Daily Analysis 20220802

Global Update:

Agust 02nd, 2022

Good morning,

Stock were flat in overnight trading after a new month of trading kicked off for the markets.

Dow…….32798 -46.7 -0.14%
Nasdaq.12368 -21.7 -0.18%
S&P 500..4119 -11.7 -0.28%

FTSE…….7413 -10.01 -0.13%
Dax……..13480 -4.4 -0.03%
CAC……..6437 -11.6 -0.18%

Nikkei….27933 +191.7 +0.69%
HSI……..20166 +9.3 +0.05%
Shanghai..3260 +6.7 +0.21%
ST Times..3239 +27.2 +0.85%

IDX…….6968.78 +17.66 +0.25%
LQ45…..981.99 +3.36 +0.34%

IDX Energy…1866.79 +9.07 +0.49%
IDX Bsc Mat.1296.25 +12.65 +0.99%
IDX Industrl..1305.00 -3.51 -0.27%
IDXNONCYC..708.11 +5.51 +0.78%
IDX Hlthcare.1433.44 -20.03 -1.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..896.41 -6.94 -0.77%
IDX Techno..7654.70 -59.61 -0.77%
IDX Transp…2000.56 +36.50 +1.86%
IDX Infrast……996.08 +7.38 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1504.50 +4.66 +0.31%
IDX Banking..1121.79 +2.80 +0.25%
IDX Property…….691 +1.60 +0.23%

Indo10Yr….7.2101 -0.0236 -0.32%👍
ICBI……..333.1013 +0.3337 +0.10%👍
US10Yr…..2.6060 -0.0360 -1.36%
VIX…………22.84 +1.51 +7.08%

USDIndx 105.4500 -0.4530 -0.43%‼️
Como Indx..286.11 -5.95 -2.04%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..156.76 -1.23 -0.78%

IndoCDS…120.08 +5.04 +4.38%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14873.00 +39.00 +0.26%
Jisdor..14874.00 +14.00 +0.09%

Euro………1.0262 +0.0042 +0.41%

TLKM……..28.74 +0.24 +0.84%
(4275)
EIDO………23.23 +0.12 +0.52%
EEM………39.62 -0.34 -0.85%

Oil…………93.91 -5.01 -5.08%‼️
Gold ……1788.90 +7.10 +0.40%
Timah. .25047.00 – –
( Closed 29/7)
Nickel…24344.00 +490.00 +2.05%‼️
(Closed 01/8)
Silver…….20.32 +0.12 +0.59%
Copper….353.60 -3.75 -1.05%

Nturl Gas…..8.218 -0.068 -0.82%

Ammonia….3690.00 – -%
China
(Domestic Price)(28/7)

Coal price….405.00 -0.50 -0.12%
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price….393.40 -1.10 -0.28%
(Sept/Newcastle)
Coal price….372.00 -6.50 -1.75%
(Agt/Rotterdam)
Coal price…353.30 -6.20 -1.72%
(Sept/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..4073 -233 -5.41%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………609.75 -10.25 -1.65%
SoybeanOil…63.26 -2.40 -3.66%
Wheat………800.25 -7.50 -0.93%

Wood pulp…6690.00 +30 +0.45%
(Closed 01/8)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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Kebanyakan index regional tipis tipis, ada yang ijo tipis ada yang merah tipis. Jepang sama Singapore aja yang rada tebel.

Harga komoditas terkait energy turun semua,mungkin ini mulai mau pullback dulu di energy, walau sebenernya oil belum jalan jalan amat sih. Long run masih ok, yang masih mau hold asal punya modal bawah masih ok, TP sebagian lebih rekomended, nanti re buy di saat rebound

Metal2 an naik kecuali copper, CPO drop lagi, padahal diperkirakan saham CPO mau start rally tadinya

IHSG – Alligator Buy, Supertrend Up, ada gap di atas, LR seems to test upper channel, MACD looking good, inside ichimoku cloud, hopefully breaks upwards. Stochastic nya yang udah sell signal, minta turun…

Semoga sesuai skenario yang diharapkan, tutup gap dulu terus pullback pas efek LK big banks lewat, pas tutup gap kita profit taking dulu

Masih Energy, Industrials, Finance walau terakhir melemah. Property ada tanda2 kehidupan

Still looks good… MEDC menarik buat entry, apalagi oil drop today kemungkinan MEDC turun dulu

Energy – Major trend nya masih kenceng bullish, ada bearish divergence sampe cancelled ditabrak terus.Stochastic udah oversold, harus hati2…

MEDC – wave 3, candle kemaren volume spike, MACD still strong, LR going up after breaks mid line, BOW

Kalo bisa dapet buy dibawah 600 ideal banget, tapi sekarang juga ok sih

ASII KBLI

Industrials – Stoch hampir sell, MACD alligator and supertrend masih up, tapi ga bisa ngarep long run dulu kayanya, apalagi dengan BMTR yang terbang kemaren2, wajarnya koreksi dulu

ASII – stoch buy, macd up, confirmation volume di candle kemarin lusa, cuma kemaren buy ga dikasih, pas tutup market diangkat, BOW

KBLI – stoch sell, nyuruh koreksi, masih dalam pola retracement harusnya towards fibo 61 di 384, LR up, Parabolic SAR suggest naik. Yang udah punyar monggo di hold, yang belum punya WNS dulu, kayanya ada pullback baru lanjut, BOW ideal di 310

BBCA BBRI BMRI BBNI arah masih bagus, selama mereka jalan finance naik, IHSG naik

Finance – not good outlook nya euy, stoch bilang mau turun, ada hidden bearish divergence, LR mentok atas, MACD slowing down kaya mau reversal. Tadinya berharap sentimen big banks cukup buat nganter index tutup gap, sepertinya ga jadi

BBCA – keliatan mau koreksi, semoga ga dalem cuma ke fibo 38 aja terus lanjut

PWON keliatan gerak sama SMRA

Property – outlook masih jelek, sepertinya IHSG long bullish baru property akan back on track

Certainly not good…

WSKT mulai digoreng karena Q2 profit ya…

WSKT – yang menarik kenapa foreign akum terus… memang harga sudah drop jauh banget, tapi performance nya belum cukup baik buat mantul. PBV masih di 1.35, masih ga murah2 amat. Anyway, MACD says buy, kalo ada konfirmasi volume boleh deh ikutan