Daily Analysis 20220826

Global Update:

August 26th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow closes 300 points higher, extends rally to second day ahead of Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped Thursday, extending a two-day rally ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech.

Dow…….33292 +322.6 +0.98%
Nasdaq.12639 +207.7 +1.67%
S&P 500..4199 +58.4 +1.41%

FTSE…….7480 +0.2 +0.11%
Dax……..13272 +51.9 +0.39%
CAC……..6382 -5.2 -0.08%

Nikkei….28479 +165.5 +0.58%
HSI……..19968 +699.6 +3.63%
Shanghai..3246 +31.04 +0.97%
ST Times..3247 +14.3 +0.44%

IDX…….7174.21 -20.50 -0.28%
LQ45…1021.48 -5.13 -0.50%

IDX Energy…1889.80 +29.97 +1.61%
IDX Bsc Mat.1299.32 +2.74 +0.21%
IDX Industrl..1316.72 +0.75 +0.06%
IDXNONCYC..710.41 -1.11 -0.16%
IDX Hlthcare.1403.28 -10.55 -0.75%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.35 -4.85 -0.54%
IDX Techno..8068.66 +10.02 +0.12%
IDX Transp…1998.30 -3.72 -0.19%
IDX Infrast…..1033.56 -5.35 -0.51%
IDX Finance 1504.28 +0.52 +0.03%
IDX Banking..1138.10 -0.14 -0.01%
IDX Property…709 -0.30 -0.04%

Indo10Yr….7.1292 -0.0299 -0.41%
ICBI……..336.5463 +0.2077 +0.06%
US10Yr…..3.0260 -0.0800 +1.70%
VIX……….21.78 -1.04 -4.56%

USDIndx 108.4010 -0.2760 -0.25%
Como Indx..296.65 -2.11 -0.71%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..158.41 +1.58 +1.01%
.
IndoCDS…110.95 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14824.50 -23.50 -0.16%
Jisdor..14827 .00 -24.00 -0.16%

Euro………0.9978 +0.0009 +0.09%

TLKM……..30.41 -1.22 -3.86%‼️
(4509)
EIDO………23.93 +0.01 +0.04%
EEM………40.61 +0.86 +2.16%

Oil…………..92.69 -2.56 -2.78%
Gold ……..1770.50 +6.10 +0.35%
Timah. .24505.00 -225.00 -0.92%
( Closed 24/8)
Nickel….21903.50 +496.00 +2.32%‼️
(Closed 25/8)
Silver…….19.16 +0.08 +0.42%
Copper….369.95 +5.45 +1.50%

Nturl Gas…..9.361 +0.125 +1.35%

Ammonia….3733.33 unch +0%
China
(Domestic Price)(24/8)

Coal price….417.50 +4.90 +1.19%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….412.75 -7.25 -1.73%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….413.00 +1.75 +0.43%
(Okt/Newcastle)
Coal price….370.00 -1.25 -0.34%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price….375.50 -1.40 -0.37%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)
Coal price….366.00 -2.40 -0.65%
(Okt/Rotterdam)

CPO(Nov)……4255 -49 -1.14%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)

Corn………..650.75 -6.50 -0.99%
SoybeanOil…65.86 -0.12 -0.18%
Wheat……..786.75 -26.50 -3.26%‼️

Wood pulp…6714.00 +4 +0.15%
(Closed 25/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US ijo europe mostly ijo, asia ijo, ihsg merah. Sideways dulu kayanya, belum cukup dalem koreksinya ini buat wave 2

Gold nikel silver copper gas coal naik, oil timah cpo turun. Lanjut lagi ini coal keliatannya, mau nambah muatan cari momentum yang tepat ini harus

IHSG – Foreign mulai exit, MACD hampir sell, stoch down,LR jenuh, PSAR down, waspada koreksi…

Energy Healthcare Consumer Non-Cyclicals, Property kurang meyakinkan tapi kita liat nanti

Energy – All good, MACD udah buy juga

MBSS PTRO

MBSS – 2 hari kalu ada vol breakout, kemaren stoch buy, macd up, PBV 0.76 PER 7.92, alligator buy supertrend up, tinggal tunggu foreign sama bandar entry dan ngangkat, retracement pattern dah breakout lagi fibo 23 otw to fibo 61. BOW MBSS

MBSS level harga masih ok buat entry, merem juga berani

PTRO – mencurigakan, 2 hari vol tinggi, tapi bandar dan foreign exit, candle nya doji pula, idealnya ambil setelah tutup gap sih, tapi ga tau bakal ditutup apa ga sebelum ikut rombongan energy ke atas

PTRO sedikit ketinggian dibanding average bandar

ADRO MEDC kita liat kapan bisa nambah muatan…

ADRO – dah tutup gap, ada gap dibawah, tapi signalnya kuat buat lanjut naik, kecuali ada bearish divergence,hari terakhir pada keluar pula bandar dan foreign. WNS dulu deh

MEDC – strong, ga berani ngejar bari FOMO tapi, kecuali index lagi wave 3

Healthcare – all good, nunggu apa lagi sih ndar, angkat dong…

Belum ada signal buy baru…

HEAL jalan, MIKA entah kenapa belum ikutan… Belum ngebalik sih, masih hold MIKA

Masih aman, nanti ada tanda2 harus sell kita assess lagi HEAL sama MIKA

Consumer Non-Cyclicals – ada 3 black crow kalo sama candle hari ini, seandainya closing turun. UNVR dibanting, rada mencurigakan… Amannya exit, kita liat detail dulu

Malah ada buy signal di LSIP, rokok2 sell seignal biarin aja, ga ngaruh

LSIP – sebenernya ini ditunggu tunggu, tapi sekarang pas ada buy di stoch sama macd sektornya malah ada tanda2 ga asik. WNS dulu deh, belum break any resistance juga sih

INDF – belum jalan, tapi signal masih belum bahaya juga, masih dibawa sideways aja kayanya, pantau ketat tapi. Apalagi UNVR lagi dibanting, khawatir sentimennya nular

CPIN – sepertinya beneran 6000 adalah koentji… Harus break 6000 baru lanjut ke fibo 61

Kurang jelas…

LSIP bagus, CPIN INDF masih ok… HOLD

Property – Seminggu ini bagus gerakannya, tapi emang index juga ijo, indicators masih ga asik. Skip dulu

Industrials yang diem2 gerak, baru kepantau ini sekarang ada buy signal, UNTR ASII BMTR ISSP gerak

Industrials – Stoch buy, macd masih down, indic lain juga belum, WNS dulu ya

BMTR – stoch buy, tapi belum dulu sih, tunggu ABC correction keliatannya