Daily Analysis 20221118

November 18th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq close lower for a second day as investors weigh outlook for higher interest rates

Stocks fell Thursday and bond yields jumped as Federal Reserve officials signaled their rate-hiking campaign to slow inflation is far from over.

Dow…….33546 -7.5 -0.02%
Nasdaq.11145 -38.7 -0.35%
S&P 500..3947 -12.2 -0.31%

FTSE…….7347 -4.7 -0.06%
Dax……..14266 +32.4 +0.23%
CAC……..6576 -31.1 -0.47%

Nikkei….27931 -97.7 -0.35%
HSI……..18046 -210.8 -1.15%
Shanghai..3115 -4.5 -0.15%
ST Times..3286 +19.9 +0.61%

IDX…….7044.99 +30.60 +0.44%
LQ45….1004.92 +3.96 +0.40%

IDX Energy..1979.96 +9.52 +0.48%
IDX Bsc Mat.1283.33 -8.93 -0.69%
IDX Industrl..1225.32 +5.47 +0.45%
IDXNONCYC..730.36 -5.16 -0.70%
IDX Hlthcare.1480.39 -8.66 -0.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..878.23 +0.37 +0.04%
IDX Techno..6838.92 -48.43 -0.70%
IDX Transp…1820.31 -1.40 -0.08%
IDX Infrast……907.58 +1.91 +0.21%
IDX Finance 1497.37 +15.32 +1.03%
IDX Banking.1191.00 +10.56 +0.89%
IDX Property….691 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3091 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..337.6890 -0.0128 -0.00%
US10Yr..3.7750 +0.0830 +2.25%
VIX……23.93 -0.18 -0.75%

USDIndx..106.6850 +0.3720 +0.35%
Como Indx..277.60 -5.18 -1.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……157.00 -5.86 -3.60%‼️
.
IndoCDS..105.25 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15662.50 +63.00 +0.40%‼️
Jisdor..15687.00 +77.00 +0.49%‼️

Euro……..1.0362 -0.0029 -0.28%

TLKM……..25.65 +0.01 +0.04%
(4024)
EIDO………22.92 +0.16 +0.70%
EEM……….38.25 +0.07 +0.18%

Oil…………81.64 -4.04 -4.71%‼️
Gold ……1763.00 -14.40 -0.81%
Timah…..23635 +249.00 +1.06
(Closed 16/11)
Nickel…25378.00 -1361.00 -5.09%‼️
(Closed 17/11)
Silver………21.16 -0.34 -1.58%
Copper…..369.40 -12.55 -3.29%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.401 +0.170 +2.73%

Ammonia..4413.33 +66.66 +1.53%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

Coal price….334.60 +2.05 +0.62%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +3.90 +1.23%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.00 +3.85 +1.25%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….202.00 +5.00 +2.54%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….204.00 +6.75 +3.42%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….205.95 +6.90 +3.47%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (16/11)

CPO(Feb)……3845 -179 -4.44%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.00 +1.50 +0.22%
SoybeanOil…70.22 -1.88 -2.61%
Wheat………825.00 -12.25 -1.46%

Wood pulp…6610.00 -20 -0.30%
(Closed 17/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih merah tipis tipis, Jerman ijo, singapore ijo, IHSG ijo

oil drop, metal2 drop, timah yang masih ijo, coal naik, mulai rebound kayanya. Kalo begini semoga bener industri petrokimia naik dan coal naik, BRPT dan ADRO termasuk di dalamnya, hehehe

IHSG – masih sideways dulu keliatannya… Tapi lumayan comforting lah, tidak ikut sentimen negatif rudal polandia. MACD dan stochastic mau mantul. Kita check infobank15

Infobank15 – harusnya berita LK BBRI yang mengkilat ikut dorong Infobank15 dan Sektor Financials untuk bangun. Dari chart nya sih masih rather sideways dulu, ga tau apakah nunggu efek kenaikan suku bunga kemaren, tapi yang pasti BD akum terus. Ga lama lagi diangkat harusnya, santa claus rally? Agak kejauhan sih, tapi mungkin aja

Financials, Technology

Stoch Buy SIgnal: ADRO BBNI BBTN PGAS ADHI

MACD buy signal: AMRT ASSA GJTL

ADRO – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, FF BD akum tipis, coal price rebound, wave 4 seems done, otw wave 5, LR mantul, ada gap tipis di 3730. BOW!

BBTN – stoch up, macd down, 3 hari NFS dan BD dist, tapi still inside, MFI up, around fibo 23, kayanya sih sideways disitu dulu sampe MACD nya rev up. WNS aja…

PGAS – Stoch buy, macd down, bandar dist, ff flat inside, MFI down, itungan fibonacci mungkin masih wave 3, minor correction, tapi liat bearish divergencenya koq kaya mau wave 4 ini… WNS deh

ADHI – masih bikin lower low, bd ff masih dist, walau MACD up stoch buy tapi bolak balik aja signalnya. Belum ada freq spike juga. Stay away dulu

AMRT – harusnya udah beres ini, udah wave 5, ketemu bearish divergence, stoch sih up, MACD up, bd akum tipis, FF mulai akum, MFI down, stay away lah…

ASSA – stoch up macd buy, bd akum tipis, FF dist, MFI flat, tunggu biin higher low aja deh, rawan yang beginian mah. Naik karena issue abis itu dibanting sampe 1/3 harga

GJTL – bd ff masih dist besar, stay away dulu…