Daily Analysis 20220809

Global Update:

August 09th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip to start the week as Nvidia warning puts brakes on market rally

Stocks struggled to hold their ground on Monday, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as demand concerns for the semiconductor industry weighed on tech names.

Dow…….32833 +29.1 +0.09%
Nasdaq.12645 -13.1 -0.10%
S&P 500..4140 -5.1 -0.12%

FTSE…….7482 +42.6 +0.57%
Dax……..13688 +113.8 +0.84%
CAC……..6524 +52.1 +0.80%

Nikkei….28249 +73.4 +0.26%
HSI……..20046 -156.2 -0.77%
Shanghai..3237 +9.91 +0.31%
ST Times..3270 -11.9 -0.36%

IDX…….7086.85 +2.19 +0.03%
LQ45…1007.14 -0.66 -0.07%

IDX Energy…1769.03 +1.13 +0.06%
IDX Bsc Mat.1327.89 +12.85 +0.98%
IDX Industrl..1311.02 +5.69 +0.44%
IDXNONCYC..706.85 +3.04 +0.43%
IDX Hlthcare.1423.11 +0.28 +0.02%
IDXCYCLIC…..901.17 +2.62 +0.29%
IDX Techno..7955.16 -119.49 -1.48%
IDX Transp…2100.49 +36.44 +1.77%
IDX Infrast…..1037.54 -0.66 -0.06%
IDX Finance 1524.45 +0.21 +0.01%
IDX Banking..1153.32 +0.39 +0.03%
IDX Property…..698 +2.30 +0.33%

Indo10Yr….7.2679 +0.0084 +0.12%
ICBI……..333.7723 +0.1448 +0.14%👍
US10Yr…..2.7650 -0.0750 -2.64%
VIX…………21.29 +0.14 +0.66%

USDIndx 106.4350 -0.1860 -0.17%
Como Indx..281.80 +0.76 +0.27%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.05 -0.26 -0.16%

IndoCDS…117.26 – -%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14876.00 -18.00 -0.12%
Jisdor..14915 .00 +11.00 +0.07%

Euro………1.0194 +0.0011 +0.11%

TLKM……..31.34 +0.14 +0.45%
(4674)
EIDO………23.71 +0.25 +1.07%
EEM………40.11 +0.05 +0.12%

Oil…………90.59 +1.58 +1.78%
Gold ……1805.00 +13.80 +0.77%
Timah. .24455.00 – -%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…21642.00 -828.00 -3.68%‼
(Closed 08/8)
Silver…….20.67 +0.83 +4.18%
Copper….358.50 +3.30 +0.93%

Nturl Gas…..7.656 -0.345l -4.36%

Ammonia….3890.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….371.00 +10.00 +2.77%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….360.50 +13.75 +3.96%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….320.00 +6.35 +2.02%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…296.25 +8.40 +2.92%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4076 +188 +4.82%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………607.25 -2.75 -0.45%
SoybeanOil…64.32 +0.35 +0.55%
Wheat………779.75 +4.00 +0.52%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 08/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US tipis tipis, europe masih lanjut ijo, asia varied, hongkong sama singapore merah, IDX juga merah tapi tipis, kita liat hari ini apakah mau lanjut ke atas tutup gap atau udahan

Oil rebound tapi masih stay dibawah 100 USD/barrel, Coal juga, naik tapi masih dibawah 400 USD /MT. Keliatannya masih lanjut koreksi dulu. Gas malah lanjut merah, jadi mengkhawatirkan buat PGAS

Gold silver copper naik, good for MDKA, nikel drop, kayanya akan nyeret ANTM TINS INCO kebawah dulu, yang kemaren2 keliatan masih menolak turun

CPO akhirnya ada kenaikan tinggi, LSIP menarik buat re-entry kayanya

Masih Industrials Infrastructure, Transportation nyusul, property keliatannya next. Tapi, walau finance melemah BBCA diangkat terus lho, semoga lanjut sampai index tutup gap

IHSG – masih fine di semua indic, semoga hajatan tutup gap tercapai dulu sebelum wave 2, jadi trading plan nya bisa dieksekusi dengan baik

Industrials – Stoch bilang sell, bearish divergence di wave 5 bisa berarti bakal plunge dalem kalo ga cancelled dalam 1-2 hari ini. Parabolic SAR juga dah bilang sell, untuk saham di sektor industrials yang sudah gerak jauh langsung pasang trailing stop aja deh. kalo yang belum jalan kaya KBLI kita pantau, bisa jadi late runner

Tapi supertrend sama alligators masih firm up, kita wait and see untuk majornya ya. Biasanya sih abis wave 5 koreksinya dalem dulu

Masih terlihat ok dari RSI nya ASII KBLI

ASII walau sudah overbought stochastic nya tapi FNB dan bandar Akum kemaren. UNTR BMTR juga FNB

ASII – technical ok semua, seharusnya masih lanjut, TP target terdekat 6975

KBLI – Parabolic SAR, LR, Supertrend, Alligator, retracement pattern masih up, stoch sell dan MACD melemah tapi… Buat swinger cutloss di 1 tick dibawah 298 ya

Infrastructure – udah kena level target wave 3, hati2 mulai gejala koreksi, tapi so far indics masih ok semua

BUMN karya digoreng ini… ISAT EXCL TLKM kita assess dulu MTEL juga

WIKA – rebound with volume, target test fibo23 di 1230. BOW ya. LR jebol atas, paling nanti slope nya rubah jadi uptrend

ISAT – bearish divergence cancelled, lanjut tutup gap lah 7850

EXCL – SUpertrend udah buy, alligator buy, stoch buy, LR belum mentok, retracement pattern jalan, target TP 1 2940 di fibo 61, target TP 2 di gap closing 3170

TLKM – gap closed, fibo 61 udah kena, indicators masih OK tapi, yang pegang dan trading ajah pasang TS ya, yang swing pantau candle bearish with volume buat exit

MTEL – belum pernah sampe lagi di harga IPO nya 850. Indicators masih ok kecuali mentok LR, foreign mulai keluar, bukan saatnya entry disini, nanti tunggu kalo koreksi aja

Transportation – Semua indic ok kecuali ada gap di bawah, dan itungan elliot wave bahwa dia harus koreksi ABC

ASSA stoch buy

SMDR

ASSA – indic lumayan ok,stoch buy, macd up, supertrend buy, alligator dikit lagibuy, retracement pattern arah ngetest fibo 23. Parabolic SAR masih down, kita tunggu volume breakout aja deh ASSA

SMDR – outlook nya mau wave C dulu, nanti aja deh… Udah naik tinggi banget dari tahun kemaren, wajarnya kalo koreksi agak dalem juga, 31 agustus bagi deviden, abis itu kita liat lagi. Kaya MEDC

Stoch Signal… INKP TKIM menarik Stoch buy dan FNB

ACES mah sudah jelas BOW ya, rebound with volume. Per kemaren closing 2 candle ijo berarti firm bullish divergence nya… sebelum itu juga tapi dari volume udah ok

INKP – stoch buy, parabolic SAR buy, MACD masih Up, alligator buy supertrend dikit lagi, LR up, vol confirmed, BOW

TKIM – hampir sama, BOW juga

JSMR ga asik

JSMR – Semua signal ngebalik, ada candle bearish with volume, SOS, cutloss mumpung lagi agak naik