Daily Analysis 20221007

Global Update:

October 07th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks close lower as investors await September jobs report, Dow drops nearly 350 points

U.S. stocks fell Thursday, as traders weighed sharp swings in stocks and rates to start the month.

Dow…….29927 -346.9 -1.15%
Nasdaq.11073 -75.3 -0.68%
S&P 500..3745 -38.8 -1.02%

FTSE…….6997 -55.4 -0.78%
Dax……..12471 -46.4 -0.82%
CAC……..5936 -49.04 -0.82%

Nikkei….27311 +190.8 +0.70%
HSI……..18012 -75.8 -0.42%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3151 -1.7 -0.05%

IDX…….7076.62 +1.24 +0.02%
LQ45…1010.68 -0.95 -0.09%

IDX Energy…2006.87 -2.59 -0.13%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.96 -5.19 -0.41%
IDX Industrl..1289.50 -6.57 -0.51%
IDXNONCYC..701.32 +1.72 +0.25%
IDX Hlthcare.1462.84 -3.97 -0.27%
IDXCYCLIC…..867.43 +4.44 +0.51%
IDX Techno..7128.14 +68.89 +0.98%
IDX Transp…1859.14 +8.86 +0.48%
IDX Infrast…….981.94 +1.59 +0.16%
IDX Finance 1496.24 +7.87 +0.53%
IDX Banking.1158.94 +2.87 +0.25%
IDX Property….693 +0.20 +0.03%

Indo10Yr….7.3351 +0.001 +0.01%
ICBI……..334.5917 -0.1611 -0.05%
US10Yr……3.8260 +0.0670 +1.78%
VIX……….30.52 +1.97 +6.90%‼️

USDIndx 112.2580 +1.0500 +0.94%‼️
Como Indx..282.26 +0.37 +0.13%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..150.79 +0.09 +0.06%
.
IndoCDS 150.64 +1.33 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15187.50 -5.50 -0.03%
Jisdor..15197.00 +1.00 +0.01%

Euro……..0.9797 -0.0087 -0.88%‼️

TLKM……..28.75 -0.32 -1.10%
(4369
EIDO………23.57 -0.10 -0.42%
EEM………36.41 -0.22 -0.60%

Oil…………89.03 +1.27 +1.45%
Gold ……1719.90 -0.90 -0.05%
Timah….20290 +83.00 +0.41%
(Closed 05/10)
Nickel…22675.50 +45.00 +0.20%
(Closed 06/10)
Silver…….20.65 +0.11 +0.54%
Copper….343.65 -6.40 -1.88%

Nturl Gas…..6.838 -0.087 -1.26%

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….400.00 +3.75 +0.95%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….405.95 +0.20 +0.05%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….404.95 +0.45 +0.11%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….267.85 -26.50 -9.00%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….262.05 -28.70 -9.87%‼️
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….261.00 -27.25 -9.45%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3701 +61 +1.68%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………675.50 -8.50 -1.24%
SoybeanOil….66.02 +0.48 +0.73%
Wheat……..879.00 -23.00 -2.55%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Kemaren semua lanjut merah kecuali IHSG sama Nikkei. Masih jadwal wave 2 ini sepertinya, big banks masih belum diangkat juga.

Oil lanjut naik, gold tilver timah nikel naik, copper gas turun, coal naik dikit pas ke 400 usd/mt, CPO juga lanjut ijo, menarik dicermati AALI LSIP ANTM INCO TINS

Yang garis kuning Infobank15, hampir setiap kali sejalan sama index…

IHGS – stoch buy, macd belum, MFI up, bandar flat, last day FNS, PSAR masih down, LR bisa kemana aja, 2 kali candle inverted hammer, candle reversal, IMHO ini masih belum firm mau jalan wave 3. Kita compare sama Infobank15

Infobank – stoch buy, macd down, mfi down, FNS, bandar flat, masih false breakout wave 3 dan IHNS, masih di area neckline, DMI ga jadi buy,masih belum firm jalan, selama bigbanks masih sideways, index juga sideways, WNS

Belum ada yang firm, masih bolak balik antara energy, consumer non-cyclicals, consumer cyclicals, WNS kecuali yang emang buy signal emitennya kita cermati dan kalopun bagus jangan masuk full dulu

Banyak buy signal, kita fokus yang di oversold area, ANTM WSKT

ANTM – Stoch buy, macd rev up, MFI down, bandar flat FNS 2 hari, retracement pattern sesuai, dari 38 koreksi ke 23, siap2 mantul, DMI belum buy signal, ada gap di bawah di 1800 an, ada gap 2 di atas di 2030 dan 2740. Spec buy half

WSKT – stoch buy, macd rev up, mfi down, bandar masih dist, FF dist tipis, sudah bikin higher low walau deket banget sama lowest nya setelah terjun, LR bilang up, DMI mulai contraction, mendekati akhir tahun biasanya window dressing, tapi kita tunggu firm index wave 3 deh, soalnya BUMN karya fundamentally belum recover

Yang deket2 consumer dan energy… INDF, SCMA… KBLI masuk kriteria saham invest coba kita liat juga

INDF – menarik banget, memang stoch dan macd nya bolak balik terus jadi balum bisa dianggap valid kecuali ada vol breakout yang signifikan, tapi udah ada reg bull div yang cocok banget sama closing gap retracement pattern nya. Tapi belum sekarang entry nya kecuali mau bottom fishing. WNS tunggu breakout

SCMA – stoch buy macd buy, breakout resistance with volume, 3 white soldiers, reg bull div MACD histogram, DMI buy, cross up midline LR, perfect sih, bahwa pull back biasa… Semoga lanjut kenceng test fibo 23. Yang punya Hold, yang belum punya bisa BOW

KBLI – banyak indic bilang bagus, tapi memang signal bolakbalik terus karena sideways, FF cuek bandar cuek, belum lah, tunggu ada breakout aja. WNS