Daily Analysis 20220727

Global Update:

July 27th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow sheds more than 200 points after Walmart profit warning, S&P 500 falls 1%

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday after Walmart cut its earnings forecast, sending other retail shares lower and adding to concern that consumer spending might not be strong enough to keep the U.S. out of a recession.

Dow…….31762 -228.5 -0.71%
Nasdaq.11563 -220.1 -1.87%
S&P 500..3921 -45.8 -1.15%

FTSE…….7306 -0.02 -0.00%
Dax……..13097 -113.4 -0.86%
CAC……..6211 -26.1 -0.42%

Nikkei….27655 -44.04 -0.16%
HSI……..20906 +342.9 +1.67%
Shanghai..3277 +27.1 +0.83%
ST Times..3192 +11.7 +0.37%

IDX…….6871.54 +13.13 +0.19%
LQ45…..968.48 +1.35 +0.14%

IDX Energy…1762.10 +21.00 +1.21%
IDX Bsc Mat.1270.86 -4.39 -0.34%
IDX Industrl..1221.16 +1.34 +0.11%
IDXNONCYC..721.07 -3.54 -0.49%
IDX Hlthcare.1509.16 -5.80 -0.38%
IDXCYCLIC…..881.11 -6.12 -0.69%
IDX Techno..7632.21 -185.40 -2.37%
IDX Transp…1957.78 +2.17 +0.11%
IDX Infrast……989.59 +7.44 +0.75%
IDX Finance 1478.35 +14.17 +0.97%
IDX Banking..1101.28 +11.21 +1.03%
IDX Property…….676 -1.20 -0.18%

Indo10Yr….7.4649 -0.0268 -0.36%
ICBI……….329.0763 +0.5530 +0.17%
US10Yr…..2.7870 -0.0330 -1.17%
VIX…………24.69 +1.33 +5.69%

USDIndx 107.1890 +0.7060 +0.66%‼
Como Indx..286.50 +1.74 +0.61%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..148.42 +0.22 +0.15%

IndoCDS…135.05 +2.78 +2.10%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……14993.00 unch +0%
Jisdor..14984.00 -8.00 -0.05%

Euro………1.0129 -0.0091 -0.89%

TLKM……..28.13 +0.18 +0.64%
(4215)
EIDO………22.49 -0.11 -0.49%
EEM………39.25 -0.31 -0.78%

Oil…………95.52 -0.79 -0.82%
Gold ……1734.30 -0.50 -0.03%
Timah. .24947.00 -317.00 -1.27%
( Closed 25/7)
Nickel..22102.50 -430.00 -1.95%
(Closed 26/7)
Silver…….18.56 +0.26 +1.42%
Copper….339.95 +4.55 +1.36%

Nturl Gas…..8.785- +0.167 +1.94%

Ammonia….3890.00 +200 +5.42%‼
China
(Domestic Price)(25/7)

Coal price….414.00 +3.75 +0.91%
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…440.00 +28.95 +7.04%‼
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…389.50 +2.15 +0.56%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…388.00 +24.00 +6.59%‼
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Okt)…..3788 +142 +3.89%‼
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………600.75 +17.00 +2.91%
SoybeanOil…57.95 +0.40 +0.69%
Wheat………803.75 +33.75 +4.38%‼

Wood pulp…6650.00 +10 +0.15%
(Closed 26/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, yBursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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US lanjut merah rada dalem… europe juga merah, asia kebanyakan ijo kecuali nikkei

Masih membuka kemungkinan index tutup gap dulu

Oil gold tin nickel turun, silver copper gas naik, coal lanjut naik lagi, cpo juga

Kemungkinan ANTM INCO TINS koreksi dulu while saham saham coal lanjut naik. AALI LSIP kemarin diperkirakan langsung lanjut tapi malah koreksi, semoga ini lanjut naik lagi

In general sektor sektor tidak menggembirakan. Walau ada beberapa saham di dalam masing2 sektor yang terlihat bergerak, kaya saham2 coal, UNTR.

Relatively paling mending sektor Industrials, kita liat dulu

Keliatannya masih UNTR ASII

UNTR sama ASII masih FNB

UNTR – sudah retrace sampe ke FIBO 61, sudah sah untuk lanjut impulse wave, kita tunggu koreksinya untuk bikin higher low, baru entry riding wave 3

ASII – stoch macd masih firm, 833 says koreksi dulu, 833 buy kita entry. Kemaren mentok di Fibo 23, semoga nanti pas buy pas breakout fibo 23 with volume

Stoch Buy Signal: PTBA LPKR PMMP SSIA. PMMP kita skip

PTBA: Stoch Buy, MACD Up, ada gap di 4540, tapi mungkin mau koreksi wave C dulu. Saya coal megang ADRO jadi PTBA kayanya ga akan entry

LPKR – ga berani masuk,memang buy signal di stoch sama MACD, tapi trend majornya turun terus, dan foreign exit, bandar buang juga. Kalo property lagi leading boleh sih dipikirin cari technical rebound, tapi sekarang belum dulu deh

SSIA – firm volume breakout, stoch buy macdbuy, bandar akum fireign entry, expect retracement pattern target ke level 452. Buy di setengah candle kemaren plus 1 tick

MACD Buy Signal: BJTM SSIA

BJTM – Selain memang ga mau beli bank konven, juga resiko belum tercapai level abc correction di 610 bikin khawatir di BJTM. FInance lagi ngerem juga, ga lagi di pump buat naikin index. Bandar dan foreign masih distribusi. LR belum asik, ah jangan dipikirin dulu lah BJTM

Berdasarkan pengumuman BEI, Senin (25/7), tiga saham yang masuk untuk periode Agustus 2022-Januari 2023 adalah:

PT Bank Jago Tbk (ARTO)
PT Bank Syariah Indonesia TTbk (BRIS)
PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY)

Sedangkan tiga saham yang keluar dari LQ45 adalah

PT Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM)
PT PP Tbk (PTPP)
PT Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk (TKIM)

Yang punya PTPP TKIM GGRM hati hati dibanting

INDY kita cari buy momentumnya, coallagi manggung, INDY masuk LQ45, sweet

INDY – mirip coal yang lain, indic masih bagus, cuma udah oversold stochastic nya, supertrend buy, alligator buy, ada gap di atas tapi belum ada volume breakout

Kita tunggu ada pullback deh, nurunin stoch dulu, semoga ketemu hidden bullish divergence buat signal entry