05 Aug 2022

Daily Analysis 20220805

Written by itho suryoputro. Posted in Daily Analysis

Global Update:

August 05th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow slips as Wall Street awaits July jobs report

The Dow ticked down Thursday as traders awaited Friday’s July jobs report, which will give the latest snapshot on the labor market and the health of the economy.

Dow…….32723 -85.7 -0.26%
Nasdaq.12721 +52.4 +0.41%
S&P 500..4152 -3.23 -0.08%

FTSE…….7448 +2.4 +0.03%
Dax……..13663 +75.1 +0.55%
CAC……..6513 +41.3 +0.64%

Nikkei….27932 +190.3 +0.69%
HSI……..20174 +406.95+2.06%
Shanghai..3189 +25.4 +0.80%
ST Times..3270 +17.8 +0.55%

IDX…….7057.35 +10.71 +0.15%
LQ45…1003.77 +3.72 +0.38%

IDX Energy…1766.29 -45.54 -2.57%
IDX Bsc Mat.1304.91 +9.94 +0.77%
IDX Industrl..1321.32 -6.29 -0.47%
IDXNONCYC..703.38 +1.24 +0.18%
IDX Hlthcare.1430.38 -0.99 -0.07%
IDXCYCLIC…..893.52 +6.72 +0.76%
IDX Techno..8125.73 +242.45 +3.08%
IDX Transp…2015.22 -5.04 -0.25%
IDX Infrast…..1027.86 +26.79 +1.36%
IDX Finance 1517.57 -1.42 -0.09%
IDX Banking..1143.34 +0.81 +0.07%
IDX Property……. – -%

Indo10Yr….7.3039 -0.0210 -0.29%
ICBI……..332.7187 +0.3500 +0.11%
US10Yr…..2.6760 -0.0720 -2.62%
VIX…………21.44 -0.51 -2.32%‼️

USDIndx 105.6930 -0.8130 -0.76%‼️
Como Indx..281.21 -0.51 -0.18%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..154.70 +2.23 +1.46%

IndoCDS…120.12 -7.03 -5.53%👍
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14932.50 +21.00 +0.14%‼️
Jisdor..14929 .00 +12.00 +0.08%‼️

Euro………1.0247 +0.0083 +0.75%

TLKM……..29.93 +0.05 +0.17%
(4468)
EIDO………23.47 +0.09 +0.38%
EEM………40.02 +0.28 +0.70%

Oil…………87.36 -3.06 -3.36%‼️
Gold ……1806.90 +26.30 +1.48%‼️
Timah. .24245.00 -4.00 -0.02%
( Closed 03/8)
Nickel…22288.00 -264.00 -1.17%
(Closed 04/8)
Silver…….20.15 +0.15 +0.75%
Copper….347.95 +0.70 +0.20%

Nturl Gas…..8.141 -0.147 -1.77%

Ammonia….3856.67 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(02/8)

Coal price….385.00 -8.50 -2.16%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….365.00 -13.55 -3.58%‼️
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….329.50 -25.50 -7.18%‼️
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…313.20 -23.25 -6.91%‼️
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3818 -42 -1.08%
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………606.25 +10.00 +1.69%
SoybeanOil…61.42 +0.42 +0.69%
Wheat………782.50 +18.75 +2.45%

Wood pulp…6726.00 +4 +0.06%
(Closed 04/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas

US merah tipis tapi ga ada apa apa, regional lain ijo semua…

Oil turun coal turun gas turun, sektor energy keliatannya koreksi dulu. Beware kemaren entry PGAS, kita liat signalnya. Semoga contrarian sama sektornya dia

Gold Silver Copper naik, timah nikel turun, bagus buat holder MDKA, holder ANTM INCO TINS SOS ya, sebagian aja bagusnya kalo punya modal bawah

IHSG – kelihatannya akan dibawa lanjut sampe tutup gap…

Energy sudah lemes… Yang jalan Industrials, Basic Materials dan Infrastructure, versi telco that is…

Industrials – lagi wave 5 ketemu bearish divergence, bisa jadi akhir siklus. Kalau emiten di dalemnya sama, berarti exitnya nanti full, ga partial. Indicator supertrend alligators LR sama MACD masih bilang lanjut sih…

Sudah pada overbought juga, tapi masih diakum…

ASII KBLI

ASII – kecuali stochastic yang mau masuk overbought, masih all good ASII

KBLI – belum ada candle bearish dengan volume… stochastic lagi nyuruh turun, semoga cuma sideways terus lanjut keatas. LR juga kemungkinan sw, kena lower channel terus baru mantul ke upper channel

Basic Materials – Sepertinya retracement pattern standar aja, setelah beres ABC correction mantul belum ada koreksi berarti, kalopun ga lama lagi koreksi gpp kita tunggu aja beres koreksinya. Karena masih upwards kalo exit bagusnya ga usah cuci bersih, asal masih floating profit

Kadang2 ga dibawa turun, cuma sideways terus lanjut naik, apalagi kalo index lagi euforia