterdam future desember turun tajem, future january naik tinggi. Masih positif untuk emiten batubara. CPO turun lagi, emang belum sih ini keliatannya

Energy Property

Financials melemah sedikit, kita check infobank15, index butuh big banks gerak untuk breakout triangle

Infobank15 – Masih tertahan sideways juga ternyata, tapi harapan untuk bisa breakout ada sih, FNB udah seminggu, bar freq analyzer tambah tnggi walau vol nya cenderung rata, alias kebanyakan transaksi lebih banyak big player nya

Stoch Buy Signal: BBTN BMRI AALI BSDE CTRA LSIP PWON SRTG TKIM

MACD Buy Signal: BBCA BBRI KLBF PGAS UNTR UNVR BSDE MAPI

BBTN – Surprisingly, BBTN walau stoch buy signal kurang menarik buat dibeli, MACD masih down, 2 hari FNS dan bd dist, padahal kemaren BBCA udah ok, biasanya yang lain ngikut. Masih di Fibo 23, ikut retracement pattern harusnya naik, tapi kalo bd dan ff masih ga mau gerakin, ya ga gerak. Keliatannya ga akan dibawa turun sih, paling sideways. Yang udah punya bisa hold

BMRI – kalo ini cocok dengan BBCA, bandar akum, Foreign akum walau tipis, MFI up, MACD masih down tapi flattenning, harus repaint detail tapi keliatannya wave 3 udah, wave 4 udah, mau wave 5. LR slope masih bullish, lagi dibawah, cocok buat buy. Spec Buy ok BMRI

Freq spike juga, makin yakin buat buy

AALI – stoch buy, 833 up, macd rev up, ada freq spike kemaren, setelah candle volume buangan tgl 10 nov belum ada akumulasi BD dan FF yang berarti. MFI turun, last day naik dikit pas FNB. Kemaren abis divergence 17 oct, gagal breakout fibo 23, dibawa ke bawah lagi, udah sah bikin higher low sih, tapi belum bisa dipastikan mau mantul atau turun bikin divergence baru. WNS dulu deh… Kita liat lagi pas MACD buy signal

Spike nya menarik…

BSDE – MACD buy stoch 833 buy 1066 belum, vol spike and breakout resistance, Foerign entry gede, bandar lepas, ada apa ini? heu… alligator buy, kejedot fibo 23, semoga tembus hari ini, cross midline LR, BOW sih, semoga dapet setengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

CTRA – mirip BSDE juga, teknikal ok, malah lebih jauh udah jalannya, dan disini badar juga akum ga dist, lebih firm. Personally kalo ada satu sektorgerak semua,saya cari yang paling telat jalan, so relatively mending beli BSDE dibanding CTRA

LSIP – cuma stoch buy,MFI down MACD flat, bandar ff exit terus, belum waktunya entry disini

PWON – all good, tinggal pilih mau BOW dimana saham sektor property

SRTG – stoch buy macd up, tapi 2 hari bd dan ff dist, MFI juga jadi down, nanti dulu deh

TKIM – stoch buy tapi nggak deh, abis kemaren naik lumayan tinggi, ada bearish divergence dan belum koreksi wave C, sempet ada candle volume buangan pula. skip dulu

BBRI – baru breakout resisntance kemarin, walau tanpa vol yang spike, tapi masih ok, bisa BOW yang mau beli bank konven

KLBF – ga jadi breakout resistance / ascending triangle, vol transaksi makin turun, FF dist, skip dulu deh

PGAS – harga turun MFI naik vol, foreign inside, stoch up, macd buy, bandar dist tipis, ini kayanya mark down doang mau akum deh, berani BOW

UNTR – masih firm, bd lanjut akum ff exit tipis di market running, ga tau nanti closing gimana, HOLD

UNVR – semua ga ok kecuali MACD, lagging sih memang MACD seringnya. Stay away dulu

MAPI – stoch buy macd buy, ga berani tapi, udah diatas level target wave 3, ga berani new entry