Daily Analysis 20221108

November 08th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks rise ahead of U.S. midterm elections, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

Stocks rallied Monday as investors looked ahead to a packed week with congressional midterm elections and key inflation data on deck over the next few days, and shrugged off a supply warning from Apple.

Dow…….32827 +423.8 +1.26%
Nasdaq.10565 +89.3 +0.85%
S&P 500..3811 +31.3 +0.83%

FTSE…….7300 -34.9 -0.48%
Dax……..13534 +73.7 +0.55%
CAC……..6417 +0.2 +0.00%

Nikkei….27528 +327.9 +1.21%
HSI……..16596 +434.8 +2.69%
Shanghai..3078 +7.02 +0.23%
ST Times..3133 +2.5 +0.08%

IDX…….7102.40 +56.87 +0.81%
LQ45…..1015.28 +9.30 +0.92%

IDX Energy..2046.79 +18.64 +0.92%
IDX Bsc Mat.1317.39 +16.10 +1.24%
IDX Industrl..1246.05 +1.69 +0.14%
IDXNONCYC..735.25 +6.29 +0.86%
IDX Hlthcare.1489.93 +2.89 +0.19%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.40 +1.42 +0.16%
IDX Techno..6569.08 -76.97 -1.16%
IDX Transp…1867.43 +13.72 +0.74%
IDX Infrast……932.33 +11.27 +1.22%
IDX Finance 1488.31 +13.49 +0.91%
IDX Banking.1195.89 +13.21 +1.12%
IDX Property….690 -2.80 -0.41 %

Indo10Yr….7.5415 +0.0258 +0.34%
ICBI……..332.2555 -0.4389 -0.13%
US10Yr……4.2140 +0.0580 +1.40%
VIX……….24.35 -0.20 -0.81%

USDIndx 110.2170 -0.6600 -0.60%👍
Como Indx..286.92 -0.63 -0.22%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……151.43 -1.97 -1.28%
.
IndoCDS..124.70 -9.11l -6.81%‼👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15707.50 -30.00 -0.19%‼
Jisdor..15692.00 -44 -0.28%‼

Euro……..1.0019 +0.00620 +0.62%👍

TLKM……..26.98 +0.15 +0.56%
(4233)
EIDO………23.72 +0.02 +0.08%
EEM……….36.22 +0.02 +0.06%

Oil…………91.79 -0.82 -0.89%
Gold ……1680.50 +3.90 +0.23%
Timah…..18872 – -%
(Closed 04/11)
Nickel…23401.50 +619.50 +2.72%‼
(Closed 07/11)
Silver………20.92 +0.14 +0.65%
Copper….360.35 -8.30 -2.25%

Nturl Gas…..6.699 +0.240 +3.72%‼

Ammonia..4150.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(03/11)

Coal price….344.90 -4.60 -1.32%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….334.55 -14.45 -4.14%‼
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….331.10 -14.65 -4.24%‼
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….200.90 -15.10 -6.99%‼
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….194.50 -21.50 -9.95%‼
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….195.55 -19.55 -9.07%‼
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.80 -2.70 -2.86%
Indonesial Coal Index (04/11)

CPO(Jan)……4440 +75 +1.72%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….675.75 -5.25 -0.77%
SoybeanOil…76.33 -0.84 -1.09%
Wheat………845.75 -2.00 -0.24%

Wood pulp…6710.00 unch +0%
(Closed 07/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Hampir semua ijo kemarin, cuma inggris yang merah.

Gold Silver Nickel lanjut naik, copper turun. Oil coal turun, gas naik, energy masih galaw. CPO naik lagi. Harusnya MDKA ANTM INCO masih lanjut, oil oil beware, coal coal juga

IHSG – surprisingly naik tinggi kemaren, stochastic 1066 nya masih bilang koreksi atau sideways dulu, indicator lain sih ok semua, cuma infobank15 belum ngebalik bullish keliatannya. Kita recheck ya… Ya semoga long bullish, jalan wave 3, santa claus rally sampe tahun baru

Infobank15 – 833 buy, mungkin continuation mulai jalan… yang pasti, emang lagi wave 3, dan mau breakout IHNS, cross up midline LR, semoga lanjut sampe tutup gap. MACD melandai sampe flat, semoga ga jadi ngebalik kebawah. Bandar acc, FF tipis tipis, MFI up, besar kemungkinan udahan ini koreksinya

Basic Materials, Consumer Cyclicals, Transportation, Property, Infrastructure, Technology… Siap rally lagi IHSG kalo gini mah

Stoch Buy: CPIN MDKA WIKA ADHI LPPF

CPIN – Stoch 1066 sama 833 buy, baru ngebalik ke atas, keliatan sideways, RSI MFI flat, MACD masih up, bandar acc, ff abis buang baru 2 hari NFB tipis, ST up alligator buy, ret pattern harusnya bawa ke fibo 61 @6675, tapi kalo sectornya belum lagi giliran naik, ya mentok dulu biasanya. WNS deh…

MDKA – macd up, 833 buy, 1066 baru buy today, ST up Alligator almost buy, FNB 3 hari, BD big accum, sampe deket fibo 38, ada gap di atas, ada kemungkinan kejedot fibo 38 terus tutup gap dulu, tapi kalo tembus harusnya next stop 4500

LPPF – saham ada hajatan ini kayanya, indicator bolak balik melulu, diangkat terus. Kalo ngitung fibo retracement harusnya ke 5440, tapi susah diukur pake teknikal entrynya dimana, PBV PER nya udah mahal banget juga sih, skip aja deh

MACD buy signal: ASII, HRUM, INCO, PTBA

ASII – macd buy, stoch masih down, 833 udah buy, belum firm bikin higher low sampe semua up, dan breakout resistance. FF masih out, BD baru 2 hari akum, MFI down RSI sw, WNS dulu

HRUM skip, kalo mau masuk coal mending ADRO PTBA ITMG, paling sampe INDY lah

INCO – udah sampe di fibo 61, udah ketemu reg bear div, ninggalin gap juga di bawah, kayanya mau koreksi dulu sih. Kalo udah tutup gap kita liat lagi

PTBA – per sekarang PTBA paling menarik di coal, soalnya kemaren abis dibanting pas ada berita dipaksa akuisisi pembangkit, bikin gap down. Ini MACD nya buy, kalo nanti sore signal nya confirm, berani spec buy. Pas juga sektor energy MACD nya buy