Daily Analysis 20220715

Global Update:

July 15th, 2022

Good morning,

Dow falls 142 points as Wall Street weighs more aggressive Fed, disappointing bank earnings

Stocks slipped Thursday as big bank earnings kicked off with disappointing results and traders assessed the possibility of even tighter U.S. monetary policy from the Federal Reserve as recessionary fears lingered.

Dow…….30630 -142.6 -0.46%
Nasdaq.11251 +3.6 +0.03%
S&P 500..3790 -11.4 -0.30%

FTSE…….7040 -116.6 -1.63%
Dax……..12520 -236.7 -1.86%
CAC……..5915 -84.8 -1.41%

Nikkei….26643 +164.6 +0.62%
HSI……..20751 -46.7 -0.22%
Shanghai..3282 -2.6 -0.08%
ST Times..3091 -38.1 -1.22%

IDX…….6690.09 +49.10 +0.74%
LQ45…..948.57 +12.14 +1.30%

IDX Energy…1674.50 +14.13 +0.85%
IDX Bsc Mat.1217.36 -3.77 -0.31%
IDX Industrl..1196.24 +26.72 +2.29%
IDXNONCYC..709.14 +4.49 +0.64%
IDX Hlthcare.1538.80 +8.69 +0.54%
IDXCYCLIC…..862.20 +0.47 +0.05%
IDX Techno….7605.34 +40.52 +0.54%
IDX Transp…1931.27 +1.18 +0.06%
IDX Infrast……955.01 +3.43 +0.36%
IDX Finance 1394.25 -11.63 -0.83%
IDX Property…….660 -2.10 -0.32%

Indo10Yr….7.3804 +0.0480 +0.65%
ICBI……….330.6697 -0.8655 -0.26%
US10Yr…..2.9600 +0.0560 +1.93%
VIX…………26.40 -0.42 -1.57%

USDIndx 108.5440 +0.5870 +0.54%‼️
Como Indx..273.26 -4.68 -1.68%
(Core Commodity CRB)
BCOMIN…..139.56 -5.20 -3.59%‼️

IndoCDS…159.08 – -%‼️
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR……15020.00 +28.50 +0.19%‼️
Jisdor..14999.00 +14.00 +0.09%‼️

Euro………1.0018 -0.0036 -0.36%

TLKM……..26.66 -0.21 -0.78%
(3999)
EIDO………21.48 +0.02 +0.09%
EEM……….38.43 -0.35 -0.90%

Oil………….96.16 +0.06 +0.06%
Gold …….1708.20 -25.40 -1.47%‼️
Timah. .25364.00 -210 -0.82%
( Closed 13/7)
Nickel..19212.00 -1814.00 -8.63%‼️
(Closed 14/7)
Silver…….18.36 -0.79 -4.12%
Copper…..323.50 -7.20 -2.18%

Nturl Gas…..6.665 +0.066 +1.00%

Ammonia….3873.33 +16.66 +0.43%
China
(Domestic Price)(13/7)

Coal price…416.35 -13.65 -3.17%‼️
(Jul/Newcastle)
Coal price…410.75 -18.10 -4.22%‼️
(Agt/Newcastle)
Coal price…392.60 -2.40 -0.61%
(Jul/Rotterdam)
Coal price…367.00 -11.25 -2.97%‼️
(Agt/ Rotterdam)

CPO(Sept)…..3544 -218 -5.79%‼️
(Source: bursamalaysia.com)
Corn…………601.00 +5.75 +0.97%
SoybeanOil…55.78 -0.93 -1.64%
Wheat……….795.00 -15.75 -1.94%

Wood pulp…6600.00 unch +0.%
(Closed 14/7)

©️Phintraco Sekuritas
Broker Code: AT
Desy Erawati/ DE

Source: Bloomberg, Investing, IBPA, CNBC, Bursa Malaysia
Copyright: Phintraco Sekuritas
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Semua index regional merah, kecuali nikkei sama IHSG. Tapi berat buat berharap hari ini IHSG ijo lagi, hampir semua komoditas juga merah, yang ijo oil sama gas

Saham saham contrarian mulai muncul, BBCA BBRI GOTO dipake ganjel index, kalo gerakannya lanjut berarti udahan ABC correctionnya. WNS aja.

Masih Energy Basic Materials Transportasi, sama Industrials nyusul

Coal masih firm, cuma belum jalan aja. ELSA jadi mengkhawatirkan, tapi emang kita nunggu MACD sih. AKRA PGAS

AKRA – lanjut koreksi, wave C kayanya ini. skip dulu

PGAS – MACD makin menyempit, kayanya dibawa sideways baru naik

ADRO – lg pullback, harga coal turun dan index merah, masih ok buat swing

Trio Kwek Kwek sama MDKA, TPIA BRPT bandarnya kuat banget masih diangkat terus, index gamendukung padahal

ANTM – tutup gap dulu deh sekalian biar ga ada PR. 1565, lanjut rebound tutup gap atas, hehehe…

Calon Bagger ini ANTM… Far below bandar’s average

MDKA – Dikit lagi time to buy…

Akum tapi mark-down, asik banget ya bandarnya cari cuan…

Jadi keliatannya finance penyelamat bursa, regional lain merah idx dipaksa ijo, BBCA BBRI digenjot, yang lain ngikut

BTPS – Belum signal buy lagi… tapi biasanya selalu ngikut

Masih distribusi abis abisan…

BBCA big akum, tanda index mau dikerek naik

Banyak saham bagus udah sangat jenuh, pemain swing panjang siap2 entry, hold sampe ketemu ujung wave 5 elliot wave

 

Semoga INKP TKIM jalan panjang, belum pada gerak ga kaya UNTR