Daily Analysis 20220830

Global Update:

August 30th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 100 points lower as sell-off continues, surging Treasury yields reflect mounting rate fears

Stocks fell on Monday as traders fought to regain their footing from the prior week’s sell-off amid increasing concerns over rising rates and tighter U.S. monetary policy.

Dow…….32099 -184.4 -0.57%
Nasdaq.12018 -124.04 -1.04%
S&P 500..4031 -27.1 -0.67%

FTSE…….7427 closed +0%
Dax……..12893 -78.5 -0.61%
CAC……..6222 -51.98 -0.83%

Nikkei….27879 -762.4 -2.66%
HSI……..20023 -146.8 -0.73%
Shanghai..3241 +4.5 +0.14%
ST Times..3222 -27.3 -0.84%

IDX…….7132.04 -3.20 -0.04%
LQ45…1016.30 +2.03 +0.20%

IDX Energy…1917.72 +13.28 +0.70%
IDX Bsc Mat.1290.15 -3.09 -0.24%
IDX Industrl..1304.21 -2.84 -0.22%
IDXNONCYC..711.65 +2.87 +0.40%
IDX Hlthcare.1408.34 +3.10 +0.23%
IDXCYCLIC…..885.50 -7.89 -0.88%
IDX Techno..7798.66 -178.18 -2.23%
IDX Transp…1951.95 -26.57 -1.34%
IDX Infrast…..1026.33 -9.26 -0.89%
IDX Finance 1485.90 -13.75 -0.92%
IDX Banking..1127.77 -6.41 -0.57%
IDX Property…707 -5.20 -0.73%

Indo10Yr….7.1686 +0.0312 +0.44%
ICBI……..335.8683 -0.6550 -0.19%
US10Yr…..3.1100 +0.0750 +2.47%
VIX……….26.21 +0.65 +2.54%

USDIndx 108.8350 +0.0320 +0.03%
Como Indx..301.75 +2.66 +0.89%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..158.28 -1.20 -0.75%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14897.50 +81.00 +0.55%
Jisdor..14887.00 +73.00 +0.49%

Euro………1.0000 +0.0034 +0.34%

TLKM……..30.26 +0.33 +1.10%
(4505)
EIDO………23.61 +0.06 +0.21%
EEM………39.76 -0.25 -0.62%

Oil…………..96.86 +3.80 +4.08%‼
Gold ……..1749.90 +0.10 +0.01%
Timah. .24750.00 closed +0%
( Closed 29/8)
Nickel….21695.50 closed +0%
(Closed 29/8)
Silver…….18.67 -0.16 -0.85%
Copper….360.15 -9.55 -2.58%

Nturl Gas…..9.264 -0.056 -0.60%

Ammonia….3733.33 – +%
China
(Domestic Price)(25/8)

Coal price….422.75 -4.25 -1.00%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….415.60 -4.25 -1.01%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….406.75 -4.25 -1.03%
(Nov/Newcastle)
Coal price….375.05 -8.05 -2.10%
(Sept/Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.65 -8.00 -2.14%
(Okt/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….357.85 -8.00 -2.19%
(Nov/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4176 -5 -0.12%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..683.00 +18.75 +2.82%
SoybeanOil…66.44 -0.44 -0.66%
Wheat……..842.75 +37.50 +4.66%‼

Wood pulp…6714.00 unch +0%
(Closed 29/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah, europe merah, asia merah, IHSG merah tipis banget, masih bikin jebakan betmen buat fomo-ers kayanya,biar disangka index kita kuat jalan sendiri

Gold Tin Nickel cpo ijo, Silver copper gas merah, oil gas lanjut, coal merah tipis

IHSG – Stoch down, 833 sell, MACD sell, MFI down, FNB, bandar akum, candle nya opening gap down, bikin tail panjang terus manjat closing hampir di open. Seandainya tail itu gap closing, bisa jadi lanjut naik bikin new record high, tapi itu masih ada 2 gap menganga dan kondisi global masih nyungsep, jadi masih lebih besar kemungkinan nerusin ke bawah lagi besok

Cacing nya koq belum rubah ya, consumer cyclicals terus keliatan jalan, padahal diliat detail ga asik…

Kalo energy healthcare consumer non-cyclicals sih emang ok

Energy – all good except for the bearish divergence, masih belum cancelled. Padahal wave 5 kalo divergence nya confirmed biasanya lanjut bantingan koreksi ABC

Energy – belum ada signal baru, banyak yang FNB dan big akum. Hold lah ya sampe ada signal reversal

ADRO – masih cari momentum nambah muatan, belum ngepas… masih keliatan mau lanjut sih

PGAS – langsung ngejar target wave 3 ga ya? Atau cape dulu? Kita release setengah di stoch deh kalo ada sign reversal

Healthcare – sabar banget ini sektor, nunggu yang lain cape apa ya terus dia baru diangkat? Emang duit bandar juga terbatas sih, ga bisa market making di semua sektor sekaligus

MIKA malah sell signal… Bolak balik terus

MIKA – memang belum ada vol breakout, belum ada massive accumulation, tapi udah ga mau dibawa kebawah lagi dia. Di freq analizer sudah mulai rame spike, dan spike paling bagus itu pas sideways, ciri big player mau gerak

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – abis 3 black crows keluar bullish engulfing, semoga jadi cancel reversalnya… Bandar masih akum,foreign masih akum, tapi stoch macd mfi nya jadi tidak menggembirakan…

Buy signal di ICBP

ICBP – All good sih…

INDF – holding company nya ICBP, masih ok juga walau stoch nya sempet godeg dulu…

CPIN – foreign mulai exit, ada freq spikeyang lain masih ok…

Spike nya tidak terlalu menggembirakan ternyata…

Consumer Cyclicals – Mungkin aja dia mantul lagi di fibo 23 lanjut ke 61, tapi liat indicator yang lain, kayanya lanjut ke bawah jadi failed divergence ini…

Mungkin ini yang kebaca di cacing RSI nya, ERAA GJTL sama LPPF buy signal

ERAA – udah niat mau buy ERAA pas stoch 833 buy signal, tapi index kaya gini jadi hold dulu deh… resiko

GJTL – gak ah, still going down ini kayanya…