Daily Analysis 20221123

November 23nd, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes nearly 400 points higher as Wall Street bets on easing inflation, smaller rate hikes into year end

Stocks rose Tuesday as Wall Street looked past tightening Covid policies in China to instead focus on a host of strong earnings reports and the potential for smaller future rate hikes during a holiday-shortened trading week.

Dow…….34098 +397.8 +1.18%
Nasdaq.11174 +149.9 +1.36%
S&P 500..4004 +53.6 +1.36%

FTSE…….7453 +75.99 +1.03%
Dax……..14422 +42.4 +0.29%
CAC……..6658 +23.08 +0.35%

Nikkei….28116 +170.96 +0.61%
HSI……..17424 -231.5 -1.31%
Shanghai..3089 +3.9 +0.13%
ST Times..3266 +15.4 +0.47%

IDX…….7030.59 -32.66 -0.46%
LQ45……996.87 -5.53 -0.55%

IDX Energy..2062.22 +31.15 +1.53%
IDX Bsc Mat.1286.02 -1.08 -0.08%
IDX Industrl..1231.35 -0.75 -0.06%
IDXNONCYC..726.80 -3.70 -0.51%
IDX Hlthcare.1474.32 -11.65 -0.78%
IDXCYCLIC…..888.91 -4.34 -0.49%
IDX Techno..6616.44 -139.72 -2.07%
IDX Transp…1792.52 -15.70 -0.87%
IDX Infrast……909.44 -0.06 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1482.94 -11.10 -0.74%
IDX Banking.1187.06 +2.37 +0.20%
IDX Property….693 +1.1 +0.16%

Indo10Yr….7.2912 -0.0174 -0.24%‼️
ICBI……..338.0718 +0.3021 +0.09%‼️
US10Yr..3.7580 -0.0670 -1.85%
VIX……21.29 -1.07 -4.79%‼️

USDIndx..107.1710 -0.7590 -0.70%
Como Indx..279.24 +2.72 +0.98%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.15 +3.01 +1.95%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15696.50 -16.00 -0.10%‼️
Jisdor..15716.00 +9.00 +0.06%‼️

Euro……..1.0304 +0.0062 +0.61%

TLKM……..25.49 -0.19 -0.74%
(4006)
EIDO………23.22 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….37.64 +0.09 +0.24%

Oil…………80.95 +1.22 +1.53%
Gold ……1753.70 -14.30 -0.81%
Timah…..22664 -1505 -6.64%‼️
(Closed 21/11)
Nickel…26220.00 +1110.00 +4.42%‼️
(Closed 22/11)
Silver………21.07 -0.13 -0.59%
Copper…..357.60 -6.56 -1.80%

Nturl Gas…..6.692 +0.221 +3.30%

Ammonia..4573.33 +110 +2.46%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(21/11)

Coal price….347.15 -3.85 -1.10%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….355.00 +5.65 +1.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….340.65 +10.15 +3.07%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….213.00 -3.20 -1.48%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….237.50 +7.70 +3.35%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….239.35 +8.30 +3.59%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (1£/11)

CPO(Feb)……4006 +153 +3.97%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -4.25 -0.64%
SoybeanOil…71.44 +0.71 +1.00%
Wheat………810.50 -7.75 -0.95%

Wood pulp…6590.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 22/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia ijo kecuali IHSG sama Hangseng, ijo deh IHSG hari ini

Oil rebound tipis, metal lanjut turun kecuali nikel yang naik tinggi, gas naik, coal spot turun, cpo naik. Basic Materials versi logam logam-an masih bahaya, kecuali mungkin INCO NIKL untuk hari ini

Chart nya coal masih bagus, semoga cuma minor correction

IHSG – 2 hari NFB, semoga lanjut, keluar dari phase sideways, stoch macd mfi ok, dan masih jadwal wave 3

Financials, Energy, Infrastructure, Property

Stoch Buy Signal: ASII BBCA TOWR AKRA HEAL

MACD Buy Signal: ADRO MMLP PWON

ASII – stoch buy macd still down MFI up, bd dist, FF dist, EW reverse done, reg bull div not yet confirmed, retracement pattern mungkin lagi jalan, lagi test fibo 23. Watch closely… Tunggu acc bd/ff and MACD or vol breakout

BBCA – Stoch buy, macd rev up, mfi flat, bd ff acc dari 17 nov, masih wave 3, LR up, sektor jalan, OK buat buy…

TOWR – Stoch Buy, 833 bolak balik, MACD up flat, FF dist terus, bd akum terus pelan pelan, retracement pattern udah mantul dari bawah, harusnya otw fibo 61. Masih akan sideways terus kayanya kalo FF masih terus distribusi, sektor mulai jalan kita tunggu FF entry dan vol breakout

AKRA – stoch buy macd down 833 up, mfi down bd last 2 day dist, ff 2 minggu dist, keliatannya kemaren wave 3 sampe 1560 aja, lanjut koreksi wave 4 terus sekarang siap2 wave 5, LR ok buat buy, tapi WNS dulu tunggu vol breakout or MACD

HEAL – Stoch buy, 833 sell, macd masih down, foreign masih out, BD tipis tipis, failed elliot wave, repaint jadi sekarang wave 2, LR still probalby down, WNS, tunggu MACD dan bd ff akum

ADRO – all good kecuali FF yang masih dist, harusnya otw wave 5 so berani BOW, hari coal merah mungkin koreksi minor, cocok untuk entry yang belum punya barang. BOW

MMLP – belum pernah buy saham ini, saham property masuk K100 tapi… Stoch up macd buy foreign acc bd dist mfi up, major nya down trend, mungkin mau reversal kalo liat reg bull and hid bull bareng, udah confirmed by ma 10 and macd buy signal. Bisa spec buy sih… Personally karena ga kenal saya skip

PWON – stoch masih down, 833 buy macd abis sell ngebalik buy, 2 hari bd ff acc, MFI still down, keliatan mau ngulang retracement pattern yang sebelumnya, LR neutral, WNS dulu, belum firm… Tunggu stoch sambil pantau MFI