Daily Analysis 20221104

November 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for a fourth day, Nasdaq sheds 1.7% as October jobs report looms

Stocks fell Thursday, declining for a fourth consecutive session. The slide came a day after the Federal Reserve delivered another three-quarter point interest rate hike and signaled that a pivot or rate cut won’t come anytime soon.

Dow…….32001 -146.5 -0.46%
Nasdaq.10343 -181.9 -1.73%
S&P 500..3720 -39.8 -1.06%

FTSE…….7188 +44.49 +0.62%
Dax……..13130 -126.6 -0.95%
CAC……..6243 -33.6 .-0.54%

Nikkei….27663 closed +0%
HSI……..15340 -487.7 -3.08%
Shanghai..2998 -5.6 -0.19%
ST Times..3103 -38.6 -1.23%

IDX…….7034.57 +18.88 +0.27%
LQ45…..1001.30 +2.21 +0.32%

IDX Energy..2034.12 +20.93 +1.04%
IDX Bsc Mat.1280.04 -2.80 -0.22%
IDX Industrl..1248.39 +7.01 +0.56%
IDXNONCYC..728.14 -1.23 -0.17%
IDX Hlthcare.1490.11 -2.48 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..883.57 -1.07 -0.12%
IDX Techno..6673.10 +70.32 +1.06%
IDX Transp…1831.77 +15.87 +0.87%
IDX Infrast……928.42 -3.33 -0.36%
IDX Finance 1486.14 +10.25 +0.69%
IDX Banking.1188.03 +7.95 +0.67%
IDX Property….693 +0.80 +0.12%

Indo10Yr….7.5157 +0.0029 +0.04%
ICBI……..332.6944 -0.1941 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.1240 +0.0650 +1.60%
VIX……….25.30 -0.56 -2.17%👍

USDIndx 112.9740 +0.873 +0.78%‼️
Como Indx..278.32 -2.34 -0.83%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……145.27 -2.69 -1.82%
.
IndoCDS..144.71 +5.18 +3.71%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (03/11)

IDR……15695.00 +48.50 +0.31%‼️
Jisdor..15681.00 +29 +0.19%‼️

Euro……..0.9748 -0.0076 -0.77%

TLKM……..26.07 -0.47 -1.77%
(4088)
EIDO………23.15 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.73 +0.20 +0.58%

Oil…………88.17 -1.18 -1.50%
Gold ……1630.90 -7.80 -0.48%
Timah…..18010 +40.00 +0.22%
(Closed 02/11)
Nickel…22782.00 -1228.00 -5.11%‼️
(Closed 03/11)
Silver………19.43 +0.20 +1.04%
Copper….342.70 -1.40 -0.41%

Nturl Gas…..6.197 +0.359 +6.15%‼️

Ammonia..4096.67 -16.66 -0.41%
China
(Domestic Price)(01/11)

Coal price….351.00 -10.00 -2.77%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….353.00 -9.50 -2.62%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….350.05 -9.70 -2.70%
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….221.00 -8.50 -3.70%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….223.00 -9.05 -3.90%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….222.05 -9.05 -3.92%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.75 -0.50 -0.52%
Indonesial Coal Index (02/11)

CPO(Jan)……4336 -62 -1.41%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….679.35 -8.25 -1.20%
SoybeanOil…75.29 -0.32 -0.42%
Wheat………840.50 -5.50 -0.65%

Wood pulp…6730.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/11)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional merah kecuali IHSG sama Inggris… Kalo liat kebiasaannya, suka ikut US dan jum’at, kayanya merah lagi IDX hari ini

OIl Coal merah lagi, gas naik tinggi sendiri, silver timah naik, gold copper turun, nikel turun dalem. CPO juga turun lagi, masih belum ada yang firm ini… PGAS AGII wajib di check chart nya

IHSG – stoch sell, 833 dow, macd masih up, MFI up, masih wave 3 major, minornya lagi wave B keliatannya, LR suggest down, kita tunggu 833 buy, sekarang jangan terlalu agresif dulu

Menurut ini Consumer Cyclicals, Technology, Basic Materials, Transportation, Property

 

Stoch Buy: INCO TBIG MAPI

MACD buy: TBIG CTRA DOID

TBIG – abis turun jauh gini amannya masuk pas udah bikin higher low, ini MACD buy tapi bandar dan Foreign masih buang terus, belum aman

MAPI – bandar buang foreign buang, lave 3 udah lewat target levelnya, udah ketemu bearish divergence RSI dan udah 2 candle merah, longsor sih kayanya…

CTRA – menarik, walau bandar dan foreign masih distribusi tapi tipis, MACD udah buy, stoch lagi sw, MFI up, ada bullish divergence kalo hari ini ijo confirmed, kalo bisa closing diatas MA 10 lebih bagus lagi, 3 syarat konfirmasi divergence udah ok semua. LR ok, bisa spec buy ini di akhir market kalo closing ijo

IDX Property – kurang asik stoch dan MACD nya ini sektornya tapi, jadi jangan full lot dan stoploss ketat di previous low. Kalo CTRA jebol 900 buang