Daily Analysis 20221014

Globa update:

October 14th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 800 points higher after a historic one-day turnaround

Stocks staged a massive comeback Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average surging 1,500 points from its lows to the highest level, as traders shook off another hot inflation report.

Dow…….30039 +827.9 +2.83%
Nasdaq.10649 +232.1 +2.23%
S&P 500..3670 +92.9 +2.60%

FTSE…….6850 +24.1 +0.35%
Dax……..12356 +183.2 +0.39%
CAC……..5879 +60.7 +1.04%

Nikkei….26237 -159.4 -0.60%
HSI……..16389 -311.9 -1.87%
Shanghai..3016 -9.2 -0.30%
ST Times..3040, -42.7 -1.39%

IDX…….6880.63 -25.58 -0.41%
LQ45…..978.48 -6.08 -0.62%

IDX Energy…2006.41 +4.66 +0.23%
IDX Bsc Mat.1224.19 -7.22 -0.59%
IDX Industrl..1251.88 -4.64 -0.37%
IDXNONCYC..700.53 +3.66 +0.53%
IDX Hlthcare.1452.89 -3.85 -0.26%
IDXCYCLIC…..844.73 -0.20 -0.02%
IDX Techno..6612.55 -57.84 -0.87%
IDX Transp…1791.81 +2.54 +0.14%
IDX Infrast…….938.99 -8.98 -0.95%
IDX Finance 1444.72 -9.71 -0.67%
IDX Banking.1122.52 -6.15 -0.54%
IDX Property…….679 – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3876 -0.0062 -0.08%
ICBI……..333.7129 +0.0825 +0.02%
US10Yr……3.9520 +0.0500 +1.28%
*VIX……….33.57 -0.06 -0.18%*

*USDIndx 112.3630 -0.9570 -0.84%‼️*
Como Indx..282.49 +3.24 +1.16%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.22 +1.28 +0.87%
.
*IndoCDS 168.77 +5.85 +3.57%‼️*
(5-yr INOCD5) *(12/10)*

*IDR……15361.50 +5.00 +0.038%‼️*
*Jisdor..15357.00 -16.00 -0.10%‼️*

*Euro……..0.9772 +0.0064 +0.66%‼️*

TLKM……..27.76 +0.11 +0.40%
*(4263)*
EIDO………23.08 -0.08 -0.35%
EEM………34..73 +0.10 +0.29%

*Oil…………89.11 +2.10 +2.41%*
Gold ……1671.90 -8.40 -0.50%
*Timah…19820 -440 -2.17%*
*(Closed 12/10)*
*Nickel…22358.00 +309.50 +1.40%*
*(Closed 13/10)*
Silver…….18.84 -0.18 -0.95%
Copper….346.15 +3.35 +0.97%

*Nturl Gas…..6.691 +0.253 +3.93%*

*Ammonia..4256.67 unch +0%*
*China*
(Domestic Price)(12/10)

*Coal price….393.50 -9.50 -2.35%*
(Okt/Newcastle)
*Coal price….395.00 -13.00 -3.18%*
(Nov/Newcastle)
*Coal price….394.00 -9.60 -2.38%*
(Des/Newcastle)
*Coal price….272.50 -7.60 -2.71%*
(Okt/Rotterdam)
*Coal price….257.00 -25.50 -9.03%‼️*
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
*Coal price….257.00 -22.20 -7.92%‼️*
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..94.90 +0.90 +0.96%
Indonesial Coal Index (12/10)

CPO(Des)……3663 -70 -1.88%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn………….697.75 +4.75 +0.69%
SoybeanOil….66.43 +0.84 +1.28%
Wheat……..892.25 +10.00 +1.13%

*Wood pulp…6846.00 +26 +0.38%*
(Closed 13/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: *_AT_*
_Desy Erawati/ *DE*_

*Source*: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
_Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas_

US rebound kenceng, europe juga ijo, asia closing kemaren masih merah, sepertinya pagi ini opening langsung lari

Oil Gas mantul, metal2 ga kompak, gold timah silver merah, nickel copper ijo, coal droplagi kebawah 400 USD/mt, keliatannya udah mulai sell-off, asiknya sih biar turun dulu bulan ini, baru rally akhir tahun, hehehe

IHSG – all indicator masih bilang kebawah, kecuali itungan fibonacci yang bilang bahwa mungkin sudah cukup bikin wave 2 nya, walau ada kemungkinan mau tetep tutup gap dulu di 6740. Kalaupun hari ini ijo tebel, jangan terburu2 belanja apalagi di sektor yang belum firm jalan, kita baca gerakan Big Caps Bank

Energy – hampir semua indicator bilang harus koreksi dulu, PSAR aja yang masih belum break support. Yang kemaren buy signal PTBA sama PGAS masih lanjut ijo, yang kemaren buy hati2 consider exit atau pasang trailing stop

Belum ada signal buy baru, malah ada beberapa signal sell, harus hati hati…

Liat ini kaya yang masih pada bagus, tapi diliat detail satu2 chartnya ga ok buat entry sekarang

Consumer Cyclicals – belum ok buat entry, baru bullish divergence belum confirmed, 1 candle lagi, WNS.

Belum, nunggu ERAA cross up lagi MACD nya…

Basic Materials – belum euy, udah bikin double bottom tapi ff bd masih dist, stoch dan macd juga masih jelek

Baru ada signal Buy di AGII, yang lain malah bikin pengen sell

Industrials – belum juga, tunggu MACD cross dulu