Daily Analysis 20221011

October 11th, 2022

Good morning,

Nasdaq closes at 2-year low on Monday, hurt by slumping chip stocks

Stocks closed lower on Monday with the Nasdaq Composite index falling to the lowest level in two years as tech shares continue to be the hardest hit in this bear market because of spiking interest rates.

Dow…….29203 -93.9 -0.32%
Nasdaq.10542 -110.3 -1.04%
S&P 500..3612 -27.3 -0.75%

FTSE…….6959 -31.8 -0.45%
Dax……..12273 -0.06 -0.07%
CAC……..5841 -26.4 -0.45%

Nikkei….27116 closed +0%
HSI……..17217 -523.4 -2.95%
Shanghai..2974 -50.2 -1.66%
ST Times..3107 -38.3 -1.22%

IDX…….6994.40 -32.39 -0.46%
LQ45…..996.69 -2.29 -0.27%

IDX Energy…1997.53 -38.94 -1.91%
IDX Bsc Mat.1239.87 -14.79 -1.18%
IDX Industrl..1267.56 -15.75 -1.23%
IDXNONCYC..700.52 +2.50 +0.36%
IDX Hlthcare.1472.20 +15.72 +1.08%
IDXCYCLIC…..855.27 -51.46 -1.17%
IDX Techno..7025.60 -51.07 -0.72%
IDX Transp…1838.12 -21.02 -1.13%
IDX Infrast…….969.31 -12.63 -1.29%
IDX Finance 1472.33 -12.98 -0.87%
IDX Banking.1138.17 -8.51 -0.74%
IDX Property….687 -1.30 -0.19%

Indo10Yr….7.3716 +0.0214 +0.29%
ICBI……..334.0762 -0.2842 -0.08%
US10Yr……3.8880 +0.0050 +0.13%
VIX……….32.45 +1.09 +3.48%‼️

USDIndx 113.1540 +0.3590 +0.32%‼️
Como Indx..283.06 -2.56 -0.90%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..146.96 -0.44 -0.30%
.
IndoCDS 163.03 +5.04 +3.19%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5) (10/10)

IDR……15318.00 +57.00 +0.44%‼️
Jisdor..15299.00 +53.00 +0.34%‼️

Euro……..0.9704 -0.0040 -0.41%‼️

TLKM……..28.73 +0.44 +1.56%
(4395)
EIDO………23.16 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM………35..15 -0.50 -1.40%

Oil…………90.83 -1.81 -1.95%
Gold ……1675.10 -31.20 -1.82%‼️
Timah….19425 – –
(Closed 07/10)
Nickel…22439.50 +5.50 +0.02%
(Closed 10/10)
Silver…….19.61 -0.56 -2.78%
Copper….343.55 -5.55 -1.64%

Nturl Gas…..6.528 -0.311 -4.55%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(07/10)

Coal price….386.50 +0.70 +0.18%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….380.00 -0.15 -0.04%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….377.65 -2.20 -0.58%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….262.00 +0.40 +0.15%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.00 -2.95 -1.17%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….249.95 -1.60 -0.64%
(Des/Rotterdam)

Coal(ICI 4)…..96.85 +3.00 +3.20%‼️
Indonesial Coal Index (7/10)

CPO(Des)……3841 closed +0%

(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………698.25 +15.00 +2.20%
SoybeanOil….66.06 -0.54 -0.81%
Wheat……..938.00 +57.75 +6.56%‼️

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 10/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US masih merah, walau ga sedalem kemaren. Europemerah tipis, asia merah semua, semoga ga terlalu lama dan berhenti koreksi di area yang diperkirakan, jadi kita bisa belanja dengan tepat jadwalnya

Oil sama Gas yang kemaren naik tebel merah juga tadi malem, practically semua komoditi merah, kecuali coal yang rebound tipis. Masih suram… Grafik IDX energy emang harusnya koreksi wave C sih. Walau signal Stochastic MACD dll nya bagus

ICI emang naik, tapi da selama ini yang jadi acuan selalu Newcastle price… Padahal perusahaan sini kalo export acuannya ICI

IHSG – abis stoch buy signal terus malah melorot, jebakan teknikal lagi deh… MACD masih down, MFI SW, bd flat, NFS, firm lanjut wave 2, DMI juga says so… Siap2 belanja pas udah deket level gap closing 6740

Cek infobank, 4 bank penggerak bursa…

Infobank – Sama, Stoch ngebalik hampir sell, 833 udha sell, macd down, MFI flat, BD FF dist, masih wave 3 tapi belum breakout lagi, cross down midlineLR, DMI turun lagi, belum ada tanda2 mau dukung index naik. Firm wave 2 IHSG lanjut

RSI quadrant nya, Energy masih keliatan ok, tapi chart detailnya agak mencurigakan

Energy – Setelah wave 5 belum ada ABC correction, padahal stoch macd mfi nya ok, DMI nya yang ga ok. WNS deh, jangan terlalu aggressive. Kalo berhasil breakout bikin higher high baru BOB

PGAS perfect, ELSA EMA buy signal

PGAS – perfect, tapi sektornya mencurigakan dan harga gas tadi malem koreksi lagi, ga berani menyarankan buy… Padahal BD dan FF akum sih. Ah play safe aja, yang mau buy boleh, jangan lupa pasang Stop Loss, yang mau stay out dulu gpp, masih banyak kesempatan belanja once index beres koreksi wave 2.Yang pasti jangan FOMO kalo telat masuk dan ternyata harganya beneran udah lari

ELSA – banyak indic bilang up, stoch up macd almost buy, lagi wave c, DMI buy, tapi belum berhasil breakout neckline CNH, bd ff masih dist, masih mengkhawatirkan