Daily Analysis 20221005

October 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow rallies more than 1,500 points in two days, S&P 500 posts best 2-day gain since 2020

Stocks surged Tuesday as Wall Street built on a sharp rally seen in the previous session and bond yields continued to fall.

Dow…….30316 +825.4 +2.80%
Nasdaq.11176 +360.97 +3.34%
S&P 500..3791 +112.5 +3.06%

FTSE…….7086 +177.7 +2.57%
Dax……..12671 +461.0 +3.78%
CAC……..6040 +245.5 +4.24%

Nikkei….26992 +776.4 +2.96%
HSI……..17080 closed +0%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3139 +31.8 +1.02%

IDX…….7072.26 +62.54 +0.89%
LQ45…1014.65 +8.27 +0.82%

IDX Energy…1994.63 +61.54 +3.18%
IDX Bsc Mat.1253.73 +24.55 +2.00%
IDX Industrl..1298.34 +14.77 +1.15%
IDXNONCYC..700.03 +0.41 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1456.78 -2.45 -0.17%
IDXCYCLIC…..850.49 +2.06 +0.17%
IDX Techno..6932.20 -17.38 -0.25%
IDX Transp…1799.98 +38.26 +2.17%
IDX Infrast…….982.22 +5.40 +0.55%
IDX Finance 1487.34 +12.02 +0.81%
IDX Banking.1159.78 +8.28 +0.63%
IDX Property….691 +2.60 +0.55%

Indo10Yr….7.3781 -0.0232 -0.31%
ICBI……..333.8328 +0.5965 +0.18%
US10Yr……3.6170 -0.0340 -0.93%
VIX……….29.07 -1.03 -3.42%

USDIndx 110.1990 -1.3440 -1.20%👍
Como Indx..280.43 +7.61 +2.79%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..149.65 +5.24 +3.63%‼️
.
IndoCDS 142.38 -18.57 -11.54%👍
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15247.50 -55.50 -0.36%‼️
Jisdor..15276.00 -17.00 -0.11%‼️

Euro……..0.9984 +0.0158 +1.61%‼️

TLKM……..29.36 +0.16 +0.55%
(4485)
EIDO……..24.05 +0.49 +2.08%
EEM………36.61 +1.16 +3.27%

Oil…………86.52 +3.20 +3.84%‼️
Gold ……1730.40 +22.70 +1.33%‼️
Timah….20059 -575.00 -2.79%
(Closed 03/10)
Nickel…21971.00 +672.00 +3.16%‼️
(Closed 04/10)
Silver…….21.10 +0.33 +1.59%
Copper….349.00 +7.25 +2.12%

Nturl Gas…..6.825 +0.311 +4.74%‼️

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….404.00 +2.50 +0.62%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….410.00 -2.50 -0.61%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….408.00 -1.50 -0.37%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….301.00 -14.85 -4.70%‼️
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….299.55 -14.30 -4.56%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….297.95 -12.90 -4.15%‼️
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3615 +187 +5.46%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………683.00 +2.25 +0.33%
SoybeanOil….66.00 +1.68 +2.65%
Wheat……..903.00 -9.00 -0.99%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 04/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

Semua index regional naik kemarin, US closing ijo tebel, europe juga, malah perancis index naik sampe diatas 4%

Hampir semua commodity naik kecuali timah, CPO naik tinggi, kita cermati apakah ini awal bangunnya saham CPO yang lama banget bearish

IHSG – stoch buy signal, macd down, histogram mulai ngebalik, MFI sw, 2 hari FNB, bandar flat, testing breakout cloud ichimoku, sedang menunggu konfirmasi apakah wave 2 sudah finished, karena levelnya sudah tercapai tapi masih ada gap belum tertutup di 6740. LR mantul sebelum kena lower channel, DMI mulai contraction. Spec buy dan bottom fishing udah ok dimulai, full muatan jangan dulu

Leading sector Consumer Non-Cyclicals, tapi yang menarik diikuti dan bisa long run keliatannya Energy dan Basic Materials yang baru mulai gerak

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Stoch down, macd down, mfi sw fns, bandar flat, 3 hari terakhir volume sangat kecil, pemain besar masih wait and see keliatannya. Ada MACD histogram bullish divergence, confirmed by 2 bull candle, MA 10 belum. Triangle breakout ke bawah tapi lagi testing balik ke atas. Masih wait and see disini

Buy signal di HMSP AALI DSNG TAPG

HMSP – Stoch up, macd up mfi sw, 3 hari FNB, bandar tipis2, sempet breakout with volume, EMA GC, banyak bullish divergence confirmed buy MA 10, macd gc dan 2 bull candle, BOW, stoploss kalo breakdown MA20 conservativenya, agressive nya SL di 875 (previous low)

AALI – CPO price naik, Stoch buy, MACD down rev, MFI down, masih distribusi, bull div MACD confirmed 2 bull candle, DMI+ contraction, Spec buy ok sedikit di tengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

DSNG – stoch buy, macd buy, 2 hari fnb, bandar akum, hid bul, retracement pattern otw testing fibo 23 lagi, DMI hampir buy. Buy half, tunggu breakout vol half, SL 478

TAPG – stoch buy macd down rev, MFI up, FNB terus, bandar 2 hari dist, regbull CCI belum confimed, bisa specbuy half SL breaklow 635

Energy – stoch buy, macd erv up, FNB 5 hari, bandar flat, MFI down – belum masuk lagi big player, retracement pattern wave b – ok riding tapi beware ga terlalu panjang, LR belum tembus midline, DMI buy

Buy signal ADRO INDY ITMG PGAS PTBA ELSA

ADRO – stoch buy, macd rev up, ff&bandar big accum, MFI flat, wave 4 pendek banget, sah sah aja sih, firm kalo breakout bikin higher high dibanding ujung wave 3, PSAR up, BUY

PGAS – stoch buy, macd rev up, bandar flat, fnb 2hari, MFI down, masih wave 3, DMI sedikit lagi buy. Spec buy ok, SL 1680, full tunggu vol breakout

ELSA – stoch buy, macd rev up, bandar akum, fns tipis, mfi down, ret pattern cocok, mantul di fibo 23, otw fibo 61, DMI almost buy. BOW half, wait MACD and vol breakout half

Basic Materials – belum ada buy signal, bikin lower low, jadi digambar ulang wave 2 nya, sudah cukup dalem untuk mantul wave 3, bandar flat, fns, mfi flat, DMI start contraction, LR masih mungkin down, belum firm ini sektornya…

INCO ema gc, fnb, big akum

INCO – stoch MACD revup, 2 hari bandar akum, ff in and out, MFI sw, freqspike tgl 21, di area fibo 38, setelah mantl dari 23 mentok 50, harusnya lanjut 61. LR bisa kemana aja, DMI buy. spec buy 1/3, 1/3 BOW fibo 38 amannya, 6300

INDY – stoch buy, macd buy, bandar big accoum, FNB big accum, wave 5, BOW