Daily Analysis 20221025

Global update:

October 25th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks notch second day of gains Monday, Dow closes more than 400 points higher

The three major indexes closed higher Monday as traders tried to add to sharp gains seen last week and weighed the latest moves in rates.

Dow…….31499 +417.1 +1.34%
Nasdaq.10953 +92.9 +0.86%
S&P 500..3797 +44.6 +1.19%

FTSE…….7014 +44.3 +0.64%
Dax……..12931 +200.6 +1.58%
CAC……..6131 +95.97 +1.59%

Nikkei….26975 +84.3 +0.31%
*HSI……..15181 -1030.4 -6.36%‼️*
*Shanghai..2978 -61.4 -2.02%*
ST Times..2970 -52.8 -1.75%

IDX…….7053.04 +35.27 +0.50%
LQ45…1006.50 +6.14 +0.61%

IDX Energy..2034.23 +17.21 +0.85%
IDX Bsc Mat.1248.79 +1.43 +0.11%
IDX Industrl..1279.30 +16.15 +1.28%
IDXNONCYC..733.03 +0.47 +0.57%
IDX Hlthcare.1491.24 +14.11 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..858.58 +4.95 +0.58%
IDX Techno..6419.58 -54.42 -0.84%
IDX Transp…1779.26 +1.09 +0.06%
IDX Infrast……937.73 -6.41 -0.68%
IDX Finance 1513.23 +22.68 +1.52%
IDX Banking.1200.38 +22.43 +1.90%
IDX Property…….681 -0.70 -0.10%

Indo10Yr….7.5869 +0.0289 +0.38%
ICBI……..330.5100 -0.1980 -0.06%
*US10Yr……4.2340 +0.0210 +0.50%‼️*
*VIX……….29.85 +0.16 +0.54%*

*USDIndx 111.9960 -0.0160 -0.01%👍*
Como Indx..271.82 -0.54 -0.20%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.45 -0.39 -0.26%
.
*IndoCDS 160.86 -4.98 -3.00%*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(24/10)*

*IDR……15585.50 -46.00 -0.29%‼️*
*Jisdor..15590.00 -20 -0.13%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9880 +0.0018 +0.18%‼️*

TLKM……..28.25 +0.55 +1.99%
*(4404)*
EIDO………23.70 +0.06 +0.25%
*EEM………33.93 -1.34 -3.80%‼️*

Oil…………84.80 -0.25 -0.29%
Gold ……1655.00 -1.30 -0.08%
Timah….18484 – -%
*(Closed 21/10)*
Nickel…22239.50 +54.50 +0.25%
*(Closed 24/10)*
Silver………19.20 +0.60 +3.23%
Copper….343.20 +3.45 +1.02%

*Nturl Gas…..5.745 +0.273 +4.75%*

*Ammonia..4130.00 – -%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(20/10)

Coal price….390.00 unch +0%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….383.50 -6.45 -1.65%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….386.05 -3.95 -1.01%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….269.55 -0.45 -0.17%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….246.50 -9.90 -3.86%‼️*
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price…..245.40 -10.15 -3.97%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.15 – -%
Indonesial Coal Index (21/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 closed +0%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………….681.50 -2.75 -0.40%
SoybeanOil…71.87 +0.37 +0.52%
Wheat………838.75 -12.00 -1.41%

*Wood pulp…6820.00 unch +0%*
(Closed 24/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US europe lanjut ijo, asia varied, HSI yang drop gila gilaan, china dan singapore juga merah, nikkei dan IHSG aman. Semoga hari ini kita ikut US, jangan ikut hangseng

Gold merah tipis, silver ijo, copper ijo, timah unchanged nikel ijo oil merah gas naik rada gede coal spot flat, futur merah. Hati2 yang masih pegang energy, jangan terlalu pede lanjut rally

IHSG – all good, cuma MFI yang flat. Wave 3 biasanya paling panjang, kalo ketemu wave 3 gini ga usah mikirin gorengan, blue chip aja pada lari… Play safe dan jangan telat exit karena fomo naik terus, pasti ketemu koreksi nanti. Kalo mau buy and hold boleh tapi jangan dikit2 diliat, turun dikit galau…

Udah rally 6 days straight, jangan kaget kalo sekali sekali merah, yang penting major tren bullish, tapi tetep keluar masuk sesuai buy signal

Yang kebaca jelas, financials, yang lain agak agak goyang, tapi dari angka sih Basic Materials sama Industrials

Financials – perfect, harusnya lanjut masih panjang, paling minor correction aja

ARTO BBRI SRTG

ARTO ga dibahas ya, bank konven aja udah males, ini bank digital yang belum proven, skip lah

BBRI – almost all good, minusnya foreign abis buang bareng belum akum lagi. Barusan tutup gap, jangan kaget kalo sehari ini merah dulu. Bisa BOW di tengah candle kemaren

SRTG – seems good, tapi just to be safe , bandar belum akum, foreign belum akum, so pending tunggu MACD dan vol breakout, idealnya setelah bd dan ff akum

Basic Materials – stoch up macd buy, bd flat, ff dist, MFI sw, firm wave 3, DMI contraction bagus tapi belum buy signal. Harusnya sih jalan, kita liat emiten di dalamnya

INKP INTP TINS AGII

INKP – stoch buy, macd dikit lagi, mfi flat bd akum tipis, ff belum, kemaren break fibo 23 mentok fibo 38, harusnya kemaren udah balik ke deket level 23 lagi sekareng retest naik. Tunggu MACD buy signal firm, bisa Buy mid term

INTP – stoch up, macd buy, mfi up, ff dist bd akum, setelah kemaren ada reg bul div sudah close diatas ma 10 dan masih stay diatas ma 20 walau lagi koreksi, DMI udah sempet buy sekarang lagi sw. BOW

TINS – stoch buy macd up but sw, ff dist, bd dist, reg bull div confirmed, udah sempet ada vol breakout, tapi ga sambil breakout resistance, LR bisa kemana aja, DMI mau buy belum jadi. Kita tunggu vol besar sambil breakout resistance

 

AGII – lumayan ok technicalnya, tapi vol nya tipis, FF dan bd masih dist, wns dulu

Industrials – semua ok kecuali FF dan BD yang masih pasif, last day udah FNB tapi. Kita liat dalemnya

KBLI… sama ASII yang FNB dan big akum

KBLI – baru lepas dari fase downtrend keliatannya, signal bolak balik, tapi FF dan BD yang udah menarik, udah balik akum dan stay inside. ST buy 2 hari lalu, ali almost buy, posisi di area fibo 23, kemungkinan besar ngejar test fibo 38 dulu. DMI buy, rasio fundamental ok. Bisa BOW

ASII – stoch up macd buy, MFI up, FF acc tipis BD flat masih belum entry besar semua, ABC correction seems done, DMI contraction belum buy, masih WNS sih

ELSA menarik, MBSS rada menarik

ELSA – walau sektor energy ga ke detect di cacing rsi tapi elsa chartnya bagus… Stoch buy macd buy FF BD acc, ali buy st belum, udah mantul dari fibo 23, otw to fibo 61 harusnya, DMI udah buy, dikit lagi sampe level neckline double bottom kemaren. Spec buy ok, kita recheck chart sektor energy

Energy – hampir semua ok kecuali itungan ABC correction setelah wave 5 yang belum cukup dalem koreksinya. Terasa kaya jebakan. Tapi ok sih buy saham di dalamnya, secara teknikal lebih banyak yang suggest ok daripada yang tidak

MBSS – stoch buy, macd buy, ali buy, st up, MFI overbought, bd akum ff exit, tukeran barang ini kayanya dalam rangka goreng, udah mau beres retracement pattern, kita tarik elliot wave nya nanti. Udah rada telat untuk masuk, tapi kalo bener analisa tentang sektor enery, kayanya akan dapet second chance untuk entry later