Daily Analysis 20221121

November 21st, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher on Friday, but ends week with losses

The major averages ticked higher in afternoon trading Friday to end the day on an upbeat note as investors assessed tougher language from Federal Reserve speakers and pored over the latest earnings reports.

Dow…….33746 +199.4 +0.59%
Nasdaq.11146 +1.1 +0.01%
S&P 500..3965 +18.8 +0.31%

FTSE…….7836 +39.98 +0.53%
Dax……..14432 +165.5 +1.16%
CAC……..6645 +68.3 +1.04%

Nikkei….27900 -30.8 -0.11%
HSI……..17993 -53.1 -0.29%
Shanghai..3097 -18.2 -0.58%
ST Times..3272 -13.8 -0.42%

IDX…….7082.18 +37.19 +0.53%
LQ45….1009.50 +4.58 +0.46%

IDX Energy..1992.76 +12.82 +0.65%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.53 +7.20 +0.56%
IDX Industrl..1223.07 -2.25 -0.18%
IDXNONCYC..732.11 +1.75 +0.24%
IDX Hlthcare.1483.67 +3.27 +0.22%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.09 +5.86 +0.67%
IDX Techno..6878.08 +39.15 +0.57%
IDX Transp…1801.24 -19.06 -1.05%
IDX Infrast……905.64 -1.94 -0.21%
IDX Finance 1504.72 +7.35 +0.49%
IDX Banking.1197.07 +6.07 +0.51%
IDX Property….692 +2.20 +0.31%

*Indo10Yr….7.3023 -0.0068 -0.09%*
*ICBI……..337.7459 +0.0569 +0.02%*
*US10Yr..3.8180 +0.0430 +1.14%*
*VIX……23.12 -0.81 -3.38%*

*USDIndx..106.9300 +0.2450 +0.23%*
Como Indx..276.40 -1.20 -0.43%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.81 +0.81 +0.51%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15684.00 +21.50 +0.14%‼️*
*Jisdor..15692.00 +8.00 +0.05%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0325 -0.0037 -0.36%*

TLKM……..25.78 +0.13 +0.51%
*(4045)*
EIDO………23.19 +0.27 +1.18%
EEM……….38.03 -0.22 -0.58%

*Oil…………80.08 -1.56 -1.91%*
Gold ……1769.00 +6.00 +0.34%
Timah…..22664 +80.00 +0.35
*(Closed 18/11)*
Nickel…25629.00 +251.00 +0.99%
*(Closed 18/11)*
Silver………21.20 +0.04 +0.19%
Copper…..364.15 -5.25 -1.42%

Nturl Gas…..6.371 -0.030 -0.47%

*Ammonia..4463.33 +50.00 +1.13%‼️*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(17/11)

*Coal price….343.45 +8.85 +2.65%*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….337.00 +17.00 +5.31%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….330.50 +17.50 +5.59%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….207.65 +5.65 +2.80%*
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….217.50 +13.50 +6.62%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….219.10 +13.15 +6.39%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (17/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….670.00 +1.00 +0.15%
SoybeanOil…70.61 +0.39 +0.56%
Wheat………822.00 -3.00 -0.36%

Wood pulp…6610.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Closing jum’at US ijo, Europe ijo, asia merah IHSG ijo, semoga hari ini lanjut

Metal2 rebound dikit kecuali copper, oil dan gas turun lagi, coal lanjut naik, semoga cocok prediksi akan run harga coal dan saham2 emiten coal menyambut winter di utara

Newcastle Coal Futures – MACD nya udah buy signal, semoga bener rally panjang

IHSG – yang jadi masalah masih NFS terus, kalo dari technical indicator sudah harusnya mulai jalan ke atas lagi, keluar dari phase sideways. Bandar lokal sudah akum terus. Infobank15 kita check dulu

Infobank15 – sama masalahnya: NFS… Semoga start hari ini turnaround pada entry foreign, jadi firm lanjut ngangkat IHSG. Lapkeu bank bagus bagus koq…

Financials, Technology

Sudah on the right track ini, kalo bener financials gerak duluan, nanti sektor lain baru ikutan ngangkat index

Stoch Buy signal: BBRI HRUM PTBA GGRM PMMP. Energy dan consumer mulai nongol buy signals…

MACD Buy Signal: ERAA

BBRI – stoch buy, macd sw, MFI still down, BD FF last day acc, ada freq spike di phase sideways dated nov 3, udah diatas MA 10 20 50, DMI buy, yang tidak masalah beli bank konven bisa entry nih BBRI… Wave 3 harusnya panjang geraknya

HRUM – IMHO, personally prefer bigger caps, ADRO PTBA ITMG, especially PTBA ITMG menarik karena abis dibanting ARB, harusnya reboundnya lebih kenceng. Tapi kalo cari yield besar ya di HRUM INDY lebih volatile geraknya… MACD masih up, stoch balik buy, MFI down RSI down, BD dist, FF flat abis akum semoga lanjut diangkat. Masih di area fibo 23 belum beresin retracement pattern, hopefully next stop: 2275. BOW…

PTBA – stoch buy macd dikit lagi, mfi flat, FF inside, BD last day acc, ada gap di 3660, 3960 sama 4310. Target minimal sampe 3960 dulu lah sekali swing sekarang, Buy…

GGRM – kemaren abis mantul gagal bikin higher low, malah failed divergence, sekarang bikin divergence baru, belum confirmed. Tapi BD FF masih buang, MACD juga masih dowm stoch bolak balik tapi titik terangnya MFI mulai up. Stay away dulu, amannya tunggu firm bikin higher low, jangan riding dari awal

PMMP – ini saya ikut IPO nya, kurang sukses walau di hari pertama exit jadi masih profit. Abis itu baru digoreng dan beres hajatan turun seperti biasa… Sempet retrace ke fibo 23 terus gagal lanjut, sekarang ada divergence ada stoch buy, ada macd buy, LR di bawah, bandar udah sebulan akum tipis tipis, boleh lah spec buy disini kalo mau. PBV-PER udah ok juga sih. Jangan full load, stop loss ketat di breakdown support 360

ERAA – stoch buy macd buy MFI masih down RSI up FF acc BD mulai akum tipis, MACD reg bull div confirmed by MACD and ma10, BUY…