Daily Analysis 20221004

Global update:

 

October 04th, 2022

Good morning,

Stocks surge to kick off October and a new quarter as bond yields tumble, Dow closes up 760 points

Stocks rallied Monday to start the new month and quarter, as Treasury yields eased from levels not seen in roughly a decade.

Dow…….29491 +765.4 +2.66%
Nasdaq.10815 +239.8 +2.27%
S&P 500..3678 +92.8 +2.59%

FTSE…….6909 +14.95 +0.22%
Dax……..12209 +95.1 +0.79%
CAC……..5794 +31.8 +0.55%

Nikkei….26216 +278.6 +1.07%
HSI……..17080 -143.3 -0.83%
Shanghai..3024 closed +0%
ST Times..3107 -23.2 -0.74%

IDX…….7009.72 -31.08 -0.44%
LQ45…1006.37 -5.10 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1933.09 +12.79 +0.67%
IDX Bsc Mat.1229.18 -8.79 -0.71%
IDX Industrl..1283.57 +12.85 +1.01%
IDXNONCYC..699.61 +3.15 +0.45%
IDX Hlthcare.1459.23 -38.64 -2.58%
IDXCYCLIC…..848.43 -1.34 -0.16%
IDX Techno..6949.59 -10.25 -0.15%
IDX Transp…1761.72 +2.10 +0.12%
IDX Infrast…….976.83 -4.08 -0.42%
IDX Finance 1475.32 -10.8 -0.73%
٪IDX Banking..1151.50 -7.26 -0.63%
IDX Property….688 +1.60 +0.24%

Indo10Yr….7.4013 -0.0125 -0.17%
ICBI……..333.2363 +0.2645 +0.08%
US10Yr……3.6510 -0.1530 -4.02%
VIX……….30.10 -1.52 -4.81%

USDIndx 111.5430 -0.4640 -0.41%👍
Como Indx..272.82 +4.53 +1.69%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..144.41 +0.97 +0.67%
.
IndoCDS 160.95 +1.42 +0.89%
(5-yr INOCD5) (28/9)

IDR……15302.50 +75.50 +0.50%‼
Jisdor..15293.00 +61.00 +0.40%‼

Euro……..0.9826 +0.0024 +0.24%‼

TLKM……..29.20 +0.35 +1.21%
(4465)
EIDO……..23.56 +0.24 +1.03%
EEM………35.45 +0.57 +1.63%

Oil…………83.32 +3.83 +4.82%‼
Gold ……1707.80 +37.00 +2.21%‼
Timah….20634 – -%
(Closed 30/9)
Nickel…21299.00 -28.00 -0.13%
(Closed 03/10)
Silver…….20.77 +1.73 +9.09%‼
Copper….341.75 +0.50 +0.15%

Nturl Gas…..6.514 -0.312 -4.57%‼

Ammonia..4373.33 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(29/9)

Coal price….401.50 -6.20 -1.52%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.50 -5.20 -1.24%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….409.50 -3.20 -0.78%
(Des/Newcastle)
Coal price….315.85 +0.35 +0.11%
(Okt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….313.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Nov/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….310.85 +0.40 +0.13%
(Des/Rotterdam)

CPO(Des)……3428 +10 +0.29%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn…………680.75 +3.25 +0.48%
SoybeanOil….63.34 +1.78 +2.89%
Wheat……..912.00 -9.50 -1.03%

Wood pulp…6720.00 unch +0%
(Closed 03/10)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US rebound kenceng, oil gold silver naik tinggi, timah nickel coal minus, copper cpo naik

Kemungkinan opening IHSG ijo dulu, tapi signal masih pada jelek, closing hari kemungkinan hijau dulu, walau wave 2 belum selesai…

IHSG – stoch sw, macd down, MFI down, foreign entry tipis, bandar flat, inside cloud, vol profile ada tebel di 6800 an, gap di 6740, below MA 50, LR PSAR down, masih belum jadwal mantul keliatannya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Technology, Healthcare melemah tapi kita liat dulu detailnya

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – Stoch sell, MACD down sw, MFI sw, FNS, bandar flat, last candle hijau, divergence belum confirmed, breakdown triangle tapi langsung mantul kaya false break…Emang sering consumer jadi ganjel index, tapi ini belum buy signal sektornya ya

DSNG, CPO ini… Apakah sudah waktunya CPO rebound? BIg akum malah di UNVR

DSNG – stoch almost buy, macd buy sw, mfi down, FNB dua hari bandar akum 2 hari, closing diatas MA 20,LR cross midline, DMI+ contraction heading towards GC, WNS

LSIP – belum, stoch down, macd down, mfi down, bandar dan ff buang, minor ew reverse almost done bullish divergence belum confirmed. WNS

Technology – belum… stoch down sw,macddown, mfi sw bandarflat, FF lastday akum, 2 minggu buang, target EW reverse belum sampe, DMI belum contraction sama sekali, LR mungkin minor rebound, PSAR down. Stay away…

MTDL

MTDL – Stoch buy sw, macd down, MFI sw, fnb terus, bandar mulai akum tipis, retracement pattern failed, breakdown 23, tunggu new divergence, LR belum firm mantul, DMI mulai contraction. Belum ok…

Healthcare – stoch sell lanjut down, macd up rev, MFI flat, ff dist tipis, bandar flat, retracement pattern done ke fibo 61 langsung dibanting, apakah lanjut mau bentuk wave 2? maybe, LR says down, DMI belum selesai, tapi ada bearish divergence. Last candle drop tanpa volume sih, harusnya ga confirm reversal…

Belum ada signal sell yang gede, ada minor di MIKA HEAL, MIKA masih FNB

HEAL – yang bahaya: closing candle kemaren dibawah neckline, kalo hari ini mantul aman, kalo breakdown terus mending buang dulu. Harusnya masih wave 3, stoch almost buy, macd up rev, MFI sw, ga ada volume buangan gede, semoga mantul nyelesaikan pattern CNH nya

BBCA TINS MTDL TKIM MBSS

DSNG

BBCA – Stoch buy, macd almost buy, mfi down, zia up alligator up, bandar dan foreign tipis tipis, belum mau borong, mencurigakan, kalo dibilang wave 2 to soon mantulnya, curiga jebakan betmen ini…

TINS – Stoch buy, macd almost buy, mfi sw, fns, bandar mulai akum, hid bul div, above ma 10, DMI+ contraction up, belum buy signal. WNS kecuali mau bottom fishing

TKIM – stoch buy, macd dikitlagi, MFIup, bandar akum ff akum, diatas cloud ichimoku, lagging line diatas candle, masih jauh dibawah fibo 23, DMI buy PSAR up, BUY TKIM setengah botol. Tunggu MACD dan volume breakout untuk full muatan

MBSS – belum, cuma stoch aja buy, masih SW