Daily Analysis 20221115

November 15th, 2022

Good morning,

The Dow struggled for direction, but ended Monday in the red as investors digested remarks from the Federal Reserve officials insisting further rate hikes were ahead, albeit at a slower pace, as the fight against inflation was far from over.

Dow…….33537 -211.2 -0.63%
Nasdaq.11196 -127.1 -1.12%
S&P 500..3957 -36.7 -0.89%

FTSE…….7385 +67.1 +0.92%
Dax……..14313 +88.4 +0.62%
CAC……..6609 +14.6 +0.22%

Nikkei….27963 -300.1 -1.06%
HSI……..17620 +294.1 +1.70%
Shanghai..3083 -3.9 -0.13%
ST Times..3261 +32.5 +1.01%

IDX…….7019.39 -69.81 -0.98%
LQ45….1001.02 -11.92 -1.18%

IDX Energy..1961.54 -19.03 -0.96%
IDX Bsc Mat.1314.95 -3.32 -0.25%
IDX Industrl..1217.86 -9.68 -0.79%
IDXNONCYC..729.61 +4.83 +0.67%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.86 +9.83 +0.66%
IDXCYCLIC…..884.72 -1.53 -0.17%
IDX Techno.6780.62 -160.24 -2.31%
IDX Transp…1805.12 -3.29 -0.18%
IDX Infrast……918.36 -6.75 -0.73%
IDX Finance 1487.11 -14.21 -0.94%
IDX Banking.1186.61 -17.21 -1.43%
IDX Property….698 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.3943 -0.0568 -0.76%‼️
ICBI……..336.2150 +0.9043 +0.27%👍
US10Yr..3.8650 +0.0520 +1.36%
VIX……23.73 +1.21 +5.37%‼️

USDIndx..106.9310 +0.6390 +0.60%
Como Indx..282.16 -3.63 -1.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……167.03 +2.68 +1.63%
.
IndoCDS..105.25 -19.45 -15.60%‼️👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15519.50 +24.50 +0.16%
Jisdor..15499.00 +6.00 +0.04%

Euro……..1.0328 -0.0019 0.18%

TLKM……..25.84 -0.14 -0.54%
(4005)
EIDO………23.37 -0.38 -1.60%
EEM……….37.93 -0.23 -0.60%

Oil…………85.87 -3.09 -3.47%‼️
Gold ……1776.90 +7.50 +0.42%
Timah…..21315 – –
(Closed 11/11)
Nickel…29066.50 +1639.50 +5.97%‼️
(Closed 14/11)
Silver………22.11 +0.45 +2.06%
Copper…..382.75 -8.60 -2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.069 +0.167 +2.83%

Ammonia..4363.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(10/11)

Coal price….330.35 +3.55 +1.09%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….309.50 +9.50 +3.17%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….304.65 +8.65 +2.92%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….194.00 +3.45 +1.81%
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.50 +12.00 +6.65%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….192.00 +10.70 +5.90%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..89.80 -2.00 -2.18%
Indonesial Coal Index (1+/11)

CPO(Jan)……4108 -182 -4.24%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….659.25 -3.75 -0.57%
SoybeanOil…73.88 -0.66 -0.89%
Wheat………838.25 +3.00 +0.36%

Wood pulp…6670.00 -30 -0.45%
(Closed 14/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Asia varied, Europe ijo, US merah lagi… Kemaren merah dalem IHSG, udah tutup gap, kayanya sekarang ijo walau ga tebel…

Gold Copper merah, Silver Nickel Ijo, bagus buat INCO, MDKA kurang… Oil lanjut turun lagi, gas naik, coal naik, cpo turun. Ini energy geraknya gantian terus oil sama coal, jadi ga set entry nya…

IHSG – udah tutup gap, dan kalo hari ini flat aja, lagging line ichimoku udah tembus candle –> bullish

IHSG – yang jadi masalah itu masih FNS terus… Gimana gimana juga kalo asing keluar ya harga saham terutama yang mereka lepas turun. Ini MACD nya rada critical, semoga ga reverse ke bawah. Stochastic dan MFI sih udah siap mantul

Basic Materials, Technology, Consumer Cyclicals… Property sama Infrastructure keliatan mau gerak

Stoch Buy signal: JPFA KLBF AGII PTP SMRA PTRO GJTL

Kita start dari yang sektornya cocok: AGII GJTL

AGII – abc correction done, hidbull MFI, tapi belum cross midline LR, stoch bolak balik ga bisa jadi patokan solid, MACD masih UP, 2 hari BD akum FNB, MFI up, tunggu 833 buy dan breakout with volume deh

GJTL – belum, masih dibuang terus, MACD malah sell, nanti dulu deh

JPFA – walau sektor belum gerak ini dari banyak indicator baru, MACD buy, Stoch Buy, 3 hari FNB, MFI up, regular bullish divergence MACD RSI MFI dan confirmed by MA10, bisa buy setengah botol, tambah pas breakout

PTPP – stoch buy MACD up, supertrend buy, tapi masih belum bikin higer low yang firm, nanti dulu deh

SMRA – stoch buy macd buy, 833 up, mfi sw, BD dist tipis, FNB, reg bull banyak, confirmed by MACD and MA10, LR belum mentok bawah tapi masih ok sih buat buy. Buy half, half tunggu vol breakout

PTRO – kemaren naik tinggi, jadi stoch keluar buy signal, tapi bahayanya ketemu reg bear karena naik kecepetan. Supertrend buy, alligator buy, macd masih up, LR mentok atas, semoga jadi rubah slope. Kalo energy firm gerak berani ikut buy, tapi ini belum, jadi WNS dulu

MACD buy signal: TBIG

TBIG – Stoch up, macd buy, masih belum tembus MA10, LR mantul, BD 3 hari akum, FF 3 hari NB, ok sih buat buy setengah dulu, setengah tunggu breakout