Daily Analysis 20221018

Global Update:

October 18th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes up 550 points, Nasdaq pops more than 3% as strong bank earnings boost volatile market

Stocks rose sharply on Monday as key earnings reports eased some of investors’ fears and oversold tech names enjoyed a rebound rally.

Dow…….30186 +550.99 +1.86%
Nasdaq.10676 +354.4 +3.43%
S&P 500..3678 +94.9 +2.65%

FTSE…….6920 +61.5 +0.90%
Dax……..12649 +211.2 +1.70%
CAC……..6040 +108.7 +1.83%

Nikkei….26776 -314.97 -1.16%
HSI……..16613 +25.2 +0.15%
Shanghai..3085 +12.96 +0.42%
ST Times..3016 -23.o -0.79%

IDX…….6831.12 +16.58 +0.24%
LQ45…..972.67 +5.93 +0.61%

IDX Energy…1986.61 +1.96 +0.10%
IDX Bsc Mat.1227.05 +9.79 +0.80%
IDX Industrl..1247.52 -15.56 -1.23%
IDXNONCYC..698.45 +0.20 +0.03%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.14 +13.73 +0.96%
IDXCYCLIC…..834.31 -7.16 -0.85%
IDX Techno..6480.41 +3.96 +0.06%
IDX Transp…1753.16 -34.22 -1.91%
IDX Infrast……923.40 -4.27 -0.46%
IDX Finance 1415.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Banking.1101.70 -15.22 -1.06%
IDX Property…….671 -8.o -1.31%

Indo10Yr….7.4517 +0.0354 +0.0)48%
ICBI……..332.9804 -0.6769 -0.06%
US10Yr……4.0150 +0.0050 +0.12%‼
VIX……….31.37 -0.65 -2.03%

USDIndx 112.0390 -1.2720 -1.12%👍
Como Indx..275.33 -1.36 -0.49%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.08 -2.45 -1.67%
.
IndoCDS 164.32 -2.32 -1.39%‼
(5-yr INOCD5) (12/10)

IDR……15487.50 +60.50 +0.39%‼
Jisdor..15480.00 +90 +0.58%‼

Euro……..0.9722 +0.0118 +1.20%‼

TLKM……..27.95 +0.52 +1.90%
(4327)
EIDO………22.83 +0.27 +1.20%
EEM………35.15 +0.94 +2.75%

Oil…………86.00 +0.39 +0.46%
Gold ……1656.30 +7.40 +0.45%
Timah…19930 – -0%
(Closed 14/10)
Nickel…21613.50 -221.50 -1.01%
(Closed 17/10)
Silver………18.61 +0.54 +2.99%
Copper….340.85 -1.51 -0.44%

Nturl Gas…..5.982 -0.490 -7.57%‼

Ammonia..4206.67 -50 -1.17%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/10)

Coal price….392.15 -0.35 -0.09%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….392.65 -4.85 -1.22%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….395.15 -1.85 -0.47%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….270.50 -2.00 -0.73%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….259.50 -4.50 -1.70%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price…..259.40 -4.10 -1.56%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..95.70 +1.70 +1.81%
Indonesial Coal Index (14/10)

CPO(Jan)……3878 +12 +0.31%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….683.50 -6.25 -0.91%
SoybeanOil….66.84 +1.54 +2.36%
Wheat………861.00 +1.25 +0.15%

Wood pulp…6846.00 unch +0%
(Closed 17/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

 

DJI Nasdaq ijo tebel… Eropa ijo, sepertinya IHSG udah diangggap cukup turunnya walau tipis belum ketutup gap nya… Siap siap belanja… 😇

Oil gold silver cpo naik, nikel copper coal turun, gas turun dalem. Kayanya saham energi mau turun dulu ini

Dikiiiit lagi ketutup gap nya, tapi kayanya sudah dulu sih turunnya, kita tunggu buy signal dari saham saham yang mau lari duluan

Kalo dari sini energy, basic materials sama industrials

Energy – masih jelek, stoch sell, macd down, MFI down, BD FF cenderung flat walau last day up, pattern nya keliatan mau wave C, DMI sell. Belum dulu sih…

MEDC sama DOID MACD buy signal

MEDC – stoch up overbought, macd buy but rather flat, MFIup, FF dist, bandar akum, belum beres wave 4 ini harusnya, dan belum breakout level wave 3 jadi belum bisa dibilang jalan wave 5, LR bisa kemana aja, DMI mau sell. New entry jangan deh… Kalo yang udah punya masih hold…

Rada telat sih sekarang, udah lumayan jauh diatas avg bandar…

DOID – stoch up, macdbuy, MFI sw, FF akum BD akum tipis seminggu last day dist, pattern ABC udah sah untuk continuation, ada hidden bullish divergence pas beres wave B,DMI abis buy mau ngebalik lagi. Kalo bukan karena sektornya meragukan, bisa buy ini DOID, tapi mending WNS dulu

Masih belum terlalu jauh, tapi amannya nunggu sektor firm aja deh

Basic Materials – stoch down, macd flat siap revup, MFI flat, oversold, FF bandar abis dist last day akum, ada freq spike 2 pas jum’at, levelnya udah okbuar mantul wave 3, udah ada reg bull div, tunggu satu candle lagi,LR down, DMI down, masih WNS, pantau ketat

SMGR… INKP menarik

SMGR – tadinya diperkirakan akan gerak bareng sama BUMN konstruksi pake issue IKN, tapi ini udah jalan duluan, masih testing fibo 23 belum break. Stoch buy, macd flat, MFI up, bandar akum, FF tipis2 tapi last day akum, DMI baru sell, curiga masih akan sideways dulu, WNS aja nunggu MACD sama sektor mulai jalan

INKP – belum sih, stoch down, macd down, MFI down, FF exit, bd flat, abis test fibo 38 lagi retrace ke arah 23, kita tunggu di area fibo 23, LR says down, DMI juga.

Industrials – stoch down oversold, MACD down, MFI sw, ff dist, bd flat, masih ABC belum selesai, tapi udah deket target levelnya, LR dikit lagi, DMI masih sw. dikit lagi lah, belum sekarang…

Sabar dulu…

Stoch Buy signal: MIKA SMGR PRDA SMRA

MACD buy signal: AMRT MEDC MIKA DOID

MIKA – stoch buy, macd buy, bd flat ff flat MFI down, masih wave 3 tapi sw, LR masih area sell, DMI down menuju sell, masih akan sideways dulu kayanya

SMRA – stoch buy tapi lagi sw bolak balik, MACD down mulai flattening, MFI sw, ff dist lama last 2 day akum, bandar masih dist, masih abc, b nya rada dalem, tapi udah keliatan jenuh turun, pas ini sama index nanti mantul kayanya, bukan sekarang

AMRT – saham hajatan ini, heu… Stoch buy, macdbuy, ff dist bd akum tipis, MFI down, wave 5 mungkin dipanjangin, tapi harus cancel dulu bear div nya. DMI masih up, LR lagi mentok upper channel. Mencurigakan ini, kaya yang big player nunggu bid tebel terus mau exit…