Daily Analysis 20221109

November 09th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rally for a third day ahead of midterm election results, Dow closes 300 points higher

Stocks rose Tuesday as investors awaited the results of the U.S. midterm elections, which could affect future levels of government spending and regulation.

Dow…….33161 +333.8 +1.02%
Nasdaq.10616 +51.7 +0.49%
S&P 500..3828 +21.3 +0.56%

FTSE…….7306 +6.2 +0.08%
Dax……..13689 +155.2 +1.15%
CAC……..6442 +24.9 +0.39%

Nikkei….27872 +344.5 +1.25%
HSI……..16567 -38.6 -0.23%
Shanghai..3065 -13.3 -0.43%
ST Times..3145 +4.5 +0.14%

IDX…….7050.13 -52.27 -0.74%
LQ45…..1005.74 -9.54 -0.94%

IDX Energy..2038.79 -8.00 -0.39%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.09 -21.30 -1.62%
IDX Industrl..1256.46 +10.41 +0.84%
IDXNONCYC..735.27 +0.02 +0.19%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.97 +8.05 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…..886.24 +2.84 +0.32%
IDX Techno..6653.88 +84.80 +1.29%
IDX Transp…1869.09 +1.66 +0.09%
IDX Infrast……922.36 -9.97 -1.07%
IDX Finance 1476.00 -12.31 -0.83%
IDX Banking.1183.44 -12.45 -1.04%
IDX Property….691 -0.00 -0.00%

Indo10Yr….7.5396 -0.0001 -0.001%
ICBI……..332.7094 +0.1542 +0.05%
US10Yr……4.1260 -0.0880 -2.09%
VIX……….25.55 +1.19 +4.89%‼️

USDIndx 109.6070 -0.6100 -0.55%👍
Como Indx..284.05 -2.87 -1.00%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……154.46 +3.03 +2.00%
.
IndoCDS..124.70👍 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5) (07/11)

IDR……15697.50 -10.00 -0.06%‼️
Jisdor..15684.00 -8 -0.05%‼️

Euro……..1.0074 +0.0055 +0.55%👍

TLKM……..26.84 -0.14 -0.52%
(4210)
EIDO………23.56 -0.16 -0.67%
EEM……….36.48 +0.26 +0.72%

Oil…………88.91 -2.88 -3.14%‼️
Gold ……1716.00 +35.50 +2.11%‼️
Timah…..18872 +67 +0.35%
(Closed 07/11)
Nickel…23878.00 +477.00 +2.03%‼️
(Closed 08/11)
Silver………21.50 +0.58 +2.55%
Copper…..368.25 +7.90 +2.19%

Nturl Gas…..6.199 -0.50 -7.47%‼️

Ammonia..4150.00 +180 +4.33%‼️
China
(Domestic Price)(07/11)

Coal price….339.00 -5.90 -1.79%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….323.50 -11.05 -3.30%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.15 -10.95 -3.31%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….191.50 -9.40 -4.68%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.00 -9.50 -4.88%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….185.70 -9.85 -5.04%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (07/11)

CPO(Jan)……4368 -72 -1.62%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….667.50 -8.25 -1.22%
SoybeanOil…75.03 -1.30 -1.70%
Wheat………827.75 -18.00 -2.13%

Wood pulp…6700.00 -10 -0.15%
(Closed 08/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo, europe ijo, asia pada merah kecuali singapore ijo tipis, nikkei ijo rada tebel. Rebound ah tudei IHSG

Komoditas energy turun semua, metal naik semua, cpo turun lagi. ANTM INCO MDKA cerah ceria ini… Coal harus hati hati banget. CPO sahamnya menarik banget once CPO udah uptrend harganya, udah mulai naik tapi idealnya tunggu higher low terbentuk

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Gantian, nanti pas Financials lanjut baru index lanjut

IHSG – masih keliatan mau koreksi minor atau jalan sideways… Kalo mau buy hanya di sektor yang leading aja ya, index turun suka keseret semua

Stochastic Buy Signal: EMTK AALI LINK PWON KBLI

EMTK – looks promising banget, abis divergence confirmed, ketemu hidden bearish divergence, udah selesai koreksinya, mau lanjut ke fibo 38, LR cross up midline, MACD masih up, stoch bolak balik sih emang, MFI RSI up, bandar dan foreign akum… Technically berani buy. Tapi secara relative, saya milih beli GOTO dibanding EMTK

AALI – yang abis terjun bebas gini harus hati hati banget, harus yakin udah ngebalik bullish baru bisa entry… Ini udah mantul, belum sampe fibo 23 udah melemah, kejedot LR channel juga, lagi di dalem cloud, kita liat tembus kemana, break kebawah lagi atau langsung ke atas. 2 hari terakhir memang bd acc dan fnb, tapi belum signifikan. Curiga mau lanjut sideways dulu atau malah koreksi lagi

LINK – saham dibuang beres hajatan ini… pas sebelum harga longsor ada freq spike, bandar buang barang, abis itu volume sepi… Kalo dari teknikal sih menarik, udah beres koreksi, udah mantul, udah bikin higher low, siap rally retracement ke atas. Personally saya skip, tapi buat risk taker ok sih technically ini

PWON – memang sebetulnya suku bunga naik propertypasti agak lesu, tapi technically ini lagi giliran jalan, dan pas juga, abis financials jalan biasanya memang disambung sama property. MACD masih up, stoch baru buy lagi, MFI down, FF masih out, BD baru 2 hari akum. Sektornya juga di RSI chart jalan, bisa spec buy