Daily Analysis 20221116

November 16th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 closes higher after another lighter-than-expected inflation report, Nasdaq jumps 1.4%

Stocks resumed their inflation-driven rally on Tuesday after another report signaled that price increases could be slowing.

Dow…….33593 +56.2 +0.17%
Nasdaq.1158 +162.2 +1.45%
S&P 500..3992 +34.9 +0.88%

FTSE…….7369 -15.7 -0.21%
Dax……..14379 +65.2 +0.46%
CAC……..6642 +32.5 +0.49%

Nikkei….27990 +26.7 +0.10%
*HSI……..18343 +723.4 +4.11%*
Shanghai..3134 +50.7 +1.64%
ST Times..3275 +14.5 +0.44%

IDX…….7035.50 +16.11 +0.23%
LQ45….1004.36 +3.34 +0.33%

IDX Energy..1972.19 +10.65 +0.54%
IDX Bsc Mat.1316.58 +1.64 +0.12%
IDX Industrl..1221.66 +3.81 +0.31%
IDXNONCYC..734.66 +5.05 +0.69%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.57 -1.29 -0.09%
IDXCYCLIC…..882.2 -2.39 -0.27%
IDX Techno..6800.09 +19.47 +0.29%
IDX Transp…1823.85 +18.73 +1.04%
IDX Infrast……917.42 -0.94 -0.10%
IDX Finance 1489.52 +2.32 +0.16%
IDX Banking.1192.27 +3.65 +0.31%
IDX Property….698 – -%

*Indo10Yr….7.3494 -0.0449 -0.61%‼️*
*ICBI……..337.2594 +0.9444 +0.28%👍*
*US10Yr..3.7990 -0.0660 -1.71%*
*VIX……24.30 +0.57 +2.40%‼️*

*USDIndx..106.5630 -0.3680 -0.34%*
Como Indx..284.36 +2.20 +0.78%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……168.52 +1.49 +0.89%
.
*IndoCDS..105.25 – -%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(07/11)*

*IDR……15537.50 +18.00 +0.12%‼️*
*Jisdor..15564.00 +65.00 +0.42%‼️*

*Euro……..1.0346 +0.0018 +0.17%*

TLKM……..25.83 -0.01 -0.04%
*(4020)*
EIDO………23.36 -0.01 -0.04%
*EEM……….38.80 +0.87 +2.29%*

*Oil…………86.92 +1.05 +1.22%*
Gold ……1776.80 -0.10 -0.01%
*Timah…..22029 +714.00 +3.35*
*(Closed 14/11)*
*Nickel…29753.50 +687.00 +2.36%*
*(Closed 15/11)*
*Silver………21.52 -0.55 -2.67%*
Copper…..381.95 -0.80 -0.21%

Nturl Gas…..6.161 +0.092 +1.52%

Ammonia..4346.67 – 16.66 -0.38%
*China*
(Domestic Price)(14/11)

*Coal price….341.00 +10.65 +3.22%‼️*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….330.00 +21.00 +6.80%‼️*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….323.25 +18.60 +6.11%‼️*
(Jan/Newcastle)
*Coal price….203.50 +9.50 +4.90%*
(Nov/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….204.75 +13.10 +6.84%‼️*
(Des/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….206.80 +14.80 +7.70%‼️*
(Jan/Rotterdam)

*Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 – -%*
Indonesial Coal Index (14/11)

*CPO(Jan)……4030 -78 -1.89%*
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….669.25 +10.00 +1.52%
SoybeanOil…74.67 +0.79 +1.07%
Wheat………848.00 +9.75 +1.16%

Wood pulp…6630.00 -40 -0.60%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

Kemaren ijo semua kecuali inggris, hangseng naik tinggi banget…

Gold Silver Copper turun, timah nikel naik, komoditi energy naik semua, kayanya udah waktunya entry menjelang winter di bumi utara

IHSG – Sesuai perkiraan, abis tutup gap ijo dulu, walau tipis, yang bikin kaget karena sempet dibawa turun jauh dulu sebelum closing diatas

IHSG – yang bikin berat itu masih NFS terus. Keliatannya masih sideways dulu sambil nunggu financials bangun. Berita tentang profit BRI udah nongol, tanda2 mau mulai gerak lagi.

Financials, Technology, Basic Materials tapi udah mulai melemah

Stoch Buy Signal: AMRT BMRI BRPT ASSA JSMR MMLP WSKT

Yang sesuai cacing: BMRI BRPT

BMRI – harusnya masih wave 3, LR masih nanjak, macd belum ok, stoch buy tapi sebenernya 2 hari merah, 2 hari lalu dark cloud cover lanjut kemaren tutup gap. Kalau high kemaren dianggap top wave 3,koreksinya belumcukup dalem, kalo top wave 3 nya belum, berarti ada run sekali lagi sebelum wave 4, kita liat dulu, WNS. BD sama FF aneh, ceritanya dari grafik akum tapi volumenya net sell. Ga beres

BRPT – ini ok, 3 hari ngebalik dari dist ke akum, stoch buy macd buy, MFI masih flat, alligator buy, reg bul div confirmed by MA 10 and MACD and 2 bull candle, LR cross up midline, tadi malem oil naik kemungkinan hari ini BRPT turun dulu, pas buat buy di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

AMRT – diakum terus tapi tipis tipis, stoch buy macd rev up, MFI flat, udah overpriced sih, udah wave 5, harusnya ga lama malah longsor, tapi kalo pendek mungkin masih up. Personally saya skip

JSMR – stoch buy, macd masih down, 833 baru sell gara2 rudal rusia, LR cross down, yang belum punya tunggu 833 ngebalik lagi kalo mau buy

WSKT – masih sidways, tunggu BD dan FF masuk lagi aja deh atau kalo ada vol breakout

MACD Buy SIgnal: BRPT