Daily Analysis 20221101

November 01st, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes lower on Monday, but still posts best month since 1976

Stocks slipped on Monday, but the Dow capped off its best month since 1976 and all the major averages snapped a two-month losing streak.

Dow…….32733 -128.9 -0.39%
Nasdaq.10988 -114.3 -1.03%
S&P 500..3872 -29.1 -0.75%

FTSE…….7095 +46.9 +0.66%
Dax……..13254 +10.4 +0.08%
CAC……..6267 -6.3 -0.10%

Nikkei….27588 +482.3 +1.78%
HSI……..14687 -176.04 -1.18%
Shanghai..2894 -22.4 -0.77%
ST Times..3093 +33.92 +1.11%

IDX…….7098.89 +42.85 +0.61%
LQ45…1014.12 +4.42 +0.44%

IDX Energy..2069.50 +43.91 +2.17%
IDX Bsc Mat.1268.23 +20.70 +1.66%
IDX Industrl..1273.96 -11.61 -0.90%
IDXNONCYC..735.32 -1.64 -0.22%
IDX Hlthcare.1504.12 -9.31 -0.61%
IDXCYCLIC…..868.54 +4.17 +0.48%
IDX Techno..6451.37 -44.25 -0.68%
IDX Transp…1845.74 +35.09 +1.94%
IDX Infrast……940.06 +6.66 +0.71%
IDX Finance 1501.36 +12.71 +0.85%
IDX Banking.1203.76 +16.44 +1.38%
IDX Property….693 +2.60 +0.38%

Indo10Yr….7.5862 -0.0037 -0.05%
ICBI……..331.2277 -0.0311 -0.01%
US10Yr……4.0770 +0.0670 +1.67%‼️
VIX……….25.88 +0.13 +0.50%

USDIndx 115.5800 +0.8280 +0.75%
Como Indx..274.13 +1.51 +0.55%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN……142.20 -2.28 -1.58%
.
IndoCDS..139.53 +5.94 +4.45%
(5-yr INOCD5) (26/10)

IDR……15597.50 +43.50 +0.28%‼️
Jisdor..15596.00 +54 +0.35%‼️

Euro……..0.9882 -0.0083 -0.83%

TLKM……..27.82 -0.31 -1.10%
(4339)
EIDO………23.75 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM……….34.19 -0.10 -0.29%

Oil…………86.53 -1.37 -1.56%
Gold ……1640.70 -4.10 -0.25%
Timah…..18101 – -%
(Closed 28/10)
Nickel…21946.50 -137.50 -0.62%
(Closed 31/10)
Silver………19.12 -0.03 -0.16%
Copper….337.50 -14.95 -4.24%‼️

Nturl Gas…..6.294 +0.494 +0.94%‼️

Ammonia..4113.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(27/10)

Coal price….356.30 -17.70 -4.73%‼️
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….356.05 -19.00 -5.07%‼️
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….352.50 -20.44 -5.47%‼️
(Jan/Newcastle)
Coal price….219.25 -20.70 -8.63%‼️
(Nov/Rotterdam)
Coal price….217.25 -20.50 -8.62%‼️
(Des/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..225.25 -11.50 -4.85%‼️
(Jan/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..91.65 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (28/10)

CPO(Jan)……4047 +60 +1.50%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….691.75 +10.75 +1.58%
SoybeanOil…73.21 +1.42 +1.98%
Wheat………882.25 +53.00 +6.39%‼️

Wood pulp…6802.00 unch +0%
(Closed 31/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas,

US merah jum’at, europe masih mayoritas ijo, IDX ijo, asia varied sih… Ada kemungkinan kita merah lagi hari ini…fase sideways dulu bolak balik kayanya

Oil Coal turun, gas naik, energy lagi mau dibikin galau nih, metalturun semua, wah, MDKA nasibnya ga asik ini kalo Gold sama Copper turun, liat MACD kalo ngebalik out dulu deh. CPO naik dikit, belum cukup kayanya buat balikin downtrend AALI LSIP

Masih wave 3, masih long bullish, cuma sideways dulu aja…

IHSG – Stochasticnya udah overbought, bisa bikin koreksi dulu, bisa juga sideways correction. Yang jelas belum rally dulu lagi sampe beres. Kita liat INFOBANK15 buat konfirmasi lanjutan gerakan index. MACD masih firm, DMI sideways, BD sama FF masih accum, mungkin malah baru dinaikin lagi setelah pada akum banyak dulu

MFI masih up, duit gede masih masuk, volume transaksi standar2 aja, ga ada freq spike, gaada yang istimewa lah, konsolidasi aja

INFOBANK15 – ini malah udah keliatan mau lanjut, koreksinya udah keliatan mau beres… kecuali stochastic yang oversold, udah hampir ok semua, tinggal breakout resistance terus tutup gap

Selain finance nongol property, yang senin pada naik, infrastructure, consumer cyclicals, sama transportation

Financials – kompak sama infobank15, cuma lebih telat, tapi sama keliatan mau lanjut.

BBCA BMRI 833 nya buy signal, kita liat apa bener continuation

BBCA – bener kliatannya mau continue naik, candle terakhir gap up baru dibawa closing dibawah. Yang ma entry buy di gap closing aja. MACD masih firm, 833 buy, 1066 rev down, MFI up, BD FF acc, dikit lagi breakout leel top nya wave 1, firm wave 3 kalo break. DMI up, LR up

BMRI – memang diantara big banks paling duluan gerak, udah keliatan kaya mau udahan wave 3 nya, udah ada bearish divergence. VOlume transaksibandar dan foreign juga turun banget, dibiarin aja ini kayanya ga dimainin dulu, MFI flat, macd masih up, stoch 833 buy, 1066 nya overbought. Spec buy masih ok, tapi stoploss ketat

Property – macd up stoch up overbought, 833 sell, mfi up, last 2 days FNS and bandar flat, koq mark-up distribusi sih, kaya yang mau dibanting… masih belum berhasil break fibo 23 memang masih belum firm reversal sih. kita pantau terus tapi

CTRA buy signal MACD, BSDE sama SMRA big accumulation

CTRA – secara umum technical ok, stoch sw,macd buy, mfi sw, abis run terakhir sudah koreksi sampe fibo 61, LR siap mantul PSAR masih up, tapi… volume transaksi sepi, last 2 days FNS, bandar akum tipis tipis. Berani spec buy sih sebagian dulu, tapi stoploss ketat di last low 905

BSDE – all good yang ini, semoga jalan jauh… Dan bukan kena mark-up distribusi kaya sektornya. Kalo ikut retracement pattern standard, next stop: 1005

SMRA – FNS 2 hari, bandar akum tapi, MFI masih up macd up, DMI sw, LR ok, tunggu 833 buy deh

Infrastructure – 833 nya bilang koreksi/sideways dulu, macd masih ok, stoch up, mfi up, dmi sw, psar up lr up. sudah ok sih buat kemungkinan sektor nya diangkat

EXCL ISAT

EXCL – masih sideways, bolak balik terus, harus tunggu breakout aja deh, bd akum FF masih net buy tapi tambah kecil. Baru tembus fibo 23 tenggelem dulu, bisa spec buy di area fibo 23 sebagian aja

ISAT – udah stoch buy, disusul MACD, bareng sama stoch 833 re-buy, harusnya bisa buy ini, continuation. Bandarnya sama FF lagi diem abis kemaren distribusi pas bawa harga koreksi,tapi MFI masih naik, meaning harga naiknya volume nya isi, ga kosong. Berani spec buy di tengah candel kemaren hari ini, target tutup gap

Consumer Cyclicals – rally lho ini, tapi di relative RSI chart ga nongol terus… Stoch up overbought, macdup, mfi up, ff flat bd akum tipis. Retracement pattern jalan, LR jalan

MPMX

MPMX – harusnya buy dari tanggal 24 okt. Idealnya sih ada momentum pullback lagi baru entry di 833 buy, tapi belum tentu dapet, bisa jadi dia langsung lanjut.TUnggu breakout aja deh

Transportation – bagus semua kecuali FNS seminggu terakhir

ASSA FNB big accum

ESSA – belum sih, candle vol buangan