Daily Analysis 20220808

Global Update:

August 08th, 2022

Good morning,

S&P 500, Nasdaq fall Friday, but notch weekly gains after blowout July jobs report

Stocks wavered Friday in a volatile trading session after the July jobs report was much better than expected, as investors assessed what a strong labor market would mean for the Federal Reserve’s rate tightening campaign.

Dow…….32803 +76.7 +0.23%
Nasdaq.12658 -63.03 -0.50%
S&P 500..4145 -6.8 -0.16%

FTSE…….7440 -8.3 -0.11%
Dax……..13574 -88.8 -0.65%
CAC……..6472 -41.04 -0.63%

Nikkei….28176 +243.7 +0.87%
HSI……..20202 +27.9 +0.14%
Shanghai..3227 +37.99 +1.19%
ST Times..3283 +13.02 +0.40%

IDX…….7084.65 +27.31 +0.39%
LQ45…1007.80 +4.03 +0.40%

IDX Energy…1767.91 +1.61 +0.09%
IDX Bsc Mat.1315.05 +10.14+0.78%
IDX Industrl..1305.32 -15.99 -1.21%
IDXNONCYC..703.81 +0.43 +0.06%
IDX Hlthcare.1422.82 -7.55 -0.53%
IDXCYCLIC…..898.55 +5.04 +0.56%
IDX Techno..8074.65 -51.08 -0.63%
IDX Transp…2064.05 +48.83 +2.42%
IDX Infrast…..1038.20 +10.33 +1.01%
IDX Finance 1524.23 +6.66 +0.44%
IDX Banking..1152.93 +9.59 +0.84%
IDX Property…..696 +1.50 +0.22%

Indo10Yr….7.2595 -0.0444 -0.61%👍
ICBI……..333.4994 +0.7807 +0.23%👍*
US10Yr…..2.8400 +0.1640 +6.13%‼
VIX…………21.15 -0.29 -1.35%

USDIndx 106.6210 +0.9280 +0.88%‼
Como Indx..281.04 -0.17 -0.06%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.30 +1.60 +1.04%

IndoCDS…117.26 -2.86 -2.38%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14894.00 -38.50 -0.26%
Jisdor..14904 .00 -25.00 -0.17%

Euro………1.0183 -0.0064 +0.62%

TLKM……..31.20 +1.27 +4.24%‼
(4650)
EIDO………23.46 -0.01 -0.04%
EEM………40.06 +0.04 +0.10%

Oil…………89.01 +1.65 +1.89%
Gold ……1791.20 -15.70 -0.87%
Timah. .24455.00 -90.00 -0.37%
( Closed 05/8)
Nickel…22470.00 +182.00 +0.82%
(Closed 05/8)
Silver…….19.84 -0.31 -1.54%
Copper….355.20 +7.25 +2.08%

Nturl Gas…..8.005 -0.136 -1.67%

Ammonia….3890.00 +33.33 +0.86%
China
(Domestic Price)(04/8)

Coal price….361.00 -24.00 -6.23%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….346.75 -18.25 -5.01%‼
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….313.65 -15.85 -4.81%‼
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…287.85 -25.35 -8.09%‼
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3900 +82 +2.15%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………610.00 +3.75 +0.62%
SoybeanOil…63.97 +2.55 +4.15%‼
Wheat………775.75 -6.75 -0.86%

Wood pulp…6726.00 unch +0%
(Closed 06/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US jum’at closing ijo tipis, asia market masih ijo, europe kena sentiment negatif jadi merah

Oil nikel copper cpo naik, gold timah silver turun, coal drop gede. Lanjut wave C ini saham coal…

IHSG masih keliatan firm mau tutup gap dulu

Candle nya trading view sama stockbit dan mansek beda, ga ada gap di 6740

Industrials, Infrastructure. Energy lagi lesu, finance surprisingly juga, padahal perlu buat angkat index

Industrials – stoch sell, macd mau reversal, vol transaksi menurun terus, bandar mulai distribusi, foreign masih akum. Lagi wave5dan udah ketemu MACD bearish divergence, confirmed by 2 bear candle. Prepare exit…

ASII KBLI masih…

BMTR UNTR udah sell signal, ASII mulai overbought

ASII – masih firm retracement pattern going to 6975, kecuali stochastic yang mulai overbought, everything else is AOK

KBLI – suppposedly OTW fibo 61 juga @384 tapi stoch lagi sell. LR sama parabolic sar masih ok, MACD mulai tanda2 reversal. Hold, kita tunggu mau dibawa kemana ini KBLI

Infrastructure – Lagi running up, dari target wave 3 elliot wave sudah tercapai dan sudah nongol bearish divergence MOM, Parabolic SAR masih ok, MACD masih OK, MFI up, bandar & foreign akum, LR sudah break upper channelnya, suggest buat turun koreksi wave 4

Keliatan banyak yang mau lari… ISAT, EXCL, TLKM, PTPP, WSKT

Banyak yang menarik, yang ada signal Buy baru: TLKM dengan buy signal stoch barunya, WIKA yang sudah bikin higher low, buy signal di H4 dan FNB bandar akum

ISAT – kemaren pas breakout triangle nya kelewat euy ga ikutan, pas tgl breakout infra nya belum ada sign running. Tapi targetnya tutup gap, jadi masih ok buat entry sekarang kebeneran ada sedikit pullback

EXCL – setelah vol breakout belum lari, BOW… Target sell di gap closing juga @3170

TLKM – udah tutup gap, waktunya koreksi dulu harusnya, bikin higher low, udah run panjang dari 4000 ke 4650

WIKA – massive vol breakout, MACD H4 buy, alligator buy, supertrend up, breakout cloud, BOW

PTPP

PTPP – Mirip dengan WIKA, spec buy deh follow the volume breakout.

Tapi kalo disuruh milih, mending buy WIKA aja

ACES

ACES – vol breakout, Stoch MACD Buy, SpecBuy, stoploss @650 minus 2tick