Daily Analysis 20221021

Global update:

October 21th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower for second day as Treasury yields continue march to new highs

Stocks fell in choppy trading on Thursday as investors weighed several key earnings reports and

Dow…….30334 -90.2 -0.30%
Nasdaq.10615 -65.7 -0.61%
S&P 500..3666 -29.4 -0.80%

FTSE…….6944 +18.9 +0.27%
Dax……..12767 +26.0 +0.20%
CAC……..6086 +46.2 +0.76%

Nikkei….27007 -250.4 -0.92%
HSI……..16280 -231.1 -1.40%
Shanghai..3036 -9.3 -0.31%
ST Times..3023 -0.1 -0.00%

IDX…….6980.65 +120.24 +1.75%
LQ45…..993.68 +19.61 +2.01%

IDX Energy..2013.86 +55.53 +2.84%
IDX Bsc Mat.1258.58 +17.50 +1.41%
IDX Industrl..1257.29 +6.36 +0.51%
IDXNONCYC..736.76 +18.00 +2.50%
IDX Hlthcare.1469.92 +5.78 +0.39%
IDXCYCLIC…..846.45 +4.19 +0.50%
IDX Techno..6538.56 +40.62 +0.63%
IDX Transp…1766.06 +4.88 +0.28%
IDX Infrast……931.86 +8.88 +0.96%
IDX Finance 1468.12 +16.81 +1.16%
IDX Banking.1158.80 +28.44 +2.52%
IDX Property…….684 +8.00 +1.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4883 +0.0390 +0.52%
ICBI……..331.9379 -0.7154 -0.22%
US10Yr……4.2260 +0.0990 +2.40%‼️
VIX……….29.98 -0.78 -2.54%

USDIndx 112.8500 -0.0430 -0.04%
Como Indx..271.72 +0.37 +0.14%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..145.70 +2.94 +2.06%
.
IndoCDS 160.00 +4.31 +2.77%
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15571.50 +73.50 +0.47%‼️
Jisdor..15579.00 +110 +0.71%‼️

Euro……..0.9785 -0.0075 -0.76%‼️

TLKM……..27.52 +0.56 +2.08%
(4287
EIDO………23.26 +0.56 +2.47%
EEM………34.74 +0.22 +0.64%

Oil…………85.98 unch +0%
Gold ……1632.50 -1.50 -0.09%
Timah….19338 -112 -0.58%
(Closed 19/10)
Nickel…22195.50 +154.00 +0.70%
(Closed 20/10)
Silver………18.60 +0.19 +1.03%
Copper….339.75 +7.70 +2.32%

Nturl Gas…..5.317 -0.138 -2.53%

Ammonia..4146.67 -33.33 -0.80%
China
(Domestic Price)(19/10)

Coal price….391.95 +0.95 +0.24%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….396.15 +2.90 +0.74%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….398.50 +2.40 +0.61%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.00 +2.00 +0.75%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….258.50 +1.35 +0.52%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..257.30 +0.55 +0.55%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.45 unch +0%
Indonesial Coal Index (19/10)

CPO(Jan)……4100 -20 -0.48%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….684.00 +5.75 +0.85%
SoybeanOil…70.42 -0.22 -0.31%
Wheat………849.25 +8.00 +0.95%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 20/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US closing merah, europe masih pada ijo, asia merah kecuali IHSG. Hari ini kayanya mau merah berarti

Oil unchanged, gold timah merah, nikel silver copper ijo. MDKA turun dulu deh, minggu depan kita belanja MDKA. Gas merah coal ijo lagi, masih harus diperhatikan ini jebakan betmen atau bukan, cpo koreksi dikit

IHSG – stoch udah buy, macd dikit lagi, mulai FNB,bandar akum, MFI flat, closing diatas MA10 dibawah MA20, mahzab MA masih nunggu, tapi elliot wave udah firm wave 3 sih, LR mantul, DMI contraction tapi buy signal masih jauh. Masih selective buying saham saham yang firm jalan aja dan ada buy signalnya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Basic Materials, Property sama Industrials… Financials belum terlihat, padahal kalo index mau lari financials harus dorong…

Kita check infobank15 dulu

Infobank15 – stoch buy, MACD almost buy, last day FNB, bandar akum, MFI up, inside cloud going up, elliot wave redraw, bikin lower low kemaren, sekarang udah mantul, udah closing diatas MA20 firm wave 3 ini… LR mantul DMI udah buy, lanjut dorong index ke atas…

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – 3 hari rally, stoch up overbought, FNB bandar akum MFI up, alligator supertrend buy, triangle breakout, abc kemaren flat ini jalan wave 1 berarti…

Banyak FNB dan bandar akum, buy signal JPFA AALI DSNG LSIP

JPFA – signal ok semua, cuma belum didukung volume transaksi… Buy signal udah, yang mau buy setengah dulu sambil tunggu vol breakout deh

AALI – IMHO ini lebih cakep dari JPFA… semua perfect tinggal slope LR yang rubah seiring gerakan naik nanti. buy signal, harga komoditi kemaren naik, ada volume… BOW

LSIP – ini ditunggu tunggu banget mantulnya… Sudah koreksi banyak, fundamental nya masuk screening value investing, sekarang posisi stoch udha buy, macd buy, MFI up, bandar akum, belum FNB, kayanya udha firm beres ABC correction harusnya lanjut wave 3, LR mantu, cross up midline, DMI buy. BOW di tengah candle kemaren…

Basic Materials – Stoch buy, macd buy, MFI up terus flat, FF Bandar akum, beres wave 2 udah kena abc correction levelnya, harusnya jalan wave 3

ANTM INCO TPIA TKIM

ANTM – belum nih, dikit lagi mungkin, macd blum, LR belum, volume belum, bandar dist, MA 10 belum, DMI belum… WNS

INCO – stoch buy tapi sw, macd buy tapi sw, MFI cenderung sw, bandar akum tipis, foreign keluar masuk, harusnya menuju fibo 61 tapi ketemu bearish divergence di banyak indic, triangle breakout, DMI udah buy tapi masih galau… WNS, tunggu bearish divergence canceled atau firm jalan ke bawah

TPIA – belum

TKIM – stoch buy macd belum, BD acc FF acc, MFI sw, ali buy ST up, DMI buy, LR cross midline, bisa BOW tapi pantau ketat

Property – stoch buy macd buy MFI up, FF dist, bd flat, abis gagal bo fibo 23 bikin higher low, lagi mau mantul. DMI contraction, LR buy. OK tapi pantau ketat

CTRA SMRA

CTRA – relatively ok, tapi belum ada volume, WNS

SMRA – stoch up, macd buy, mfi up, ff acc bd acc, mantul dari HL, DMI almost buy, LR ok mantul… Bisa buy sih, walau suku bunga naik property harusnya efeknya kurang baik, tapi technical ok boleh lah, selama index masih bagus

Industrials – tunggu MACD deh… FF juga masih dist, bd dah mulai acc

KBLI BMTR

KBLI – abis sw rada panjang, stoch buy macd buy, mfi up, bd acc, ff flat, harusnya testing fibo 23, dmi almost buy, lr cross up midline, yang mau pegang saham invest rada santei bisa entry, masih ada resiko lanjut sw tapi ini

BMTR – stoch buy macd buy,mfi up,ff dist bd flat, abc correction done, LR ok, DMI contraction masih lanjut sw, bisa spec buy half, half lagi tunggu vol bareng FF dan bd