Daily Analysis 20221026

October 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close higher for third consecutive day, Nasdaq adds 2.2% ahead of Big Tech earnings

Stocks closed higher another session Tuesday, as investors assessed sliding yields and new data for further clues into the health of the U.S. economy.

Dow…….31837 +337.1 +1.07%
Nasdaq.11199 +246.5 +2.26%
S&P 500..3859 +61.8 +1.63%

FTSE…….7014 -0.51 -0.01%
Dax……..13053 +121.5 +0.94%
CAC……..6251 +119.2 +1.94%

Nikkei….27250 +275.4 +1.02%
HSI……..15166 -15.1 -0.10%
Shanghai..2976 -1.3 -0.04%
ST Times..2984 +14.2 +0.48%

IDX…….7048.38 -4.66 -0.07%
LQ45…1005.83 -0.67 -0.07%

IDX Energy..2011.36 -22.87 -1.12%
IDX Bsc Mat.1240.43 -8.36 -0.67%
IDX Industrl..1280.93 +1.63 +0.13%
IDXNONCYC..733.02 -0.01 -0.13%
IDX Hlthcare.1497.04 +5.80 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..852.57 -6.01 -0.70%
IDX Techno..6466.63 +47.04 +0.73%
IDX Transp…1768.34 -10.92 -0.61%
IDX Infrast……937.66 -0.08 -0.01%
IDX Finance 1513.13 -0.10 -0.01%
IDX Banking.1200.70 +0.32 +0.03%
IDX Property…….688 +7.30 +1.07%

Indo10Yr….7.6137 +0.0268 +0.35%
ICBI……..330.1944 -0.3156 -0.10%
US10Yr……4.1080 -0.1260 -2.98%‼️
VIX……….28.46 -1.39 -4.66%

USDIndx 110.9500 -1.0460 -0.93%👍
Como Indx..273.99 +2.17 +0.80%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.22 -0.23 -0.16%
.
IndoCDS 156.98 -3.88 -2.41%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (24/10)

IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️
Jisdor..15616.00 +26 +0.17%‼️

Euro……..0.9960 +0.0080 +0.81%‼️

TLKM……..28.02 -0.23 -0.81%
(4376)
EIDO………23.69 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM……….34.21 +0.28 +0.83%

Oil…………84.93 +0.13 +0.15%
Gold ……1656.30 +1.30 +0.08%
Timah….18450 -34 -0.18%
(Closed 24/10)
Nickel…22239.50 +245.50 +1.10%
(Closed 25/10)
Silver………19.28 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….340.15 -3.04 -0.89%

Nturl Gas…..6.248 +0.503 +8.76%‼️

Ammonia..4130.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….388.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….382.90 -0.60 -0.16%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….385.25 -0.80 -0.21%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.05 +0.50 +0.19%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….250.10 +3.60 +1.46%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..249.00 +3.60 +1.47%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4129 +29 +0.71%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….686.25 +4.75 +0.70%
SoybeanOil…72.28 +0.41 +0.57%
Wheat………834.75 -4.00 -0.48%

Wood pulp…6816.00 -4 -0.06%
(Closed 25/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US lanjut ijo europe cuma inggris merah tipis, asia ihsg hsi sama shanghai merah tipis nikkei singapore ijo

Gold SIlver ijo, copper merah timah merah nikel ijo, oil ijo tipis gas naik tinggi, coal turun lagi, CPO naik tipis

Keliatannya saham coal lanjut koreksi, saham oil mungkin naik, kalo gas suka ga relate langsung ke AGII sama PGAS, tapi kita liat nanti.

IHSG – masih ok semua, cuma udah run 6 hari ijo, stoch 833 bilang koreksi minor, udah di overbought area. last day bd ff dist, wajar kali profit taking ya

RSI quadrant bilang financials sama industrials.

FInancials – mirip banget sama IHSG chart nya, all good, stoch 833 suggest minor correction, mungkin 1-2 hari ini, FF flat, bd flat, mfi up,wave 3, LR bagus, DMI buy. Masih panjang harusnya, kalo koreksi malah kesempatan second entry

Banyak 833 sell –> jadwal koreksi minor, kalo pada mau profit taking ok, nanti re entry pas 833 buy signal lagi, mau hold juga ok, pasang trailing stop paling bijak. Malah menarik nungguin yang belum gerak, yang masih pada downtrend dari filter EMA50 dan oversold dari stochastic

BRIS – baru kemaren signal buy MACD, sehari sebelumnya Stochastic signal buy, berani BOW sih, harusnya masih long run, BBCA BMRI BBNI udah lari BRIS belum, FF juga inside, BD lokal yang belum.

BTPS – technically bagusan BRIS, walau sama2 ada stoch dan MACD buy signal, tapi cenderung sideways dan signalnya bolak balik, MFI turun, masih belum breakout fibo 23, LR belum firm kemana, DMI juga

SRTG – menarik tapi belum waktunya buy, kita liat posisi technicalnya nanti pas udah MACD buy signal. Sekarang BD FF masih dist MFI turun, LR belum jelas, cuma reg bul div aja yang menjanjikan

Industrials – Stoch up, macd buy, MFI up, FNB 2 hari, BD mulai akum, LRbagus, ABC correction sepertinya bikin flat style aja, DMI dikit lagi buy, ok sih

Belum ada signal buy baru… BMTR masih downtrend tapi ada freq spike kemarin, kita check

Ga terlalu tinggi sih… tapi harusnya tetep bawa naik

BMTR – stoch up, macd buy, MFI flat FF dist, bd dist, ABC correction done harusnya, LR good, DMI masih flat, udah ok buat spec buy, sisanya tunggu vol breakout

Stoch buy signals

AMRT – long run banget, tapi ini udah wave 5, harusnya ga lama lagi koreksi ABC. stoch buy, macd up mfi overbought, FF exit BD akum. Jangan lah kalo new entry

INDY – stoch sih buy, tapi yang lain bilang koreksi dulu, MACD down, MFI down, FF masih inside, tapi 2 hari nfs, BD masih dist, keliatannya sudah beres wave 5 kemaren, walau mungkin juga sekarang masih running wave 5, kita WNS aja

MEDC – stoch buy macd buy, lagi wave 5, udah ada bearish divergence, kemungkinannyaakan ABC correction dulu. BD masih akum, FF udah exit, MFI sw, ada gap dibawah, LR cross up midline. WNS deh

WSKT – mulai menarik, seiring issue IKN. Stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, MFI sw, bandar & foreign belum gerak, LR ok, DMI masih belum. Masih WNS, tunggu MACD

IDX Energy – masih meragukan, masih keliatan mau ngerusin wave C nya kebawah, walau stoch dan MACD nya buy, tapi masih sideways. Belum dulu buat entry baru di energy

MACD buy signal

WIKA – mirip wskt, stoch buy macd buy, ff bd masih out, bull div cuma OBV kurang firm, LR ok, DMI mau kontraksi, spec buy udah ok sih ini… Tapi relatively mending WSKT karena menang tender IKN

PWON – Stoch up macd buy, tapi FF dan BD masih dist, MFI sw, ngulang retracement pattern lagi dari awal, ga ada reg bull div yang meyakinkan, LR belum mentok lower channel, belum ada breakout with volume, masih WNS dulu

GJTL – udah terjun cukup banyak, sudah menarik buat dipegang panjang lagi, asal firm rebound. Masuk saham dengan rasio2 bagus, bisa buat saham invest. harusnya dari retracement pattern bisa balik ke 825. Stoch upMACD buy, FF dist, bd start akum tipis, MFI flat, LR bagus, DMI bagus belum buy signal. Bisa nyicil buy yang invest, sekalian bottom fishing, yang trade udah bisa buy tapi tentunya pasang SL dan trailing stop